Direct-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

4,238

Trades

7,259

lifetime

Volume

$1.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 08-11 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 30% -$43

Other

17% 42% -$2

Sports

0% 42% -$1

Politics

0% 35% $0

Tech

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-09 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:55 UTC	5	$10	0	20	-20	Down	+$0	06-30 15:00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 5?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-05 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 06:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 17:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-08 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-05 16:23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-05 22:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-07 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$10	0	10	-10	Down	+$5	06-30 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$7	5	10	-5	Up	+$2	05-30 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:55 UTC	2	$6	0	10	-10	Up	+$1	07-02 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 00:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8914fd…
08-10 23:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd26045…
08-10 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x06a367…
08-10 20:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcee006…
08-10 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x084c42…
08-10 17:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd2118a…
08-10 17:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x89d69a…
08-10 17:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xdb62bb…
08-10 17:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x17651c…
08-10 17:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe547c9…
08-10 17:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3019e1…
08-10 16:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa93a38…
08-10 16:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf49cc…
08-10 16:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x21aea9…
08-10 16:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x42f16c…
08-10 16:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc5c889…
08-10 16:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x309821…
08-10 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7d0a7f…
08-10 15:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x986b84…
08-09 07:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33f0ab…
08-09 06:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbe817…
08-09 03:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x279896…
08-08 06:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5770e0…
08-08 05:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x499bea…
08-08 05:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x898f21…
08-08 00:22:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x152d31…
08-08 00:22:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef000b…
08-07 18:57:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d5904…
08-07 18:57:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb9297…
08-07 14:35:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8131ce…
08-07 14:35:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb824e2…
08-07 14:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18d537…
08-07 14:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ba1ca…
08-07 14:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x610af3…
08-07 14:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd66b47…
08-07 13:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe73a4b…
08-07 13:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a2e0e…
08-07 11:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe373c4…
08-07 11:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b2b12…
08-07 02:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd916e…
08-07 02:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80588f…
08-06 23:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81fab1…
08-06 23:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe017f6…
08-06 22:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x34c936…
08-06 22:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc68536…
08-06 22:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2726f8…
08-06 22:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41be4a…
08-06 22:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb55eba…
08-06 22:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52c990…
08-06 21:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3d354…
08-06 21:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a29ea…
08-06 20:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb9a63d…
08-06 20:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbca006…
08-06 17:30:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdbaeff…
08-06 17:30:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ff3a7…
08-06 09:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4f33c5…
08-06 09:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4cb52…
08-06 06:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5161ee…
08-06 06:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc3352…
08-06 04:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe91e3d…
08-06 04:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09bbae…
08-06 03:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x825700…
08-06 02:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2054f3…
08-06 02:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf24cc…
08-06 02:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc67b8e…
08-06 01:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4db0e6…
08-06 01:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x192abb…
08-06 00:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x660937…
08-06 00:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8096e…
08-05 22:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf5e391…
08-05 22:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2511b6…
08-05 20:58:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa83586…
08-05 20:58:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81ecea…
08-05 16:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe1d57d…
08-05 16:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bba4c…
08-03 14:14:08	Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Houston Dynamo FC next?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfa4609…
08-01 22:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9af566…
08-01 19:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x97735e…
08-01 19:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13a3d0…
08-01 18:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2b9d0b…
08-01 18:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x968cca…
08-01 17:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x49919c…
08-01 17:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe3333d…
08-01 17:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0a2b77…
08-01 15:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbe8beb…
08-01 15:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5572af…
08-01 14:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x01969b…
08-01 12:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x46dea2…
08-01 12:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x012483…
08-01 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f320a…
08-01 12:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1429e9…
07-31 08:29:45	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8a11f0…
07-30 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6ff6c…
07-30 06:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb40742…
07-29 16:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x03a275…
07-29 09:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x400ec7…
07-29 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe244ad…
07-29 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x92b556…
07-29 07:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf8759c…
07-28 00:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x161c18…