Reasonable-Fortress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

1,404

Trades

4,937

lifetime

Volume

$73.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-23 10:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 52% -$2,209

Other

11% 46% +$80

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 15c	17	$1.2K	1,065	1,013	+52	No	+$97	04-23 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:45 UTC	5	$611	978	557	+421	Down	-$61	04-20 16:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:15 UTC	7	$542	562	538	+24	Up	+$100	04-23 12:29
wta zhen cristia 2026 06 08	8	$511	384	384	+0	Jaqueline Cristian	+$115	06-08 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:05 UTC	5	$494	485	465	+20	Up	+$91	04-20 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:30 UTC	2	$486	412	389	+22	Up	+$307	04-20 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:10 UTC	5	$470	417	403	+14	Down	+$50	04-20 13:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 18c	22	$469	500	500	+0	Yes	+$219	04-22 06:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	14	$467	567	543	+25	Up	+$94	04-23 12:52
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	12	$443	446	446	+0	Kamilla Rakhimova	+$53	10-18 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:40 UTC	6	$431	507	317	+190	Up	+$2	04-23 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:35 UTC	6	$416	376	251	+126	Up	$0	04-20 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:00 UTC	10	$411	682	269	+413	Down	+$2	04-20 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$401	320	313	+7	Up	+$159	04-25 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:10 UTC	23	$393	352	337	+15	Down	+$107	04-23 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:10 UTC	2	$391	302	290	+12	Down	+$143	04-23 16:14
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	2	$383	714	638	+75	Up	+$83	04-23 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 15:15 UTC	5	$380	1,567	254	+1,314	Up	-$84	04-23 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 14:25 UTC	6	$378	388	371	+16	Up	+$66	04-20 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:40 UTC	4	$374	511	485	+26	Down	+$82	04-20 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	12	$371	678	325	+353	Down	-$54	04-25 12:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC	4	$371	306	291	+15	Down	+$186	04-23 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:45 UTC	5	$363	311	299	+12	Down	+$63	04-23 10:49
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 21c	20	$352	290	289	+1	No	-$19	04-02 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:00 UTC	2	$351	282	271	+10	Up	+$73	04-20 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:45 UTC	4	$339	437	414	+23	Up	+$106	04-23 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:55 UTC	3	$339	393	165	+228	Up	-$81	04-20 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:35 UTC	7	$321	240	234	+6	Up	+$97	04-23 14:37
wta pliskov kessler 2026 06 08	10	$320	278	278	+0	Karolina Pliskova	-$20	06-08 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:15 UTC	3	$312	382	245	+137	Down	+$4	04-23 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0xd6b9f0…
10-23 10:42:36	Sonic Boom vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	106	41¢	$44	0x8a846d…
10-23 10:31:27	Sonic Boom vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	106	57¢	$60	0x12c3eb…
10-23 10:29:59	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig	Matej Dodig	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xc574d1…
10-23 09:48:42	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig	Matej Dodig	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0x9b7b34…
10-23 09:48:14	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig	Marco Trungelliti	SELL	80	67¢	$54	0xaa9a15…
10-23 09:40:02	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x5293b8…
10-23 09:22:24	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf7e734…
10-23 09:06:02	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x242cfa…
10-23 08:57:24	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9274e4…
10-23 08:57:11	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x55af58…
10-22 11:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa7f548…
10-22 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb856c4…
10-22 11:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x00835d…
10-22 11:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xf18c97…
10-22 11:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x77210b…
10-22 11:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x242131…
10-22 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2a5a14…
10-22 11:24:02	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova	Polina Kudermetova	SELL	91	5¢	$5	0x6a4042…
10-22 11:13:29	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova	Polina Kudermetova	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7ff436…
10-22 10:52:18	Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xd494ac…
10-22 09:54:17	Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0xf3c0b3…
10-22 09:40:38	Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x3b6b60…
10-22 09:33:53	Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb70fdb…
10-22 09:24:32	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3520b5…
10-22 07:18:29	Set 1 Winner: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xff0ba5…
10-22 07:08:08	atp atmane bellucc 2026 10 22 set 2 winner Atmane vs Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6bd76b…
10-22 07:07:36	atp atmane bellucc 2026 10 22 set 2 winner Atmane vs Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdbd5c0…
10-22 07:07:18	atp atmane bellucc 2026 10 22 set 2 winner Atmane vs Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x28fedb…
10-22 07:07:00	atp atmane bellucc 2026 10 22 set 2 winner Atmane vs Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xef755e…
10-22 06:48:03	Set 1 Winner: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x27ab60…
10-22 06:30:21	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Keegan Smith	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x7e78bc…
10-22 06:23:19	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Keegan Smith	BUY	73	54¢	$39	0x3af324…
10-22 06:21:58	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x4de203…
10-22 06:21:19	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xd020b5…
10-22 06:09:19	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2daffc…
10-22 05:52:19	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x98f8e2…
10-22 05:51:53	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x861eaa…
10-19 08:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x3e011e…
10-19 08:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x208420…
10-19 08:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x50bed4…
10-19 08:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3beda9…
10-19 08:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9540a3…
10-19 08:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x61a6a3…
10-19 08:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0092b2…
10-18 19:39:53	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	SELL	59	42¢	$25	0x57af16…
10-18 19:38:27	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0xf856ca…
10-18 19:37:39	Titans vs. Colts	Titans	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x158989…
10-18 19:34:18	Titans vs. Colts	Titans	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xc99bf2…
10-18 17:10:23	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	155	1¢	$2	0x8cd927…
10-18 17:02:00	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1cd146…
10-18 16:56:06	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x1bc1ee…
10-18 16:16:24	Lyon Open, Qualification: Valentin Royer vs Clement Tabur	Valentin Royer	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0x4883bf…
10-18 15:52:57	Lyon Open, Qualification: Valentin Royer vs Clement Tabur	Valentin Royer	SELL	105	44¢	$46	0x4e6455…
10-18 15:07:42	Lyon Open, Qualification: Valentin Royer vs Clement Tabur	Valentin Royer	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x2f5cea…
10-18 15:06:32	Lyon Open, Qualification: Valentin Royer vs Clement Tabur	Valentin Royer	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x61461a…
10-18 11:20:08	Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Radu Mihai Papoe	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0x71907f…
10-18 10:52:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x698ecb…
10-18 10:48:05	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5b30f4…
10-18 10:47:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x005d68…
10-18 10:32:26	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x380248…
10-18 10:28:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	62	49¢	$31	0x3b6c80…
10-18 10:28:50	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0x72ed20…
10-18 10:27:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xba5f12…
10-18 10:18:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x2344a3…
10-18 10:11:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xa9f6ec…
10-18 10:05:56	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	66	37¢	$24	0xb3a850…
10-18 09:29:00	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x7821fd…
10-18 09:22:33	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	80	55¢	$44	0x5d0fac…
10-18 09:13:11	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x439fcb…
10-18 09:09:36	Mallorca: Ariana Geerlings vs Laura Samson	Laura Samson	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x2b537c…
10-18 08:56:54	Mallorca: Ariana Geerlings vs Laura Samson	Laura Samson	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xdc1519…
10-18 08:50:50	Mallorca: Ariana Geerlings vs Laura Samson	Laura Samson	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb689cf…
10-18 08:24:48	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	150	79¢	$118	0x55b438…
10-18 08:19:21	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x14c685…
10-18 08:09:32	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x436553…
10-18 08:09:30	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	66	41¢	$27	0x675abd…
10-18 08:09:29	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x3055b0…
10-18 08:09:27	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x1aa0c1…
10-18 08:01:53	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x078160…
10-18 08:01:12	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	110	23¢	$25	0x68ddf8…
10-10 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x829982…
10-10 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6fbdc3…
10-10 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfdc66f…
10-10 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x940229…
10-10 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x41c597…
10-10 14:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6c5c46…
07-21 16:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd752a7…
07-21 15:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7231ac…
07-21 15:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xcf4cc8…
07-21 15:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc221f7…
07-21 15:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xdc2817…
07-21 15:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5bceb4…
06-14 21:20:19	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x569c4b…
06-14 21:19:34	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xfe6a8c…
06-14 21:06:12	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x79fb9a…
06-14 20:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd8c774…
06-10 15:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9dd9ba…
06-10 14:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7ac1db…
06-10 14:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa9fd87…