Frightening-Salmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,827

lifetime

Volume

$62.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-12 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 73% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	6	$995	704	704	+0	open	—	01-12 12:20
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$789	426	646	-220	open	—	01-12 12:13
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$291	231	231	+0	open	—	01-05 18:39
eth updown 5m 1775468400	3	$262	148	146	+2	open	—	04-06 09:44
btc updown 15m 1768222800	1	$252	400	0	+400	open	—	01-12 13:04
eth updown 15m 1775468700	5	$222	217	208	+9	open	—	04-06 09:55
eth updown 15m 1775470500	3	$210	158	152	+5	open	—	04-06 10:26
eth updown 5m 1776336900	4	$205	175	167	+8	open	—	04-16 10:59
eth updown 15m 1775394900	2	$201	324	0	+324	open	—	04-05 13:17
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 5am et	2	$197	102	102	+0	open	—	03-27 10:02
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 9am et	2	$194	103	102	+0	open	—	03-26 14:03
btc updown 15m 1771782300	3	$189	141	138	+2	open	—	02-22 17:50
btc updown 15m 1768220100	2	$184	303	298	+5	open	—	01-12 12:23
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 1pm et	2	$183	93	93	+0	open	—	03-26 18:13
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 11am et	2	$183	97	97	+0	open	—	03-27 16:04
eth updown 15m 1775630700	9	$174	102	100	+2	open	—	04-08 06:56
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 7am et	2	$172	87	87	+0	open	—	03-26 12:11
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$169	153	153	+0	open	—	04-29 20:49
btc updown 15m 1768221000	1	$168	317	0	+317	open	—	01-12 12:21
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12pm et	2	$162	82	82	+0	open	—	03-26 17:02
eth updown 5m 1775330100	3	$159	107	103	+3	open	—	04-04 19:17
bitcoin up or down february 22 3pm et	2	$156	99	99	+0	open	—	02-22 21:07
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 3am et	2	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	03-27 08:02
eth updown 15m 1775920500	2	$155	79	79	+0	open	—	04-11 15:30
ethereum up or down march 26 2026 6am et	2	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	03-26 11:13
eth updown 15m 1775151900	2	$145	73	73	+0	open	—	04-02 17:59
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	2	$143	74	74	+0	open	—	03-27 20:02
eth updown 5m 1776535800	4	$139	90	89	+2	open	—	04-18 18:12
btc updown 5m 1774456200	4	$134	123	44	+78	open	—	03-25 16:34
eth updown 15m 1775113200	2	$134	82	81	+2	open	—	04-02 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x7d075e…
05-12 19:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x952022…
05-12 18:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc43d33…
05-12 18:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x8dea55…
05-12 18:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x83e990…
05-12 18:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe855ee…
05-12 18:41:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x45c334…
05-12 18:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x22ac28…
05-12 18:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xe26d25…
05-12 18:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x0ac7f3…
05-12 18:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0ea58c…
05-12 15:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x38bca9…
05-12 15:07:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x11a5aa…
05-12 13:47:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x30ba6a…
05-12 13:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0b2805…
05-12 12:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xa95e9b…
05-12 12:47:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x09ea7e…
05-12 12:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb51a8c…
05-12 12:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x7f2a13…
05-12 12:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x566927…
05-12 12:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x883f5d…
05-12 12:04:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x453026…
05-12 12:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x76f14e…
05-09 17:51:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	137	82¢	$112	0x154a26…
05-01 19:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x9cd347…
05-01 18:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0xd212bb…
04-29 21:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0x591bb6…
04-29 21:39:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x70d0f0…
04-29 21:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xecc378…
04-29 21:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x8a81a3…
04-29 21:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x4e0b2a…
04-29 21:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xa24b77…
04-29 20:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	56	75¢	$42	0xe6277c…
04-29 20:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x36ac69…
04-29 20:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0xaf31d4…
04-29 20:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0x7017e5…
04-29 20:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	77	49¢	$38	0x45c7c2…
04-29 20:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x29751e…
04-29 20:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa13085…
04-29 20:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x6939d0…
04-29 20:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xc6b69c…
04-29 20:34:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xa2d723…
04-29 20:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	123	94¢	$115	0xb249f1…
04-29 20:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	117	75¢	$88	0x5badcd…
04-29 20:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xed414b…
04-29 20:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0xb1da72…
04-29 20:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x006ad6…
04-29 19:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7dfb2e…
04-29 19:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x8fb3b2…
04-29 19:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xd992a7…
04-29 19:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x4c1b4d…
04-29 19:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xd691cf…
04-29 19:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x99ba94…
04-29 18:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x8bda2f…
04-29 18:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0402ee…
04-29 18:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1a2a9a…
04-29 18:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb6b351…
04-29 18:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x9b5a58…
04-29 18:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe5f5ad…
04-29 18:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xcfbed6…
04-29 18:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x67b5ff…
04-29 18:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x662ba5…
04-29 17:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xe5cc69…
04-29 17:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf93f4a…
04-29 17:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	124	10¢	$12	0x83dc6a…
04-29 17:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	23	64¢	$14	0xd74bb2…
04-29 16:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x37425b…
04-29 16:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x25fadb…
04-29 16:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xdefc09…
04-29 14:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x739489…
04-29 14:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6347d4…
04-29 14:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x3337c5…
04-29 14:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xaf4eae…
04-29 14:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	42	66¢	$28	0x3630e7…
04-29 14:22:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	42	54¢	$23	0xd1ffc0…
04-29 14:21:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x51987b…
04-29 14:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9e588b…
04-29 14:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x80bee9…
04-29 14:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x1752fc…
04-29 14:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9a3ac3…
04-29 14:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x3914e9…
04-29 14:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x430acb…
04-29 13:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x210c43…
04-29 13:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0xc95b02…
04-29 13:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x40a22e…
04-29 13:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xee3010…
04-29 13:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x5569d2…
04-24 10:15:28	eth updown 5m 1777025700	Down	BUY	75	30¢	$22	0x1eac38…
04-24 07:08:52	eth updown 5m 1777014300	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x443a4e…
04-24 07:05:56	eth updown 5m 1777014300	Down	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x691943…
04-24 07:03:10	eth updown 5m 1777014000	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x0beacf…
04-24 06:39:06	eth updown 5m 1777012800	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x14e40c…
04-24 06:38:38	eth updown 5m 1777012500	Up	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0x5695d7…
04-24 06:34:16	eth updown 5m 1777012500	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x1b31b0…
04-24 06:20:06	eth updown 5m 1777011600	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7028e1…
04-24 06:19:50	eth updown 5m 1777011600	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xfd9ef3…
04-24 06:19:00	eth updown 5m 1777011600	Down	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x05ce64…
04-24 06:18:12	eth updown 5m 1777011300	Up	SELL	43	46¢	$20	0xbc0166…
04-24 06:17:56	eth updown 5m 1777011300	Up	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x2cf8ed…
04-24 06:16:08	eth updown 5m 1777011300	Down	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0x270bbc…