Yawning-Amazement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$364

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

8,922

lifetime

Volume

$564.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-27 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$87

Other

40% 50% +$32

Crypto

8% 100% +$245

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	374	$23.3K	22,703	23,051	-348	open	—	05-27 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	283	$16.4K	18,019	17,441	+578	open	—	04-20 21:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	213	$14.9K	18,003	16,355	+1,648	open	—	03-19 19:02
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	221	$13.7K	14,415	13,185	+1,231	open	—	03-19 19:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	189	$12.6K	13,618	12,984	+635	open	—	04-22 17:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	167	$11.6K	10,091	8,637	+1,454	open	—	04-06 10:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	171	$11.3K	12,933	12,552	+381	open	—	03-29 23:40
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	150	$11.1K	11,501	10,707	+794	open	—	03-31 09:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	140	$10.8K	10,282	9,478	+804	open	—	05-09 20:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	163	$10.5K	11,002	10,301	+702	open	—	03-30 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	58	$10.0K	10,779	11,366	-587	open	—	06-14 19:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	292	$9.7K	9,174	9,132	+41	open	—	04-21 14:30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	99	$9.2K	9,737	8,999	+738	open	—	04-13 16:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	52	$9.0K	7,468	8,414	-946	open	—	06-16 14:29
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	141	$8.3K	11,450	10,698	+752	open	—	01-21 15:37
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	99	$8.2K	8,725	7,870	+855	open	—	04-06 17:57
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	102	$8.2K	9,318	8,856	+462	open	—	03-25 11:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	116	$7.8K	6,881	6,829	+52	open	—	06-13 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	27	$7.7K	4,650	5,560	-910	open	—	06-15 15:33
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	114	$7.2K	7,757	7,363	+394	open	—	03-19 14:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	50	$7.0K	7,164	7,003	+161	open	—	04-04 19:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	148	$6.6K	7,234	6,416	+818	open	—	01-21 18:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	39	$5.6K	6,715	6,813	-98	open	—	06-17 19:01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	77	$5.6K	4,978	4,978	+0	open	—	04-06 17:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	20	$5.5K	4,449	4,449	+0	open	—	04-17 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	71	$4.7K	4,949	5,390	-442	open	—	04-11 19:28
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	61	$4.6K	5,760	6,165	-405	open	—	01-07 16:16
another us government shutdown by february 14	165	$4.6K	5,919	5,684	+235	open	—	02-12 08:39
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	57	$4.6K	4,481	4,609	-128	open	—	03-31 10:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	34	$4.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-12 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 19:49:21	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	332	34¢	$114	0x12be1b…
07-27 16:21:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	102	56¢	$57	0x400aa0…
07-27 15:33:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	102	52¢	$53	0x53dbdd…
07-27 15:22:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	98	64¢	$63	0x0cdefc…
07-27 15:22:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	181	64¢	$116	0x09ebe4…
07-27 15:21:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x23ede6…
07-27 15:19:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	205	54¢	$110	0x34cad8…
07-27 15:16:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xf4d4f8…
07-27 15:15:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$23	0x71dacf…
07-27 06:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	330	43¢	$142	0x8ba3f8…
07-27 01:01:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb07127…
07-27 01:01:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x7cf933…
07-27 01:00:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	252	38¢	$96	0x123d6c…
07-26 23:33:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	273	56¢	$153	0xe4e6ad…
07-26 23:25:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x30178a…
07-26 21:35:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	114	53¢	$61	0xe555c6…
07-26 21:35:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbd9cdf…
07-26 21:35:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	160	53¢	$85	0xafa58f…
07-26 21:07:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,041	12¢	$125	0xf288b9…
07-26 20:45:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	135	12¢	$16	0x3931cd…
07-26 20:31:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x58f5c8…
07-26 19:28:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	1,200	11¢	$132	0x025650…
07-26 18:10:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	260	52¢	$135	0xb64920…
07-26 17:22:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	154	38¢	$59	0x07fa29…
07-26 17:00:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	64	38¢	$24	0xc4809a…
07-26 16:37:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	282	63¢	$177	0xe509b3…
07-26 16:31:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x02e4d5…
07-26 15:00:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0xab6d93…
07-26 13:17:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	210	84¢	$176	0xe1674b…
07-26 10:23:24	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	112	54¢	$60	0x5606a3…
07-26 10:18:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x6d6e93…
07-26 10:17:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x5312e5…
07-26 10:06:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x6d4bd2…
07-26 09:47:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	210	84¢	$176	0xd62f02…
07-26 09:38:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	840	21¢	$176	0xcf773d…
07-26 09:29:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	840	21¢	$176	0x3ba6da…
07-26 09:17:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	240	60¢	$144	0xc563e0…
07-26 09:14:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	240	62¢	$149	0x2e6a78…
07-26 09:08:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xab6740…
07-26 09:06:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x32ba93…
07-26 09:00:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	106	75¢	$79	0xc7636f…
07-26 08:59:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	104	22¢	$23	0x4bb1c2…
07-26 08:59:00	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	56	22¢	$13	0x51c055…
07-26 08:26:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	470	62¢	$291	0x5a0246…
07-26 00:56:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	260	61¢	$159	0x1671ac…
07-26 00:27:31	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	99	25¢	$25	0x79c4cb…
07-25 22:36:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	518	22¢	$115	0xeb7882…
07-25 22:31:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	92	63¢	$58	0xfa276e…
07-25 21:53:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	92	58¢	$53	0x2c5548…
07-25 21:26:28	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	255	32¢	$82	0xcb914d…
07-25 18:02:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	210	64¢	$134	0xcd56e9…
07-25 17:27:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xe5bd77…
07-25 13:45:00	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	220	70¢	$154	0x46a187…
07-25 13:40:15	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xd15bc1…
07-25 13:39:16	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x8189f6…
07-25 13:39:15	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	231	59¢	$136	0x0bb18c…
07-25 13:28:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x7169cc…
07-25 13:19:13	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	260	51¢	$133	0x6933ba…
07-25 13:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x71025a…
07-25 12:29:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	280	48¢	$134	0xb6738a…
07-25 12:29:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	277	29¢	$80	0x5f4256…
07-25 12:24:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x49a6de…
07-25 12:24:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	142	28¢	$40	0x96ecb3…
07-25 12:24:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	280	45¢	$126	0x9c89f7…
07-25 12:24:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0x1c544e…
07-25 12:13:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xc9506e…
07-25 11:39:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xd52745…
07-24 17:44:54	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0xf7ff0f…
07-24 17:37:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	310	59¢	$183	0x32c1cf…
07-24 17:05:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	40	59¢	$23	0xadb7bf…
07-24 13:38:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x307c43…
07-24 10:30:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	350	63¢	$220	0x129c2f…
07-24 10:17:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xef1538…
07-24 09:09:39	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0xff7935…
07-24 09:04:33	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	355	51¢	$181	0x4380c6…
07-24 08:47:51	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xea6c60…
07-24 08:42:58	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xb9dbb2…
07-24 08:41:46	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x385a1f…
07-24 08:37:28	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	182	47¢	$85	0xff91b4…
07-23 21:44:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	330	50¢	$165	0x436ac3…
07-23 21:19:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xcf319c…
07-23 21:19:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0x7458b4…
07-23 21:18:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xb37984…
07-23 21:18:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x187ab9…
07-23 21:18:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	271	44¢	$119	0x0991c9…
07-23 20:53:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	350	44¢	$154	0x061eb1…
07-23 20:15:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	400	41¢	$164	0xcf1329…
07-23 13:41:55	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	134	44¢	$59	0x9ad3c9…
07-23 13:40:33	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x0b96a6…
07-23 13:03:52	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0xdbd2bd…
07-23 13:01:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x5d1e80…
07-23 12:53:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	96	54¢	$52	0xf10b71…
07-23 12:47:43	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x2ed3ed…
07-23 11:27:04	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x2c276c…
07-23 11:25:01	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	356	50¢	$178	0x1adfe6…
07-23 11:15:06	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	300	59¢	$177	0xa4269b…
07-23 10:08:18	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	329	54¢	$177	0x725e50…
07-23 09:56:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	280	53¢	$148	0xe58bbc…
07-23 09:55:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x57a427…
07-23 09:53:58	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x0e147d…