Warm-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

230

Trades

2,346

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 08-03 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-128

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$311	378	297	+81	Down	$-43	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$219	241	241	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 14:49
btc updown 5m 1774622400	3	$184	190	85	+105	open	—	03-27 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$167	116	116	+0	Down	+$35	05-05 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$160	150	150	+0	Up	+$28	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	7	$151	93	93	+0	open	—	05-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$144	116	116	+0	Down	+$44	05-05 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$142	196	196	+0	open	—	05-18 13:24
btc updown 5m 1774706400	6	$132	118	117	+1	open	—	03-28 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$131	174	96	+78	open	—	05-19 13:58
btc updown 5m 1775218800	5	$124	87	70	+17	open	—	04-03 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$123	194	0	+194	Up	$-39	05-05 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$122	116	116	+0	Up	+$36	05-05 15:04
btc updown 5m 1774706100	6	$114	101	88	+12	open	—	03-28 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$105	190	65	+124	open	—	05-18 13:16
btc updown 5m 1774705800	8	$105	86	76	+10	open	—	03-28 13:54
btc updown 5m 1774258800	6	$104	90	65	+25	open	—	03-23 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	10	$99	89	89	+0	open	—	05-18 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$95	95	95	+0	open	—	05-18 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$93	61	61	+0	open	—	05-17 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	8	$92	102	102	+0	open	—	05-18 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$90	67	67	+0	Down	+$24	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	12	$89	66	66	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$89	220	70	+150	open	—	05-19 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$84	69	69	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$83	69	42	+27	open	—	05-17 15:01
btc updown 5m 1774257600	12	$83	55	54	+0	open	—	03-23 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	7	$79	124	67	+58	Down	$-9	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$79	118	88	+30	open	—	05-17 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	9	$79	94	94	+0	open	—	05-18 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 08:31:02	btc updown 5m 1785745800	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1979bf…
08-03 08:27:36	btc updown 5m 1785745500	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaf459d…
08-03 08:24:15	btc updown 5m 1785745200	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x0cebce…
08-03 07:59:54	btc updown 5m 1785743700	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xfb7ac8…
08-03 07:59:54	btc updown 5m 1785743700	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc70d95…
08-03 05:04:17	btc updown 5m 1785733200	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2e050c…
08-03 04:32:56	btc updown 5m 1785731400	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$3	0x69514a…
08-03 04:30:39	btc updown 5m 1785731400	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x624533…
08-03 04:14:51	btc updown 5m 1785730200	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x87f9c4…
08-03 03:54:11	btc updown 5m 1785729000	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xcd768a…
08-03 03:54:05	btc updown 5m 1785729000	Up	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x462da9…
08-03 03:44:54	btc updown 5m 1785728400	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x910a03…
08-03 03:44:29	btc updown 5m 1785728400	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8a4e52…
08-03 00:14:14	btc updown 5m 1785715800	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd2cc8e…
08-02 15:04:24	btc updown 5m 1785682800	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x7d910f…
08-02 14:44:12	btc updown 5m 1785681600	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x8af5b8…
08-02 12:29:39	btc updown 5m 1785673500	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3389f1…
08-02 11:34:08	btc updown 5m 1785670200	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x24f389…
08-02 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1785669600	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x683a55…
08-02 09:14:32	btc updown 5m 1785661800	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7151c…
05-28 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5527ad…
05-28 09:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2b5c2e…
05-28 09:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5a54e3…
05-28 09:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6301af…
05-28 09:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	83	14¢	$12	0xb3a85d…
05-28 09:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x33348b…
05-28 09:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf44549…
05-28 09:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xb5da13…
05-28 09:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xb76699…
05-28 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2e130a…
05-28 09:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9ee041…
05-28 09:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x98a957…
05-28 09:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	71¢	$26	0x00f00c…
05-28 09:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xdd1798…
05-28 09:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4b2224…
05-28 09:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x569565…
05-28 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xed3ad4…
05-28 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xfb5dc4…
05-28 08:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x623c2d…
05-28 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe5737d…
05-28 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x1f073a…
05-28 08:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6d61bc…
05-28 08:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1b7611…
05-28 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb560bf…
05-28 08:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf91751…
05-28 08:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x39eb28…
05-28 08:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x5b8d2b…
05-28 08:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xeb468a…
05-28 08:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3fc372…
05-28 08:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xea4d9e…
05-28 08:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbb0471…
05-28 08:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcd5ccd…
05-19 14:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xae44af…
05-19 14:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x4a8f73…
05-19 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x91fe31…
05-19 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x948c77…
05-19 14:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x28bfe6…
05-19 14:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xaffb0b…
05-19 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x7270a3…
05-19 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x45c42b…
05-19 14:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xb3c270…
05-19 14:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x6ecd62…
05-19 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	73¢	$16	0xa990c1…
05-19 14:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xbbc53d…
05-19 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x54f020…
05-19 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xcc2e60…
05-19 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x90d9fe…
05-19 13:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x05295c…
05-19 13:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	96	85¢	$82	0x589947…
05-19 13:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x3de01e…
05-19 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x3c085d…
05-19 13:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xf3578d…
05-19 13:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xa7decf…
05-19 13:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	70	75¢	$53	0x489912…
05-19 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xe1e6a6…
05-19 13:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x63f1d5…
05-19 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xe8acc0…
05-19 13:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x19e956…
05-19 13:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x31f93c…
05-19 13:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa94022…
05-19 13:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xca3422…
05-19 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	37	83¢	$31	0x584e68…
05-19 13:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xba42ea…
05-19 13:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x668c88…
05-19 13:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x04148b…
05-19 13:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x92acf2…
05-19 13:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0xc9d4ee…
05-19 13:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xfa8267…
05-19 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xb2a2d4…
05-19 13:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xef9474…
05-19 13:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xe23368…
05-19 13:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x78fa82…
05-19 13:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x131a9d…
05-19 13:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9487bc…
05-19 13:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	61	52¢	$32	0x776e61…
05-19 13:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x6011a0…
05-19 13:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x37211d…
05-19 13:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xfe7cb0…
05-19 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7f587f…
05-19 13:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x02ce7e…