Unwritten-Polarisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-16 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% 0% $-39

Politics

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$966	493	493	+0	open	—	05-14 06:41
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$957	500	500	+0	open	—	05-12 08:16
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$849	450	450	+0	open	—	07-16 12:35
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	3	$846	445	445	+0	open	—	07-16 08:25
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$842	465	465	+0	open	—	07-16 06:57
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	2	$837	450	450	+0	open	—	07-15 07:06
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	2	$834	460	460	+0	open	—	07-15 06:05
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	2	$803	425	425	+0	open	—	07-07 03:20
will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	2	$795	410	410	+0	open	—	07-07 02:09
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	2	$756	420	420	+0	open	—	06-23 08:54
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	2	$753	405	405	+0	open	—	06-23 07:08
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	2	$743	400	400	+0	open	—	06-24 03:20
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$735	385	385	+0	open	—	06-24 07:16
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$484	497	0	+497	open	—	05-14 06:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 spread away 2pt5	1	$434	436	0	+436	open	—	04-22 07:25
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	5	$88	978	978	+0	open	—	05-08 04:59
Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	2	$20	954	0	+954	Viborg FF	$-20	05-08 06:04
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	2	$19	955	0	+955	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	$-19	05-07 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 12:35:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	450	94¢	$424	0x2bd5df…
07-16 11:41:22	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	94¢	$424	0x55bbfd…
07-16 08:25:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x11c849…
07-16 08:25:40	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	432	95¢	$410	0xdb6dfc…
07-16 07:17:13	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	445	95¢	$423	0x6aac60…
07-16 06:57:10	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	465	91¢	$423	0x220a64…
07-16 05:28:26	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	465	90¢	$418	0x1bafc0…
07-15 07:06:08	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	SELL	450	93¢	$418	0x07d2e3…
07-15 06:13:23	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	BUY	450	93¢	$418	0x39ceed…
07-15 06:05:31	Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	460	91¢	$417	0xc79a8b…
07-15 02:37:16	Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	460	91¢	$417	0x5b5ae6…
07-07 03:20:04	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	425	95¢	$404	0x36719b…
07-07 02:22:59	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	425	94¢	$400	0xbeb43e…
07-07 02:09:04	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	SELL	410	97¢	$398	0x8ad0c0…
07-07 01:19:16	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	No	BUY	410	97¢	$398	0x164902…
06-24 07:16:11	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	385	96¢	$368	0x20ff9d…
06-24 03:24:40	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	385	95¢	$366	0xc38582…
06-24 03:20:17	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	400	92¢	$367	0x954538…
06-24 01:41:14	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x9848d8…
06-23 08:54:49	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	SELL	420	90¢	$378	0xa24b8f…
06-23 07:40:34	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	BUY	420	90¢	$378	0x57600b…
06-23 07:08:25	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	SELL	405	93¢	$377	0xd80b20…
06-23 05:36:26	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?	No	BUY	405	93¢	$377	0x5deb04…
05-14 06:53:40	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	497	98¢	$484	0x9e897c…
05-14 06:41:23	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	493	98¢	$483	0x1e3406…
05-14 05:49:47	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	493	98¢	$483	0x5750bc…
05-12 08:16:07	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$478	0x25c232…
05-12 07:31:29	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$478	0x7899ef…
05-08 06:04:19	Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	Sønderjyske Fodbold	BUY	482	2¢	$10	0xb3ed7b…
05-08 06:03:47	Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	Sønderjyske Fodbold	BUY	472	2¢	$10	0x4c7a77…
05-08 04:59:48	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	4¢	$17	0xe69001…
05-08 04:59:37	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	504	4¢	$23	0xa65592…
05-08 04:59:14	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x59209e…
05-08 03:10:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	504	4¢	$23	0xfd729a…
05-08 03:09:40	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	474	4¢	$21	0x1027ef…
05-07 06:01:28	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	493	2¢	$10	0xaf666b…
05-07 06:01:03	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Tala'ea El Gaish SC	BUY	462	2¢	$9	0x0a701f…
04-22 07:25:20	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 spread away 2pt5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	436	100¢	$434	0xa861c8…