Shallow-Survey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

456

Trades

742

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-07 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% -$17

Other

1% 67% +$4

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$288	193	193	+0	Down	+$94	05-25 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	15	$204	292	115	+177	Down	-$86	05-26 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$135	89	89	+0	Up	+$35	05-25 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$112	159	91	+68	Down	+$40	05-26 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$106	57	57	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$105	67	67	+0	Down	+$5	05-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$76	71	71	+0	Up	+$66	05-05 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$70	163	0	+163	Up	-$70	05-25 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$60	75	0	+75	Down	+$15	05-25 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	+$44	05-25 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$50	96	0	+96	Up	+$46	05-25 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$48	54	35	+18	Up	+$4	05-26 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-04 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	-$30	05-24 13:56
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	2	$25	16	16	+0	Pakistan	+$6	02-28 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$25	22	19	+4	Up	+$3	05-05 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$24	66	0	+66	Down	-$24	05-06 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$23	23	23	+0	Up	+$9	05-24 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$23	212	212	+0	Down	+$3	05-24 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$20	54	0	+54	Down	-$20	05-26 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$20	83	0	+83	Up	-$20	05-26 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	Down	-$20	05-26 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$20	41	0	+41	Up	-$20	05-25 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$20	83	0	+83	Down	-$20	05-24 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Down	+$12	05-24 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 02:43:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x535589…
07-07 02:39:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa7d7b5…
07-07 02:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x8a8fb0…
07-07 02:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0c1854…
07-07 02:29:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc86373…
07-07 02:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xb93d2e…
07-07 02:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x04d64a…
07-07 02:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xaef68b…
07-07 02:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3bb695…
07-07 02:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6fd84a…
07-07 02:03:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbc558d…
07-07 02:02:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x22744a…
07-07 01:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x02b0ea…
07-07 01:43:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf96e2f…
07-07 01:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9ed9f6…
07-07 01:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x315e18…
07-07 01:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb73719…
07-07 01:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xd00a8d…
07-07 01:27:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe43d54…
07-07 01:26:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x92639c…
07-07 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5b0808…
07-07 01:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x649dc0…
07-07 01:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0d9b40…
07-07 01:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9fb100…
07-07 01:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x25dc11…
07-07 00:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdf0898…
07-07 00:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x014065…
07-07 00:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd9fdcc…
07-07 00:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x09be64…
07-07 00:42:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb59634…
07-07 00:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x11a293…
07-07 00:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54e742…
07-07 00:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc948d…
07-07 00:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xed4143…
07-07 00:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe89772…
05-26 04:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	177	45¢	$80	0xcfcabd…
05-26 04:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	115	51¢	$59	0x441537…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdf7a5d…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xd1dd60…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb9bf3c…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb1d693…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x92afbc…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x836974…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x7532b0…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x736b89…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x50cb0d…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4da9b4…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1f7833…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x13bde3…
05-26 04:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x02a202…
05-26 03:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf77c9f…
05-26 03:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2a1d78…
05-26 03:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x06551f…
05-26 03:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x1e4783…
05-26 03:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x549b70…
05-26 03:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x394da2…
05-26 03:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf7614b…
05-26 01:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x14f147…
05-26 01:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x891bc3…
05-26 01:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5b0a2f…
05-26 01:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5816cb…
05-26 01:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x52fd57…
05-26 01:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4598ab…
05-26 01:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x387a58…
05-26 01:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x8980df…
05-26 01:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1ad924…
05-26 01:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xcdd0b8…
05-26 01:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd8c24c…
05-26 00:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x48cd39…
05-26 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdfbb08…
05-26 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x98263d…
05-26 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	91	46¢	$42	0x6722ae…
05-26 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x2ff1d0…
05-26 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x5d6f12…
05-26 00:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xeb9027…
05-26 00:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc701f9…
05-26 00:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x150607…
05-25 23:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf664bb…
05-25 23:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x7e1fb3…
05-25 23:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xec21df…
05-25 23:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	89	95¢	$85	0x8f8c9d…
05-25 23:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x5b601a…
05-25 23:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x0617b6…
05-25 22:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	163	43¢	$70	0x1dfaaa…
05-25 22:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8ea70e…
05-25 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0x68948d…
05-25 20:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	193	50¢	$97	0x933e60…
05-25 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x25721f…
05-25 16:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x162fff…
05-25 11:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	67	83¢	$55	0xce8217…
05-25 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x92f79f…
05-25 11:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0xb9b3bb…
05-25 11:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x8ad5b6…
05-25 10:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa42634…
05-25 09:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x73aa5c…
05-25 01:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3c87bb…
05-25 01:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x107f4a…
05-25 01:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7f4b89…
05-24 15:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdc9eda…
05-24 15:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5e19c1…