Blond-Math — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$411

Open exposure

$113

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-28 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

44% 100% +$55

Crypto

27% 100% +$16

Politics

21% 100% +$11

Tech

5% 100% +$6

Sports

3% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-117	-$103	96¢	$-113	-$10	05-09 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,132	1,132	+0	No	+$12	07-15 12:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.1K	1,031	1,031	+0	No	+$5	07-29 18:00
trump out as president by march 31	2	$1.9K	935	935	+0	No	+$3	03-28 06:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$1.7K	865	865	+0	No	+$15	06-13 15:55
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$1.7K	842	842	+0	No	+$2	04-30 02:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$3	04-20 16:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.4K	722	722	+0	No	+$14	08-28 19:08
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$1.4K	677	677	+0	No	+$1	03-30 21:31
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$1.3K	645	645	+0	No	+$6	02-26 21:41
will bitcoin reach 96k december 29 january 4	3	$1.3K	632	632	+0	No	+$1	01-05 08:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	+$5	03-25 01:40
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	2	$853	429	429	+0	No	+$4	01-28 12:51
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$848	429	429	+0	No	+$4	06-17 19:46
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$820	421	421	+0	San Diego Padres	+$21	05-16 04:09
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$634	319	319	+0	No	+$2	03-23 09:02
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$631	317	317	+0	No	+$1	03-04 09:32
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$630	316	316	+0	No	+$1	02-14 23:03
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	2	$535	269	269	+0	No	+$2	08-27 06:59
bitcoin above 76k on march 31	2	$519	260	260	+0	No	+$1	03-30 15:18
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$416	209	209	+0	No	+$2	01-27 08:36
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$259	130	130	+0	No	+$1	05-22 18:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$259	130	130	+0	No	+$1	06-14 15:20
bitcoin above 88k on january 5	1	$207	207	0	+207	Yes	+$0	01-05 08:02
will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	2	$135	68	68	+0	No	+$1	08-18 00:13
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$103	0	117	-117	open	—	05-09 11:57
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	3	$68	38	30	+8	No	+$0	07-19 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 19:08:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	722	99¢	$718	0x81d61b…
08-27 06:59:27	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0xc0ea73…
08-18 00:13:00	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xa91881…
08-01 11:44:06	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xead656…
08-01 11:43:21	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	269	99¢	$266	0x2cc9c4…
07-30 02:37:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	722	97¢	$703	0x49d757…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0xb48587…
07-24 00:55:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,031	99¢	$1,025	0x5ebe73…
07-19 17:59:33	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xda9927…
07-15 12:28:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	999	100¢	$995	0xb64933…
07-06 07:25:04	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe2cae0…
07-06 07:16:08	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x57912c…
06-20 01:45:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	999	98¢	$983	0x496ff4…
06-17 19:46:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	429	99¢	$426	0x594183…
06-14 15:20:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xa0d15c…
06-13 15:55:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0x8e361a…
06-13 15:50:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xd09cdf…
06-13 15:49:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xdc0b6a…
06-10 14:15:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xa6fa33…
06-03 09:11:00	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x3f251a…
06-03 09:10:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	133	98¢	$130	0x8185c3…
05-24 09:57:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x74b060…
05-22 18:08:34	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x17ad87…
05-16 04:43:51	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	429	98¢	$422	0x81a979…
05-16 04:09:10	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	SELL	421	100¢	$420	0x0dfc8f…
05-16 04:01:14	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x2aa88f…
05-16 03:59:45	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x5b3cee…
05-14 14:50:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	433	99¢	$428	0x90ba44…
05-09 11:57:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	117	88¢	$103	0xded58f…
05-08 02:37:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	865	97¢	$840	0x7cddc8…
04-30 02:52:54	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	842	100¢	$842	0x56c15a…
04-25 02:39:48	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	842	100¢	$840	0xe17abc…
04-20 16:35:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	841	100¢	$840	0x4b95d5…
04-07 13:21:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	841	100¢	$837	0x060d71…
03-30 21:31:01	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	677	100¢	$676	0x8a0af5…
03-30 15:18:57	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x5ae0e9…
03-29 23:29:50	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x1d657e…
03-29 23:28:08	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	677	100¢	$675	0xc8a32a…
03-28 06:38:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	935	100¢	$934	0xf424fb…
03-25 01:41:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	935	100¢	$932	0x9455a6…
03-25 01:40:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	616	100¢	$613	0x170828…
03-23 09:02:51	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	319	100¢	$318	0x426beb…
03-04 14:41:29	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	319	99¢	$316	0x848489…
03-04 09:32:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	317	100¢	$316	0x3beab0…
03-03 15:44:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	379	99¢	$375	0x2afc9d…
03-03 15:34:07	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53743c…
03-03 15:33:45	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	235	99¢	$232	0x8b492d…
02-26 21:41:38	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	645	100¢	$644	0xca620f…
02-20 06:45:08	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0x98e4b1…
02-14 23:03:33	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0xb7a6bf…
02-09 15:23:17	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	316	100¢	$314	0xbb3521…
02-03 00:40:06	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	645	99¢	$638	0x989f24…
01-28 12:51:53	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	SELL	429	100¢	$429	0x4cdaac…
01-27 08:36:23	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x8f8f95…
01-06 02:13:07	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x8088a3…
01-05 08:02:17	bitcoin above 88k on january 5	Yes	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x524c9a…
01-05 08:01:55	will bitcoin reach 96k december 29 january 4	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0xccc5ee…
01-05 08:01:41	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	429	99¢	$424	0xdcbc28…
01-05 02:30:47	will bitcoin reach 96k december 29 january 4	No	SELL	425	100¢	$424	0x5332e4…
01-05 00:47:29	will bitcoin reach 96k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	632	100¢	$630	0xf341d5…