Judicious-Round — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-17 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$0

Politics

18% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	8	$135	5,050	5,050	+0	open	—	02-22 18:51
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-12 13:17
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	04-11 14:08
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-10 08:38
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 14:03
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-08 08:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 10:25
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-05 18:25
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-04 15:20
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 04:04
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-31 12:28
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-30 12:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-29 08:07
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-28 05:54
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-27 12:39
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-26 09:17
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-25 16:50
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-24 08:55
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-23 08:25
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-22 11:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-21 12:36
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-19 11:42
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-18 13:09
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 10:03
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-11 15:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-07 20:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 15:16
bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	06-11 00:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-03 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:00:46	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x308c5d…
06-14 10:59:49	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd04efb…
06-12 13:13:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x372f7b…
06-11 00:53:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x53b2d1…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd9de98…
06-04 10:12:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2607d9…
05-28 01:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa3f891…
05-26 13:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x16c190…
05-23 11:37:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x599524…
05-21 12:00:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe75e2a…
05-14 09:00:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00c441…
05-10 10:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbad78d…
05-09 14:11:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x639ddb…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd0ef3…
05-03 13:50:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x93ebde…
04-27 09:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x267da5…
04-26 12:24:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbebb8c…
04-24 10:33:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc13612…
04-23 09:29:22	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9367d1…
04-22 13:36:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7c251…
04-21 10:32:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd4961e…
04-20 14:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1f409…
04-19 14:49:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfec9a3…
04-19 14:39:02	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x31f1a7…
04-17 14:44:58	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb906f5…
04-17 13:53:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdce8fe…
04-16 15:29:24	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0019df…
04-15 09:50:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc9a2f…
04-14 13:00:53	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea230c…
04-13 10:00:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfe2c86…
04-13 01:17:39	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xce1f2c…
04-12 13:17:03	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9bc661…
04-11 14:08:35	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xa42426…
04-10 08:38:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x08cd0a…
04-09 14:03:19	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1ddb03…
04-08 08:30:17	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb738cc…
04-07 10:25:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd25ef5…
04-05 18:25:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x57eecb…
04-04 15:20:43	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x54932a…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd627c4…
03-31 12:28:59	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd3aea5…
03-30 12:00:36	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x304948…
03-29 08:07:38	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbdb947…
03-28 05:54:17	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8a32a3…
03-27 12:39:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xabf7f8…
03-26 09:17:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xde61d7…
03-25 16:50:37	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd7ff84…
03-24 08:55:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x17c730…
03-23 08:25:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1a3ab2…
03-22 11:56:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa5620a…
03-21 12:36:45	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfa87ac…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf78f02…
03-19 11:42:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe3694b…
03-18 13:09:37	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1242a5…
03-13 15:16:53	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x6f861b…
03-12 10:03:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0f51d7…
03-11 15:02:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xca4e52…
03-07 20:52:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7bb2fe…
03-03 14:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xfef15f…
02-22 18:51:42	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,550	1¢	$20	0x9346e9…
02-22 18:50:14	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	393	1¢	$5	0x0d31bd…
02-22 18:50:04	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xc4fc1e…
02-22 18:49:36	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x9dde7c…
02-22 18:49:24	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	924	1¢	$12	0x27f98b…
02-22 18:48:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xf899a3…
02-22 18:45:42	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	3,500	1¢	$49	0x823db3…
02-22 18:44:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,500	1¢	$46	0x886d00…