Antique-Store — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

3,400

Trades

3,790

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-28

last 10-21 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 93% -$149

Other

5% 63% +$10

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes		+16	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	09-28 09:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	7	$175	228	228	+0	open	—	09-15 16:31
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$156	211	177	+34	Yes	+$8	09-10 19:37
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	9	$147	163	163	+0	Yes	-$3	09-17 03:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$118	376	376	+0	No	-$13	05-28 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$92	97	49	+48	Up	+$31	05-28 16:42
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	5	$82	108	108	+0	open	—	09-06 14:43
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$81	57	41	+17	Up	+$16	05-28 16:39
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$56	68	29	+39	Up	+$22	05-28 16:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on August 26?	4	$47	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	08-26 15:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$42	87	35	+51	Up	-$29	05-28 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$40	123	43	+81	Down	-$26	05-28 16:26
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$38	103	10	+93	Down	-$37	05-28 16:29
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	3	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	06-23 18:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$36	88	88	+0	No	-$1	05-28 20:05
ethereum above 1900 on july 29 2026	4	$35	88	88	+0	No	$0	07-29 15:31
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$33	103	31	+72	Down	-$28	05-28 16:28
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$31	55	10	+45	Up	+$30	05-28 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$30	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	05-28 08:02
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$30	85	13	+71	Up	-$24	05-28 17:32
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	5	$30	34	34	+0	Yes	-$4	09-29 19:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	10-08 08:47
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$27	23	16	+7	Up	+$2	05-28 16:42
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$27	20	20	-0	open	—	10-21 08:00
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$25	33	10	+24	Up	+$14	05-28 16:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 07:15 UTC	2	$25	16	16	+0	Up	-$5	06-19 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:00 UTC	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	08-21 09:01
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 15:00 UTC	2	$23	31	31	+0	Down	-$10	07-11 15:12
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$23	35	20	+15	Up	-$2	05-28 15:59
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	10-21 08:00
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$22	44	0	+44	Up	+$22	05-28 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 08:00:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x27fa80…
10-21 08:00:27	Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x562e03…
10-16 04:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0674ae…
10-16 04:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbaa6aa…
10-08 08:47:20	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x5a3e3e…
10-08 08:47:07	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0xbd6a1c…
09-29 19:45:59	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x1c25d4…
09-28 09:48:56	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xabbc4a…
09-28 09:47:41	Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe734fe…
09-28 09:36:18	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc0ae9b…
09-23 05:59:28	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0x8a4682…
09-22 23:33:52	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x55573a…
09-22 18:17:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc82b4a…
09-22 12:35:10	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x6a8f89…
09-22 12:34:04	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5c7643…
09-20 15:56:22	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe129c5…
09-20 15:56:13	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x65c895…
09-20 01:15:15	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb7bb3c…
09-18 18:41:00	Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x32854f…
09-17 21:17:12	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xf91d04…
09-17 20:46:00	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x89a83d…
09-17 16:59:33	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x526eeb…
09-17 09:13:06	Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x00524e…
09-17 03:59:06	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	41¢	$11	0x980ece…
09-16 14:48:12	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0xb4a2cb…
09-15 16:31:36	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	63¢	$23	0x807ebc…
09-15 16:31:36	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x56f0c4…
09-15 14:33:18	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xa39e1b…
09-15 14:09:51	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x91965a…
09-13 11:50:22	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	36¢	$31	0xed8251…
09-13 03:57:49	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x7d5ada…
09-12 17:42:01	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	38¢	$25	0xe68dac…
09-12 14:47:13	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x3d0d5f…
09-12 07:30:31	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0xf745e4…
09-12 03:14:01	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0xaa75d0…
09-12 02:17:42	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x7cb613…
09-11 16:48:48	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	107	30¢	$32	0x9be633…
09-11 12:26:27	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x58f8c5…
09-11 11:41:18	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x5667b7…
09-10 19:37:27	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xe80ab5…
09-09 12:04:37	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf8e90d…
09-09 12:04:36	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x3aefa0…
09-09 11:51:22	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xfa2a13…
09-09 11:50:48	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xbe9be7…
09-08 13:54:21	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xb66126…
09-08 12:29:31	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x7bcf88…
09-08 10:10:10	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x1a4b48…
09-08 03:53:24	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x1878cc…
09-08 03:51:31	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x9325bf…
09-06 14:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x905df2…
09-06 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3a6194…
09-06 14:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1bc9e9…
09-06 14:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x45cffd…
09-06 14:43:55	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	No	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0xdb79cf…
09-06 13:00:40	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0x2a6576…
09-06 13:00:40	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x2a6576…
09-06 13:00:33	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x26c7af…
09-06 12:25:52	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x386314…
09-06 07:17:36	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92b22d…
09-04 10:33:21	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x422ffb…
09-04 09:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6b36b6…
09-04 09:09:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa916d…
09-04 06:48:52	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2145f8…
09-04 06:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x82a95e…
09-04 06:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x231035…
09-04 06:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf8b33d…
09-04 06:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1838a3…
09-04 06:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x185de3…
09-04 03:39:00	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5d779a…
09-03 10:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x33d4c2…
09-03 10:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa87bd9…
09-03 09:58:28	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2a11fa…
09-03 09:12:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x217438…
09-03 09:08:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf1f05a…
09-03 09:03:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d6227…
09-03 08:58:39	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf915a1…
09-03 08:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61be86…
09-03 08:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbab5bd…
09-03 08:18:48	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xaf686e…
09-03 08:03:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x283991…
09-03 07:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f10c6…
09-03 07:47:34	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2d5156…
09-03 07:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32f06a…
09-03 07:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x558968…
09-03 07:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x725815…
09-03 07:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5255d8…
09-03 07:13:12	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9fb724…
09-03 07:03:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x063bdf…
09-03 06:53:45	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd9b1f5…
09-03 06:33:19	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x65eedb…
09-03 06:18:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2f264b…
09-03 06:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0b3bc…
09-03 06:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4443f5…
09-03 05:57:49	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7e89f0…
09-03 05:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x19a3da…
09-03 05:27:57	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x16b7c5…
09-03 05:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd5d9ab…
09-03 05:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x397ff2…
09-03 04:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc4fa2a…
09-03 04:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb09bf6…