Thunderous-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

490

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$6.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-10 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

57% 99% -$5

Politics

34% 89% +$5

Crypto

6% 98% -$2

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Tech

1% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	15	$985	574	459	+115	Yes	+$5	02-15 18:06
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$862	446	446	+0	No	+$0	02-18 00:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 20 39	2	$203	204	0	+204	No	+$0	01-22 00:11
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	2	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	01-18 22:07
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 40 59	2	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	01-27 13:31
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	2	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	01-13 07:41
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 20 39	2	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	01-23 00:14
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-25 08:48
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 220 239	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-05 07:40
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 60 79	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-29 19:05
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 20 39	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-02 20:12
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 120 139	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-08 00:21
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-05 20:38
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 0 19	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-16 07:23
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 340 359	3	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-10 08:16
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 200 219	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-11 02:04
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 160 179	3	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-14 20:02
will bitcoin dip to 82k january 5 11	3	$158	81	80	+1	No	+$0	01-10 23:00
will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	5	$58	47	34	+13	Yes	+$11	06-30 22:33
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 5 11	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	01-07 04:53
Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-15 03:49
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-15 03:50
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-07 18:59
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 40 59	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	03-01 22:58
will ethereum reach 4600 in december	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-01 01:01
will xrp reach 6pt00 before 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	01-01 01:20
Will José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-15 03:50
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 04:00
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	01-07 17:54
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?	3	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	06-18 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 03:21:57	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $50?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd526b2…
09-10 03:21:46	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $40?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x279af4…
07-15 20:54:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf94f09…
07-14 19:52:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0f3af7…
07-04 01:04:28	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Ghana	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x281ae1…
06-30 22:33:46	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5cca98…
06-30 22:05:49	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x9db91a…
06-26 21:12:32	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa93e8f…
06-23 21:46:02	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xecbdde…
06-21 11:16:38	will kylian mbappe score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144023007	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xc7f806…
06-19 19:41:11	Will "Bee Movie" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc00ffa…
06-19 19:41:04	Will "Ticket To Paradise (2022)" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99e2da…
06-19 19:40:56	Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe33b6e…
06-19 17:36:38	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51ecfa…
06-18 23:40:41	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 3pt5	Canada	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb09e27…
06-18 23:10:53	Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2efe59…
06-17 02:58:24	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f1db3…
06-17 02:58:15	Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x353052…
06-17 02:58:03	Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3813a2…
06-17 02:57:54	Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c2725…
06-17 02:57:37	Will "Beat It - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x114872…
06-17 02:57:01	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ef60d…
06-17 02:56:48	Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa3963c…
06-17 02:56:37	Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf1095…
06-17 02:56:24	Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa25369…
06-17 02:56:12	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1fdf14…
06-17 02:54:49	Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x26feb6…
06-14 05:11:27	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c0e7a…
06-14 05:02:06	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x160e80…
06-14 05:00:43	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x278d2c…
06-13 14:49:04	Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa475b0…
06-12 01:44:03	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x296964…
06-12 01:43:54	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xedb8c4…
06-12 01:43:40	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e8003…
06-12 01:43:30	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x55173d…
06-12 01:43:19	Will AutoSleep: Watch Sleep Tracker be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9726c2…
06-12 01:43:09	Will App A be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf5f9f…
06-12 00:59:25	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa12010…
06-12 00:59:09	Will Сириус be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf1fdca…
06-12 00:58:57	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa7e798…
06-11 15:15:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3c1090…
06-11 15:05:54	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2bae8…
06-11 15:05:39	Will Instants, an Instagram app be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x03d27b…
06-08 21:16:09	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x148eec…
06-08 21:00:06	Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf2a981…
06-08 20:59:55	Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ddd1c…
06-08 20:59:22	Will "Poor Things" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1a27d…
06-08 20:59:12	Will "Cleaner" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0aa650…
06-08 20:55:07	Will "Cleaner" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xba45e3…
06-08 20:51:45	Will "AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Eddie Murphy" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc14237…
06-08 20:51:33	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbc0d37…
06-08 20:51:16	Will "Grey's Anatomy: Season 22" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0025be…
06-08 20:51:06	Will "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a209a…
06-08 20:50:40	Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x26ee0f…
06-08 20:49:55	Will "Office Romance" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b634f…
06-08 20:49:42	Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9dee62…
06-06 21:19:21	Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d54e0…
06-06 21:19:04	Will "Grey's Anatomy: Season 22" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2b2785…
06-06 21:18:43	Will "AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Eddie Murphy" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3216f3…
06-06 21:17:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x981a49…
06-06 21:16:33	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa3b762…
06-06 21:15:58	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd79e58…
06-04 00:33:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	0¢	$2	0x2ea703…
06-03 21:47:49	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc949ec…
06-03 21:47:24	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ffbe8…
06-03 21:47:13	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e7315…
06-03 21:47:03	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8386f…
06-03 21:46:52	Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d8c7a…
06-03 21:46:43	Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x12765d…
06-03 21:46:30	Will V2Box Pro - V2Ray Client be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23396a…
06-03 21:46:19	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf95a88…
06-03 21:45:58	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x93792c…
06-03 21:45:42	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5ba1a…
06-03 21:45:31	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x98ccab…
06-03 21:45:19	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6203b…
05-28 03:39:01	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85e71d…
05-28 03:38:43	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb171ed…
05-28 03:38:36	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe8ba95…
05-28 03:38:21	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a5508…
05-28 03:35:36	Will Instants, an Instagram app be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb26ffe…
05-28 03:35:10	Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbf9e68…
05-28 03:34:58	Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05daa5…
05-28 03:34:49	Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa15113…
05-28 03:34:38	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfac685…
05-28 03:22:13	Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde02ad…
05-28 03:20:42	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8d815d…
05-28 03:20:33	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6a970a…
05-28 03:20:24	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9ca661…
05-23 15:51:09	Will "Wanda Sykes: Legacy" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17481a…
05-23 15:50:55	Will "Bad Thoughts: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x626d40…
05-22 05:24:43	Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d7ec7…
05-22 05:24:31	Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc3e650…
05-22 05:24:19	Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbdea0c…
05-22 05:24:08	Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd9b0af…
05-22 05:23:45	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd9def…
05-22 05:23:33	Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc05ff5…
05-22 05:23:21	Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x148ac9…
05-22 05:23:10	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x060109…
05-01 20:40:50	Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce923c…
04-26 04:14:14	Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe03dea…