Fearless-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$385

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-16 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

66% 94% +$8

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	3	$126	198	0	+198	Yes	+$72	06-16 19:06
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	06-08 07:13
lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	3	$64	90	0	+90	T1	-$64	06-14 07:59
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-14 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 29?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-29 18:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 18:19
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-10 06:46
will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-14 07:39
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-14 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on May 29?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-29 18:11
Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in the US in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-29 18:25
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 29?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-29 18:08
Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in the US in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-29 18:26
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-29 18:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-14 07:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-29 18:34
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-10 06:46
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-14 07:40
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-10 06:46
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-14 07:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-29 18:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-29 18:34
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 29?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-29 18:09
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-14 07:36
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on february 27	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-27 02:28
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on february 27	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-27 02:27
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 07:38
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 27	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-27 02:28
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 10	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-10 06:44
xrp above 1pt5 on march 10	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-10 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 19:06:59	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83d681…
06-16 19:05:43	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	158	63¢	$99	0x51ad73…
06-16 18:59:32	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xbc510a…
06-14 07:59:48	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	38	70¢	$26	0xace2be…
06-14 07:59:45	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x5d12a0…
06-14 07:53:22	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x0f98fa…
06-14 07:41:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x766208…
06-14 07:40:19	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x074cc0…
06-14 07:39:54	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x103cd2…
06-14 07:38:27	Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae2e6e…
06-14 07:37:57	Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x14e1a9…
06-14 07:37:36	Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x349e32…
06-14 07:36:18	Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5134c9…
06-14 07:34:18	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd1d479…
06-08 07:13:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x9d57a5…
05-29 18:34:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x577714…
05-29 18:34:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03e40b…
05-29 18:33:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c9fdc…
05-29 18:26:20	Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x432cf1…
05-29 18:25:45	Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb03d0a…
05-29 18:25:21	Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1e460d…
05-29 18:19:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x688d1e…
05-29 18:12:43	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x62d172…
05-29 18:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa95b7…
05-29 18:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on May 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xedd429…
05-29 18:09:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf76a39…
05-29 18:08:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x86cba6…
03-10 06:46:57	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x8310c0…
03-10 06:46:47	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf20287…
03-10 06:46:25	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x33d4b9…
03-10 06:45:45	xrp above 1pt5 on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bcad9…
03-10 06:44:39	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93d5d2…
02-27 02:28:26	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on february 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11cccc…
02-27 02:28:10	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59bc56…
02-27 02:27:48	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on february 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb87cec…