Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

113

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

97% 71% +$1

Politics

2% 33% -$6

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
msft close above 370 on february 9 2026	8	$1.0K	1,040	17	+1,023	Yes	+$9	02-09 13:14
msft close above 450 on february 2 2026	1	$876	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$124	02-01 23:40
msft close above 450 on february 3 2026	3	$816	818	0	+818	No	+$2	02-03 15:32
msft close above 440 on february 4 2026	6	$688	690	0	+690	No	+$2	02-04 14:30
spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	4	$567	450	450	+0	Up	-$165	08-17 12:40
msft close above 390 on february 11 2026	13	$521	263	263	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 13:27
msft close above 380 on february 10 2026	7	$511	514	0	+514	Yes	+$3	02-10 17:36
msft close above 390 on february 5 2026	10	$485	244	244	+0	Yes	+$1	02-05 20:59
msft above 410 on january 23 2026	2	$463	467	0	+467	Yes	+$5	01-21 11:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$451	236	236	+0	Yes	+$9	01-20 13:06
msft close above 430 on february 6 2026	6	$440	444	0	+444	No	+$3	02-06 13:13
spx up or down on august 18 2026	5	$387	229	229	+0	Down	+$2	08-18 13:24
aapl above 255 on january 9 2026	3	$376	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	01-09 01:13
msft above 440 on february 6 2026	2	$370	374	0	+374	No	+$4	02-05 14:38
msft close above 500 on january 30 2026	2	$311	313	0	+313	No	+$2	01-30 03:21
will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$1	01-03 03:53
msft close above 450 on january 27 2026	3	$274	279	0	+279	Yes	+$4	01-27 10:40
aapl above 240 on january 30 2026	1	$261	264	0	+264	Yes	+$3	01-29 22:46
msft close above 430 on february 5 2026	1	$253	256	0	+256	No	+$2	02-05 11:47
aapl close above 245 on january 28 2026	3	$230	235	0	+235	Yes	+$5	01-28 00:28
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	3	$227	242	21	+221	Yes	-$6	01-11 16:18
spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	5	$217	210	110	+100	Up	+$12	08-14 12:34
msft above 460 on january 2 2026	2	$215	217	0	+217	Yes	+$2	01-01 10:01
meta close above 650 on january 29 2026	1	$213	215	0	+215	Yes	+$2	01-29 00:59
msft close above 500 on january 29 2026	2	$212	215	0	+215	No	+$3	01-29 00:57
msft above 510 on january 30 2026	1	$198	199	0	+199	No	+$1	01-30 03:19
msft above 400 on january 30 2026	3	$198	109	91	+18	Yes	+$0	01-29 18:34
msft above 400 on january 23 2026	2	$197	199	0	+199	Yes	+$2	01-21 11:32
tsla close above 410 on january 29 2026	4	$175	89	89	+0	Yes	+$2	01-29 20:57
msft close above 450 on january 28 2026	1	$166	167	0	+167	Yes	+$1	01-28 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:19:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x741037…
09-17 15:14:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xd065cf…
09-17 15:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x87f0a7…
09-17 14:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xf3c1f7…
09-17 13:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0xc1e3c9…
09-17 02:17:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x553de7…
09-16 17:59:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0xf46625…
09-15 13:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0xb110e1…
09-15 08:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x8b2cb5…
09-15 06:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xacc21a…
09-15 06:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0x2c0d58…
09-15 05:26:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x964f90…
08-19 12:59:58	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5adfba…
08-18 23:40:25	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x7055a4…
08-18 23:40:24	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc70973…
08-18 23:40:24	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4678b7…
08-18 23:40:21	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x63d2a5…
08-18 23:39:51	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa8eae5…
08-18 23:39:51	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8d5fe5…
08-18 20:02:37	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	94	46¢	$43	0x344293…
08-18 16:11:04	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3f5597…
08-18 14:11:07	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x2868ec…
08-18 13:24:57	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	176	85¢	$150	0x99dcbe…
08-18 12:51:18	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xb1611f…
08-18 12:37:25	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x47955c…
08-18 09:52:54	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	191	84¢	$161	0xe94afb…
08-18 09:51:24	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0xc84ca7…
08-17 12:40:34	spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	Up	SELL	434	45¢	$195	0x1e32f9…
08-17 07:13:43	spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	434	83¢	$360	0xab2c9b…
08-17 01:34:48	spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xfb1e8b…
08-15 15:51:52	spx opens up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x0c4280…
08-14 12:34:25	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xaa7a4a…
08-14 06:49:07	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xb93f7d…
08-14 06:05:31	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7a3f17…
08-14 05:51:51	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xadbaf5…
08-14 00:55:52	spx opens up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x9f093d…
07-24 14:48:19	atp rublev assche 2026 07 24	Luca Van Assche	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa1b9c9…
07-24 14:48:18	atp rublev assche 2026 07 24	Luca Van Assche	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe036fd…
07-24 14:48:18	atp rublev assche 2026 07 24	Luca Van Assche	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6ee358…
07-24 09:01:42	wta tararud snigur 2026 07 24	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	16	35¢	$5	0x4bbceb…
07-20 08:56:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xfedaf7…
07-19 22:37:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x44105d…
07-19 02:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x67cb88…
07-18 08:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd7f573…
07-18 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xb4f679…
07-18 03:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x327232…
07-18 03:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd47e61…
07-17 23:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xf58247…
07-17 22:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcc9fce…
07-17 09:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x06e6b3…
07-17 09:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2f5652…
07-17 09:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x31225f…
07-17 02:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa8d2a6…
07-17 02:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe87688…
07-17 00:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfff587…
07-16 22:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xdcf695…
07-16 15:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2d3bd3…
07-16 15:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6efeeb…
07-16 14:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd7e4af…
07-16 08:54:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xcfff12…
07-16 06:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x0b0154…
07-16 06:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf43bd3…
07-16 03:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xeead65…
07-16 03:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x48dfcd…
07-16 03:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x96add9…
07-16 03:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x812b7d…
07-16 03:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x5829a8…
07-16 03:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x71c2a7…
07-16 03:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x69f8b9…
07-16 03:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8873e4…
07-16 03:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1a30fe…
07-16 03:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x92ee9b…
07-16 03:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8648ad…
07-16 03:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1ac11f…
07-16 02:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x7cce74…
07-16 02:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x2bf5e7…
07-16 00:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x92aca4…
07-15 23:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb58355…
07-15 22:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe11d59…
07-15 22:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x31f875…
07-15 21:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xc5bdea…
07-15 20:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xc4cad7…
07-15 19:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x3330ef…
07-15 19:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x70272c…
07-15 12:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1e6b08…
07-15 11:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a1054…
07-15 09:36:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf69c55…
07-15 08:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x14a832…
07-15 08:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x38f9ad…
07-15 06:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc38a78…
07-15 02:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb96a23…
07-15 01:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x797c26…
07-14 14:36:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x305994…
07-14 12:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x236e2f…
07-14 11:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6f8a31…
07-14 11:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0c547e…
07-14 11:20:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xcfafdc…
07-14 10:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x412a47…
07-14 10:36:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xf83d25…
07-14 10:36:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd62388…