Extraneous-Pith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$578

Unrealized P&L

-$99

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

402

Trades

894

lifetime

Volume

$24.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$142

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-25 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

81% 27% +$493

Sports

19% 40% +$105

Politics

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	+2,015	$152	3¢	$68	-$83	08-28 19:49
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+118	$40	34¢	$39	-$1	10-25 07:12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+476	$30	4¢	$18	-$12	05-27 09:13
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+111	$10	6¢	$7	-$3	06-05 09:31
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+1,494	$6	0¢	$7	+$1	06-25 06:11
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+940	$3	0¢	$1	-$1	05-21 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	12	$826	898	898	+0	Yes	-$27	06-12 04:23
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	33	$641	1,883	1,883	+0	No	+$141	06-23 01:16
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	17	$484	665	665	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$116	07-04 10:36
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	8	$452	307	307	+0	No	+$157	07-01 00:49
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	7	$437	1,341	862	+478	No	-$87	07-22 04:03
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	10	$315	514	514	+0	Knicks	+$23	06-04 03:04
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	2	$312	300	300	+0	Senegal	+$120	06-23 01:28
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?	8	$286	729	611	+118	No	-$69	06-09 02:58
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	3	$280	303	303	+0	Under	+$80	06-27 03:20
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	2	$275	251	251	+0	Under	+$55	07-03 04:22
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	2	$270	500	500	+0	No	-$40	06-23 00:43
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?	7	$263	525	525	+0	Yes	+$15	06-14 02:04
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?	7	$259	577	577	+0	No	-$103	06-14 03:20
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	2	$250	242	242	+0	Under	+$10	07-14 19:55
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	7	$249	593	593	+0	No	-$95	07-03 01:05
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	3	$234	318	318	+0	Under	-$46	06-30 01:32
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$218	303	303	+0	Yes	+$18	06-27 02:13
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	2	$216	244	244	+0	Under	+$16	07-12 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	7	$209	294	294	+0	No	-$5	06-05 06:48
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$205	1,930	1,930	+0	No	-$15	06-30 01:45
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	3	$200	263	263	+0	Over	+$0	07-06 02:36
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$200	769	0	+769	Yes	+$569	06-23 00:42
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	1	$200	370	0	+370	Over	+$170	06-24 10:25
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	2	$200	421	0	+421	Paraguay	-$200	06-29 13:49
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$198	175	175	+0	IR Iran	-$2	06-21 12:19
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	5	$196	790	390	+400	No	-$164	06-20 21:08
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	3	$190	273	100	+173	DR Congo	+$83	07-01 14:26
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 first half team total home 0pt5	2	$189	139	139	+0	Over	+$89	07-06 01:51
fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	2	$181	370	370	+0	Colombia	-$19	06-27 23:53
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	2	$181	312	312	+0	Türkiye	-$19	06-26 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:14:59	Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)	FC Tōkyō	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x31a956…
10-25 07:14:24	Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)	FC Tōkyō	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x6a8915…
10-25 07:13:53	Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)	Kawasaki Frontale	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x8c922f…
10-25 07:12:30	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x325e13…
10-25 03:02:14	Set Handicap: Coleman Wong (-1.5) vs Tristan Schoolkate (+1.5)	Coleman Wong	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xeb1370…
10-23 03:55:41	Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	Nuggets	SELL	65	25¢	$16	0x8b2c5a…
10-23 02:02:50	Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x8021c7…
10-22 23:09:32	1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4c64a9…
08-28 19:49:28	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	740	7¢	$52	0x5bd6c3…
08-27 13:43:04	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	204	16¢	$32	0x1345fc…
08-27 13:42:33	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,275	8¢	$100	0x982fa9…
08-09 05:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	153	22¢	$34	0x7b716c…
08-07 08:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	153	20¢	$30	0x0647a2…
08-07 08:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	146	34¢	$50	0xdcb3e8…
07-24 10:12:57	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	592	3¢	$20	0x3a0b79…
07-22 04:03:27	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	327	46¢	$150	0xd9719d…
07-21 14:03:16	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	204	29¢	$60	0xc66583…
07-21 14:02:00	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	111	49¢	$54	0x94a8a6…
07-19 18:58:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xbe98a6…
07-19 16:19:37	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,334	2¢	$20	0xf4da4f…
07-19 14:14:19	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0xad19a5…
07-19 05:21:34	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x73a691…
07-19 05:20:21	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	645	3¢	$20	0x4c3b22…
07-18 18:28:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x66f974…
07-18 18:26:58	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0x31ae5b…
07-18 08:28:18	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x121782…
07-17 14:18:10	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	430	6¢	$26	0x62d1ff…
07-17 14:17:49	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$20	0x9e0462…
07-15 11:38:55	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,200	1¢	$22	0x4e1dd6…
07-15 11:38:34	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0xc2c6f3…
07-15 05:36:37	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0xd9e302…
07-15 05:36:23	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xa32f66…
07-15 05:35:50	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x2b791d…
07-15 03:00:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	382	39¢	$150	0xae1eed…
07-15 03:00:16	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	521	2¢	$10	0x5f6ff9…
07-15 02:59:44	Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?	Yes	SELL	96	23¢	$22	0xaeaf5f…
07-14 20:23:55	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	375	7¢	$25	0x851e82…
07-14 19:57:58	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0xb75d29…
07-14 19:57:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	117	20¢	$24	0x18a48b…
07-14 19:56:46	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x04eb83…
07-14 19:56:32	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	238	3¢	$8	0x0b881a…
07-14 19:55:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	242	54¢	$130	0x2ecbe0…
07-14 14:52:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	242	49¢	$120	0x84c582…
07-14 14:52:11	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xeea060…
07-13 15:26:23	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x387c47…
07-13 15:26:16	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xb4abef…
07-12 02:55:26	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x2d01cb…
07-12 02:53:55	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x6786c6…
07-12 02:28:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	164	7¢	$12	0xb5beee…
07-12 02:28:32	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	244	47¢	$116	0x383739…
07-11 23:01:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xafae3c…
07-11 23:01:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	164	30¢	$50	0x5dbd81…
07-11 22:26:14	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x7a4ba8…
07-11 22:24:52	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	SELL	526	4¢	$22	0x7140b4…
07-11 22:24:34	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	174	11¢	$20	0xdfa9c3…
07-11 15:59:25	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x04632d…
07-11 15:56:52	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x8ce346…
07-11 09:08:07	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0xcaf611…
07-11 09:07:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	113	35¢	$40	0x5e5e3f…
07-10 16:11:31	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x435fab…
07-10 16:09:52	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	521	3¢	$14	0x8cdd5b…
07-10 15:50:40	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x7b4ec6…
07-10 06:10:52	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0x2cbdcd…
07-10 06:10:35	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	938	2¢	$15	0x051ac1…
07-10 06:08:53	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	556	4¢	$20	0x759238…
07-10 06:08:41	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x296671…
07-09 13:03:38	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	417	5¢	$20	0x00d957…
07-09 12:16:59	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa55c5b…
07-09 12:16:52	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	632	3¢	$20	0xdc7d07…
07-09 12:16:43	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xcf87eb…
07-08 04:09:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x5f7ceb…
07-07 17:21:52	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	125	20¢	$25	0x70c08e…
07-07 16:33:02	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 second half team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	67	31¢	$21	0x00335d…
07-07 16:30:53	Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x9963fe…
07-07 16:28:53	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	179	11¢	$20	0x63aa2d…
07-07 16:27:17	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xdd103f…
07-07 16:23:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	208	21¢	$44	0x24a99d…
07-07 16:22:41	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	286	11¢	$31	0xddf6bc…
07-07 15:23:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 second half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x2bd05c…
07-07 15:21:56	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x68939c…
07-07 15:21:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd8b6ba…
07-07 15:21:01	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xaa7dbb…
07-07 11:17:01	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	233	4¢	$10	0x1a3c0d…
07-07 11:16:50	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	627	2¢	$15	0xd7c9be…
07-07 11:16:32	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x85b36e…
07-07 11:15:01	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x3819bc…
07-07 11:12:34	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x7e31a7…
07-07 11:12:17	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xa66fa8…
07-07 11:11:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x34a901…
07-07 11:11:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xbd4b7f…
07-07 01:24:58	Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	455	6¢	$29	0x871723…
07-07 01:24:44	Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x4d754d…
07-07 01:21:04	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x6cc0f1…
07-07 01:21:02	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x2933a0…
07-07 01:20:59	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	59	45¢	$27	0xbc4811…
07-07 00:53:59	Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0x61c0a0…
07-07 00:44:47	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0xcbc523…
07-07 00:44:25	Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	286	15¢	$42	0x985bc9…
07-07 00:38:32	Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	228	13¢	$30	0x2c706f…
07-07 00:38:29	Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x069bdc…