Cruel-Diagnosis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,424

lifetime

Volume

$143.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-12 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 67% $-228

Politics

19% — —

Other

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$2.3K	1,619	1,619	+0	open	—	03-16 11:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	10	$2.3K	1,454	1,454	+0	open	—	03-22 22:05
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	9	$2.1K	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	03-28 04:20
btc updown 5m 1775082300	9	$2.1K	2,217	1,384	+833	open	—	04-01 22:28
btc updown 5m 1776331800	8	$2.0K	2,815	907	+1,908	open	—	04-16 09:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$1.8K	950	950	+0	open	—	03-18 21:03
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$1.8K	1,328	1,328	+0	open	—	03-18 21:11
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,302	1,302	+0	open	—	04-13 19:10
btc updown 5m 1775079900	10	$1.8K	1,680	1,577	+103	open	—	04-01 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776326100	15	$1.5K	1,824	1,744	+80	open	—	04-16 08:00
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	04-14 21:25
btc updown 5m 1775079600	10	$1.4K	3,267	3,078	+189	open	—	04-01 21:43
btc updown 5m 1775082000	10	$1.4K	4,144	2,691	+1,453	open	—	04-01 22:23
btc updown 5m 1776332700	11	$1.3K	889	869	+20	open	—	04-16 09:49
btc updown 5m 1775075400	6	$1.3K	1,976	1,750	+225	open	—	04-01 20:33
btc updown 5m 1776352500	6	$1.3K	757	744	+13	open	—	04-16 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776334200	14	$1.2K	2,096	1,008	+1,088	open	—	04-16 10:13
will iran strike uae again in march	10	$1.2K	831	831	+0	open	—	04-05 07:53
btc updown 5m 1776333300	13	$1.2K	1,063	883	+180	open	—	04-16 09:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$1.2K	1,260	0	+1,260	open	—	04-14 21:30
btc updown 5m 1776372600	9	$1.2K	764	751	+12	open	—	04-16 20:54
btc updown 5m 1775081400	6	$1.1K	1,131	1,086	+45	open	—	04-01 22:11
btc updown 5m 1776291900	8	$1.1K	736	720	+16	open	—	04-15 22:27
btc updown 5m 1775076000	5	$1.0K	857	824	+33	open	—	04-01 20:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$1.0K	621	621	+0	open	—	03-26 22:08
btc updown 5m 1775080200	8	$998	2,490	837	+1,653	open	—	04-01 21:55
btc updown 5m 1775257500	9	$996	1,264	942	+322	open	—	04-03 23:09
btc updown 5m 1775349300	12	$995	1,385	1,327	+59	open	—	04-05 00:39
btc updown 5m 1775078700	7	$988	955	297	+658	open	—	04-01 21:28
btc updown 5m 1775074800	5	$983	672	654	+18	open	—	04-01 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781291700	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5c920e…
06-12 19:17:40	btc updown 5m 1781291700	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x316e2d…
06-12 19:17:16	btc updown 5m 1781291700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb80c56…
06-12 19:17:15	btc updown 5m 1781291700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x97de4f…
06-10 21:32:03	btc updown 5m 1781127000	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe49e04…
06-10 21:31:45	btc updown 5m 1781127000	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x87b1fc…
06-10 21:29:46	btc updown 5m 1781126700	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x2c1e3e…
06-10 21:29:00	btc updown 5m 1781126700	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5a9a5a…
06-10 21:28:42	btc updown 5m 1781126700	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xae928a…
06-10 21:28:04	btc updown 5m 1781126700	Down	SELL	64	26¢	$17	0x76cf51…
06-10 21:27:07	btc updown 5m 1781126700	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd6d0ea…
06-10 21:26:07	btc updown 5m 1781126700	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x270b96…
06-08 21:07:03	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x8473f9…
06-08 21:06:37	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x365222…
06-08 21:06:19	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb91ffc…
06-08 21:05:51	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x0e03ad…
06-08 21:05:40	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x6cb70e…
06-08 21:05:39	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x601e7d…
06-08 21:04:30	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1befd7…
06-08 21:03:13	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x992d7d…
06-08 21:02:57	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5b9434…
06-08 21:02:42	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Up	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0x22c346…
06-08 21:01:48	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x56858b…
06-08 21:01:16	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9906e7…
06-08 21:00:42	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xffd099…
06-08 21:00:25	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5c0c90…
06-08 20:59:57	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xd961c9…
06-08 20:58:21	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xe213ec…
06-08 20:58:13	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd70513…
06-08 20:58:01	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5829e8…
06-08 20:57:13	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x46e003…
06-08 20:57:04	btc updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3c3070…
06-08 20:56:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0xb8bd80…
06-08 20:56:40	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	24¢	$31	0x0fc335…
06-08 04:57:58	btc updown 5m 1780894500	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x39b6ec…
06-08 04:57:40	btc updown 5m 1780894500	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xccc1c7…
06-08 04:57:28	btc updown 5m 1780894500	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3ad68b…
06-08 04:51:21	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb7aba0…
06-08 04:51:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x66a5c7…
06-08 04:43:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xbc0801…
06-08 04:42:55	btc updown 5m 1780893600	Up	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x47e319…
06-08 04:41:15	btc updown 5m 1780893600	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6933b7…
06-08 04:41:06	btc updown 5m 1780893600	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x63297d…
06-08 04:38:06	btc updown 5m 1780893300	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xaebe43…
06-08 04:37:54	btc updown 5m 1780893300	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0f5ffd…
06-08 04:36:06	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x69de41…
06-08 04:34:30	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xc6da97…
06-08 04:33:36	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa636f6…
06-08 04:33:09	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x771d11…
06-08 04:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x78a261…
06-08 04:32:21	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3741ec…
06-08 04:32:10	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x15b7f4…
06-08 04:31:58	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x13aa26…
06-08 04:31:46	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3cb520…
06-08 04:31:45	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x62fa72…
06-08 04:29:34	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xd4ea60…
06-08 04:28:34	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Down	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x2e76c6…
06-08 04:28:16	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9414a0…
06-08 04:27:21	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xac1a60…
06-08 04:27:18	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xa03cd4…
06-08 04:25:37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	38¢	$15	0x1a7826…
06-08 04:25:00	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x1cb5bb…
06-08 01:01:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfff124…
06-08 00:01:09	btc updown 5m 1780876800	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x2632f4…
06-08 00:00:57	btc updown 5m 1780876800	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x039b23…
06-07 23:55:46	btc updown 5m 1780876500	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6cb586…
06-07 23:55:39	btc updown 5m 1780876500	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe64818…
06-07 23:55:36	btc updown 5m 1780876500	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3dd7c8…
06-07 23:55:27	btc updown 5m 1780876500	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc0012d…
06-07 23:54:55	btc updown 5m 1780876200	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xa0c2a3…
06-07 23:51:48	btc updown 5m 1780876200	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x57ae1f…
06-07 23:51:28	btc updown 5m 1780876200	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x687556…
06-07 23:51:22	btc updown 5m 1780876200	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xedafb1…
06-07 23:50:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	132	19¢	$25	0xf43f4e…
06-07 20:49:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	85	86¢	$73	0xdebb2b…
06-07 20:48:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	176	33¢	$58	0xaa20af…
06-07 20:48:31	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x592624…
06-07 20:37:43	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x15c785…
06-07 20:35:24	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ff4d2…
06-07 20:35:22	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89ffe2…
06-07 20:35:22	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x644c92…
06-07 20:34:28	btc updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16c9b4…
06-07 20:34:22	btc updown 5m 1780864200	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ebffb…
06-07 20:33:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa7b202…
06-07 20:33:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x43d874…
06-07 20:12:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xbf79c1…
06-07 20:09:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x21e6d1…
06-07 20:04:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1db320…
06-07 19:53:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xfaa676…
06-07 19:44:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x9b322c…
06-07 19:24:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x1e63b2…
06-07 19:18:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0x346e46…
05-21 10:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7fd8bb…
05-21 10:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x54b261…
05-21 10:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a9a2a…
05-21 10:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9fad33…
05-21 10:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf0945e…
05-21 10:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd9ac6d…
05-21 10:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9fea31…
05-21 10:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe9d6a4…