Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$121

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-11 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

73% 100% +$40

Politics

21% 86% +$30

Tech

6% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No		+129	$121	94¢	$121	+$0	10-11 12:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	2	$232	123	123	+0	open	—	10-11 12:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$212	110	110	+0	No	+$8	09-01 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	1	$121	129	0	+129	open	—	10-11 12:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$102	66	66	+0	Yes	+$20	03-14 10:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	07-08 05:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:24
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$85	45	45	+0	No	+$5	06-01 06:24
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$85	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 08:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-19 17:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$52	54	0	+54	No	+$2	07-08 05:27
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$46	48	0	+48	No	+$2	07-01 06:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$45	49	0	+49	No	+$5	06-01 06:27
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$44	47	0	+47	No	+$2	06-01 06:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$42	23	23	+0	No	+$4	05-01 07:09
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$31	57	0	+57	No	+$26	03-14 11:21
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$30	39	0	+39	No	+$9	03-14 11:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$20	31	0	+31	Yes	-$20	04-01 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 12:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	129	94¢	$121	0x45d305…
10-11 12:04:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$121	0xd766ae…
09-01 06:14:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	123	90¢	$110	0x3b9d0d…
09-01 06:13:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xd00ede…
08-08 16:58:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0xcb20f9…
08-01 12:03:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x8de8a1…
07-08 05:27:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x51dff0…
07-08 05:26:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xd7a48f…
07-01 06:44:47	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x326193…
07-01 06:43:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2eb37a…
06-01 06:27:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x9a1932…
06-01 06:25:41	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0x0b7e1c…
06-01 06:24:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x2a0d2e…
06-01 06:24:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb7016e…
05-23 08:52:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x31af94…
05-23 08:52:03	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0xe867ea…
05-19 17:12:55	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x5a7357…
05-19 17:08:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xb5737b…
05-01 07:13:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x01d5b1…
05-01 07:10:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8b60e8…
05-01 07:09:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x97d3e3…
04-01 15:57:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x1e429a…
04-01 15:57:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x84fc6d…
03-14 11:21:43	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	57	55¢	$31	0xab5f37…
03-14 11:21:39	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x688a89…
03-14 10:41:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	66	92¢	$61	0x808cd1…
03-06 11:57:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	66	62¢	$41	0xa6bf64…