Distorted-Rowboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,318

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-19 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 38% $-34

Other

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774316700	4	$342	263	260	+3	open	—	03-24 01:48
btc updown 5m 1774314600	2	$310	245	241	+4	open	—	03-24 01:13
btc updown 5m 1774399800	7	$240	294	291	+4	open	—	03-25 00:54
btc updown 5m 1774314900	3	$240	302	299	+3	open	—	03-24 01:19
btc updown 5m 1774314300	2	$214	217	213	+3	open	—	03-24 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$197	469	441	+28	open	—	04-25 03:29
btc updown 5m 1774317300	2	$196	126	125	+1	open	—	03-24 01:59
btc updown 5m 1774314000	2	$194	128	126	+2	open	—	03-24 01:03
btc updown 5m 1774106100	4	$188	152	150	+1	open	—	03-21 15:17
wta muchova osorio 2026 03 19	27	$172	132	132	+0	open	—	03-20 23:06
btc updown 5m 1774316400	3	$169	196	128	+69	open	—	03-24 01:44
btc updown 5m 1774310400	2	$162	113	112	+2	open	—	03-24 00:00
btc updown 5m 1774311600	6	$154	221	220	+2	open	—	03-24 00:23
btc updown 5m 1774311300	4	$152	105	104	+1	open	—	03-24 00:17
atp paul mannari 2026 03 20	34	$143	132	110	+22	open	—	03-20 22:07
btc updown 5m 1774398300	4	$138	90	90	+1	open	—	03-25 00:29
btc updown 5m 1774487400	3	$135	171	99	+73	open	—	03-26 01:11
btc updown 5m 1773711300	4	$132	145	124	+21	open	—	03-17 01:39
btc updown 5m 1774312800	2	$131	129	127	+2	open	—	03-24 00:44
btc updown 5m 1774401000	3	$126	84	76	+8	open	—	03-25 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$125	190	127	+63	open	—	04-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	6	$114	133	127	+6	open	—	04-25 02:34
btc updown 5m 1776803100	5	$114	289	263	+26	open	—	04-21 20:28
btc updown 5m 1774104300	2	$110	95	94	+1	open	—	03-21 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774106700	2	$105	92	90	+1	open	—	03-21 15:26
btc updown 5m 1774398600	4	$101	120	118	+2	open	—	03-25 00:33
btc updown 5m 1774317600	1	$100	147	0	+147	open	—	03-24 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$100	109	104	+5	open	—	04-26 16:44
btc updown 5m 1774397100	4	$99	87	85	+1	open	—	03-25 00:09
btc updown 5m 1773723900	3	$97	108	82	+26	open	—	03-17 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x098483…
05-19 16:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x587b3d…
05-19 16:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x34ba48…
05-19 16:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x94548e…
05-19 16:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcb2d07…
05-19 16:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0xb71258…
05-19 16:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xa3a08e…
05-19 16:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa60f91…
05-17 23:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	18¢	$23	0x8126ea…
05-17 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeaac90…
05-17 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xeb41f4…
05-17 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xd0d65d…
05-17 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x19537d…
05-17 23:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x522932…
05-17 23:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x278ab0…
05-17 23:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x9cecb3…
05-17 23:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xfcc0be…
05-17 23:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	12¢	$10	0x10b34d…
05-17 23:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xfd132f…
05-17 23:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x99438e…
05-17 23:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x5e1f2f…
05-17 23:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x3b0afb…
05-17 23:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x21cf65…
05-17 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x12163d…
05-17 23:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x287472…
05-17 23:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x7521b9…
05-17 23:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xf3b032…
05-17 22:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf425ce…
05-17 22:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0xe7d9ee…
05-17 22:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb9cf87…
05-17 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	19¢	$9	0xe061f3…
05-17 22:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x94300f…
05-17 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xf4c32c…
05-17 22:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x745f5f…
05-17 22:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	39¢	$14	0x9f3634…
05-17 22:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x289cd5…
05-17 22:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x288b30…
05-17 22:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x773409…
05-17 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x76a091…
05-17 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x26db03…
05-17 22:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x9dbee5…
05-17 22:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0x093800…
05-17 22:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0xdd6558…
05-17 22:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0xce100c…
05-17 22:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x4b7e0c…
05-15 15:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	22¢	$9	0x4bd879…
05-15 15:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x093df5…
05-15 15:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x121491…
05-15 15:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x6be9a3…
05-15 15:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa0eb14…
05-15 15:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x7bc25d…
05-15 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9eb015…
05-15 15:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x157a27…
05-15 15:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x9e2b4c…
05-15 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x94bc60…
05-15 15:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xc2290d…
05-15 15:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xeb3654…
05-15 15:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x426c54…
05-15 15:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xbeeb3d…
05-15 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	39	32¢	$12	0xa5793b…
05-15 15:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xdd10de…
05-15 15:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0x17daf3…
05-15 15:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xc02855…
05-15 15:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4ee601…
05-15 15:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x4a8cea…
05-15 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1efe86…
05-15 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x79e558…
05-15 15:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x716174…
05-15 15:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc3ff24…
05-15 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xad0031…
05-15 15:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd6a935…
05-15 15:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd14de0…
05-15 15:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1a797d…
05-15 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3d9925…
05-15 15:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x1ad2e2…
05-15 15:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x11a573…
05-12 18:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xfd6a59…
05-12 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x491ff5…
05-12 18:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0x1271ce…
05-12 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x80b72b…
05-12 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x3240cb…
05-12 18:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xb66078…
05-12 18:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x38a6e3…
05-12 03:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x48fda2…
05-12 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0xd3f737…
05-12 03:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x96ee06…
05-12 03:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x774335…
05-12 03:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xd583c1…
05-12 03:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x45f09c…
05-12 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa099e0…
05-12 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x09f6fa…
05-12 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xbfe886…
05-12 03:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0xe0c49e…
05-12 03:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xa8a7f8…
05-12 03:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x9b7b92…
05-12 03:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x2fee77…
05-12 03:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x002ff4…
05-12 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1d2650…
05-12 03:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x2db673…
05-12 03:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x01fac8…