Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$172

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

782

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$999

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-30 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

100% 0% -$9,049

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+173,000	$908	0¢	$778	-$129	10-27 01:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+36,200	$239	1¢	$199	-$40	10-25 13:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+43	$10	30¢	$13	+$3	10-21 01:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,030	$14	1¢	$9	-$6	09-28 10:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	39	$3.4K	11,994	7,694	+4,300	No	-$467	09-16 10:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	50	$2.0K	200,000	0	+200,000	No	-$1,998	09-11 16:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	193	$1.6K	1,000,000	0	+1,000,000	No	-$1,622	10-26 18:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	33	$1.3K	230,339	28,800	+201,539	No	-$964	07-29 16:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	30	$1.2K	420,001	0	+420,001	No	-$1,174	09-11 16:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	216,695	0	+216,695	Yes	-$1,090	06-15 13:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$1.1K	150,208	150,208	+0	No	-$162	07-20 13:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	115	$908	173,020	20	+173,000	open	—	10-27 01:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	13	$675	4,679	2,400	+2,279	Yes	-$195	07-16 00:48
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	37	$498	146,027	0	+146,027	Yes	-$498	07-31 04:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	18	$239	36,214	14	+36,200	open	—	10-25 13:42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	62	$195	54,816	0	+54,816	No	-$195	07-30 09:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	39	$186	6,908	325	+6,582	No	-$160	09-17 08:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$148	1,833	1,833	+0	No	-$5	07-16 00:25
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	15	$112	31,000	0	+31,000	No	-$112	06-15 20:06
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	19	$95	1,326	13	+1,313	No	-$70	06-28 12:52
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	21	$81	7,525	0	+7,525	Yes	-$81	07-23 09:40
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	20	$57	5,717	0	+5,717	No	-$57	09-02 08:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$37	16,333	0	+16,333	No	-$37	06-14 22:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$31	12,300	2,300	+10,000	No	-$12	07-29 07:37
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	2	$25	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$25	07-03 13:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$22	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$2	07-03 12:41
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	3	$20	19,300	0	+19,300	No	-$20	10-23 09:35
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$17	10,434	0	+10,434	No	-$17	07-11 23:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$14	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	09-28 10:40
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	1	$13	3,176	0	+3,176	No	-$13	06-28 06:59
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?	1	$10	256	0	+256	No	-$10	08-11 21:23
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	3	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	10-23 11:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	10-21 01:49
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	10-15 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:44:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	610	1¢	$7	0xbefa77…
10-27 01:51:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x2c6f50…
10-26 18:40:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x506c22…
10-26 16:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60,000	0¢	$60	0xb57db4…
10-26 16:43:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0x561313…
10-26 16:22:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1afdeb…
10-26 16:22:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$3	0x8c79f0…
10-26 11:39:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8d453c…
10-25 16:02:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xf95721…
10-25 16:01:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x9c7314…
10-25 15:57:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0x1ff010…
10-25 14:15:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x4ec300…
10-25 13:42:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,350	0¢	$12	0x000e91…
10-25 13:42:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$6	0x83c69d…
10-24 21:36:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdfc57d…
10-24 11:11:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x830fe4…
10-24 11:10:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	1¢	$3	0xd07c93…
10-24 09:59:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xe58b0b…
10-23 15:09:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45,000	0¢	$45	0xb755ba…
10-23 14:45:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55,000	0¢	$55	0xaaca6b…
10-23 11:52:20	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa22633…
10-23 11:48:27	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8f7fc3…
10-23 11:46:44	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe6f9cc…
10-23 11:46:02	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x39e327…
10-23 11:43:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd49291…
10-23 11:43:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x19638a…
10-23 11:39:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x54c2f2…
10-23 11:02:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xc245d4…
10-23 09:35:08	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa30976…
10-22 18:20:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,500	1¢	$32	0x280b3d…
10-22 17:12:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xe6f3c9…
10-22 17:12:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$0	0x5a128a…
10-22 17:11:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7ba0fc…
10-22 17:08:57	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd94003…
10-22 17:08:27	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,300	0¢	$5	0x078f36…
10-22 16:27:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x06395c…
10-22 16:01:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,300	1¢	$10	0x90d1ff…
10-22 15:59:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0x380992…
10-22 08:32:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x9caa4c…
10-22 08:29:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,015	1¢	$18	0x416695…
10-22 08:28:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0x4d4db0…
10-22 08:26:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$17	0xab26f3…
10-22 08:07:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,485	0¢	$6	0xd54b31…
10-21 20:27:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xe2deda…
10-21 20:27:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$2	0x275bb3…
10-21 18:04:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0xa5bf8e…
10-21 16:25:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$9	0x47dfed…
10-21 15:41:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xd14b7e…
10-21 14:54:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$6	0x24ac65…
10-21 14:53:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,400	1¢	$17	0x1cfd36…
10-21 14:28:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x89d98a…
10-21 14:12:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$12	0x2ab8ad…
10-21 09:33:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$6	0x754873…
10-21 08:10:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0xcc3ec4…
10-21 07:48:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xab1655…
10-21 01:50:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x1d4320…
10-21 01:49:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x143452…
10-21 01:48:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,250	1¢	$23	0xf202e3…
10-18 18:49:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xa996b2…
10-18 15:44:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0x1c795e…
10-17 22:18:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x2dcc0e…
10-17 08:59:54	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xb9f1ac…
10-16 18:36:52	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$8	0x9f79ce…
10-16 18:29:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,700	1¢	$70	0xb824d2…
10-16 09:33:30	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x0d4c61…
10-16 09:31:42	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd9d88f…
10-16 07:26:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x0895fd…
10-16 07:00:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xe62f76…
10-15 20:35:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x0c7a9a…
10-15 07:34:16	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x14f786…
10-15 07:32:53	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,800	0¢	$4	0x54e7cc…
10-15 00:58:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17,500	0¢	$87	0xe58f96…
10-15 00:57:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$30	0xe25ed6…
10-15 00:56:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,400	0¢	$46	0x70e853…
10-15 00:31:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0x254c90…
10-15 00:15:37	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb08374…
10-15 00:14:55	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x444a9c…
10-14 07:06:32	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x2b155f…
10-13 17:34:58	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x7df861…
10-13 17:34:09	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13,000	0¢	$13	0xe7e513…
10-11 11:32:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	945	1¢	$7	0xd234c1…
10-11 11:30:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,655	1¢	$67	0x9183ea…
10-11 11:30:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,000	1¢	$44	0x3048d0…
10-07 10:30:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x1287d4…
10-07 10:27:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0x6aba90…
10-07 10:21:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5b8cd5…
10-04 01:30:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$45	0xa135fd…
10-03 09:18:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x266562…
09-30 01:57:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x0b9c4a…
09-30 01:56:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$3	0x451a0e…
09-30 01:54:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xb4c6c5…
09-30 01:53:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$60	0xfde8b6…
09-29 19:19:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0xb17e18…
09-29 16:51:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	292	0¢	$1	0x91e9b9…
09-29 16:50:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	433	1¢	$3	0xd9883b…
09-29 16:49:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,908	0¢	$45	0x8a883b…
09-29 16:48:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,001	0¢	$90	0x8ca2dc…
09-29 14:18:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$75	0xa1667f…
09-29 14:17:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31,499	0¢	$94	0x87c7b4…
09-28 10:44:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x7f1b58…