Monthly-Celsius — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

+$123

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

1,963

Trades

2,503

lifetime

Volume

$8.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$337

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-11 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% -$51

Crypto

16% 52% +$3

Sports

3% 42% -$34

Politics

1% 20% +$2

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No		+328	$194	97¢	$319	+$126	09-11 11:05
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-23	-$15	78¢	$-18	-$3	07-27 04:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	2	$194	328	0	+328	open	—	09-11 11:05
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	2	$90	143	143	+0	No	-$10	01-23 07:30
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	3	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$2	05-02 16:33
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$30	17	17	+0	No	$0	03-22 14:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$30	17	17	+0	No	$0	03-21 00:44
aws service disrupted by march 31 623	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	-$15	03-20 12:13
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	+$2	03-18 07:53
will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	03-18 09:12
LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5	3	$15	20	10	+10	Yes	-$5	05-02 01:28
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5	3	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	05-08 02:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$15	0	23	-23	open	—	07-27 04:51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	3	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-08 04:41
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	1	$14	17	0	+17	No	+$3	03-19 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?	2	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	-$6	08-11 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	3	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	-$6	08-12 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 14?	3	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	-$6	08-14 03:01
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	+$12	03-22 02:50
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	-$10	03-27 05:54
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	01-14 12:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 14:00 UTC	7	$8	11	0	+11	Up	-$8	03-15 14:02
uef swe pol 2026 03 31 btts	1	$7	15	0	+15	Yes	-$7	03-31 14:34
fif smr and 2026 03 31 btts	1	$7	18	0	+18	No	-$7	03-31 06:04
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5	2	$6	14	0	+14	No	+$8	04-28 02:48
wta tormo akugue 2026 08 25 match total 21pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	cancelled	+$0	08-25 15:38
itf preda capeti 2026 08 25 first set total 10pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	cancelled	+$0	08-25 08:34
wta bartunk potapov 2026 08 26 first set total 10pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	cancelled	+$0	08-26 01:32
atp virtane dimitro 2026 08 27 match total 23pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	cancelled	+$0	08-27 16:34
Majchrzak vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 21.5	1	$6	10	0	+10	Over	+$4	08-24 16:37
Tjen vs. Yastremska: Match O/U 22.5	1	$6	14	0	+14	Over	+$8	08-24 20:34
atp kovacev tsitsip 2026 08 26 match total 22pt5	1	$6	11	0	+11	Under	-$6	08-26 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 11:05:21	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	150	61¢	$92	0xfebfdd…
09-11 10:33:31	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	178	57¢	$102	0x7abaf5…
08-27 16:34:03	atp virtane dimitro 2026 08 27 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x606047…
08-26 20:35:03	atp kovacev tsitsip 2026 08 26 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x1ae262…
08-26 01:32:00	wta bartunk potapov 2026 08 26 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x946031…
08-25 15:38:07	wta tormo akugue 2026 08 25 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe89e57…
08-25 08:34:28	itf preda capeti 2026 08 25 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd29aff…
08-24 20:34:58	Tjen vs. Yastremska: Match O/U 22.5	Over	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x5e9ea9…
08-24 16:37:27	Majchrzak vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1fca3c…
08-15 14:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb360c2…
08-15 11:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x36a7e0…
08-15 08:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xea69e4…
08-15 07:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xceadd2…
08-15 07:41:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd2d399…
08-15 07:15:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0df1c…
08-15 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb02f8c…
08-15 07:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x923053…
08-15 07:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x225267…
08-15 07:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x00a068…
08-15 06:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe41b2f…
08-15 06:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec22e9…
08-15 06:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x733aa9…
08-15 06:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x27bc94…
08-15 05:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc2257a…
08-15 05:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4d2c3b…
08-15 04:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5f226a…
08-15 04:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0408db…
08-15 04:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xec0c9d…
08-15 04:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x565a4e…
08-15 03:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdc5341…
08-15 03:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd3be7d…
08-15 03:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7e52ee…
08-15 02:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc621b6…
08-15 02:47:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5bf720…
08-15 02:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb9d8a1…
08-15 02:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xefa08a…
08-15 02:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7a361d…
08-15 01:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x176ea2…
08-15 01:23:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdd621b…
08-15 01:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x874d28…
08-15 01:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x27e8b9…
08-15 01:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9d6eb1…
08-15 01:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x35d855…
08-15 00:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdddfd2…
08-15 00:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1a666…
08-15 00:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b5546…
08-15 00:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5c7207…
08-15 00:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a38a2…
08-15 00:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x78cac5…
08-15 00:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x827fee…
08-15 00:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3d628b…
08-15 00:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x256499…
08-14 23:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6ca318…
08-14 23:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d7f49…
08-14 23:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9153ae…
08-14 23:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc82b2a…
08-14 22:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x63bd77…
08-14 22:49:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79f825…
08-14 22:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x04a9f1…
08-14 22:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x456e2e…
08-14 22:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5f2a20…
08-14 22:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4388b9…
08-14 21:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6a18c5…
08-14 21:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf9a767…
08-14 21:35:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6fd334…
08-14 21:28:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 14?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1427fc…
08-14 21:28:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 14?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf29cbb…
08-14 21:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x964a57…
08-14 21:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9166e…
08-14 21:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x73ac5a…
08-14 21:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x145efe…
08-14 20:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0282f9…
08-14 20:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25d014…
08-14 20:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x35fdff…
08-14 20:18:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xebe1a9…
08-14 20:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8c1b6b…
08-14 20:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xee8cc9…
08-14 19:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x55d864…
08-14 19:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x89b9e1…
08-14 19:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb07584…
08-14 19:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaaf2cf…
08-14 18:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb16015…
08-14 18:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1d67f…
08-14 18:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe8c6c…
08-14 18:16:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xda2489…
08-14 18:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x35e526…
08-14 18:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fa90e…
08-14 17:54:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1586d3…
08-14 17:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3a448c…
08-14 17:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x94b91f…
08-14 17:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e069e…
08-14 17:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9905c3…
08-14 17:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x03d84e…
08-14 17:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb58fdb…
08-14 17:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90cd48…
08-14 17:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25ecab…
08-14 17:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5e7ca9…
08-14 17:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf2dc43…
08-14 17:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe377d7…
08-14 17:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc6a9a7…