Disguised-Wannabe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$826

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

639

Trades

1,687

lifetime

Volume

$37.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-21 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

57% 40% +$672

Sports

21% 43% +$146

Crypto

18% 47% -$19

Politics

4% 80% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$1.2K	609	609	+0	No	+$16	04-22 03:49
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 25corbelow	10	$1.1K	611	611	+0	Yes	+$61	03-30 14:10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	3	$784	419	419	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$53	05-20 04:30
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	2	$767	388	388	+0	Over	+$7	05-12 05:13
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5	2	$722	372	372	+0	Over	+$22	05-13 02:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 13c	6	$695	389	385	+3	No	+$63	04-10 05:32
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	2	$652	352	352	+0	Over	+$52	05-13 02:42
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 216pt5	2	$614	314	314	+0	Over	+$14	06-09 03:22
highest temperature in taipei on april 1 2026 22c	9	$589	320	319	+1	Yes	+$48	04-01 15:56
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	3	$561	335	335	+0	Athletics	+$109	05-21 04:33
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	8	$550	614	314	+300	Kia Tigers	+$69	05-15 12:41
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	6	$527	374	374	+0	EDward Gaming	+$79	05-13 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 20?	2	$521	272	272	+0	No	+$21	05-20 02:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 20 2026 31c	2	$486	260	258	+2	No	+$31	04-20 02:36
highest temperature in taipei on april 16 2026 31c	18	$433	257	253	+4	No	+$77	04-16 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 5?	2	$404	298	298	+0	No	+$4	06-05 01:53
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$400	272	272	+0	KT Rolster	+$143	05-20 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?	2	$395	211	211	+0	No	+$26	06-18 02:38
highest temperature in taipei on april 17 2026 31c	2	$394	224	222	+2	No	+$37	04-17 06:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	12	$362	512	512	+0	Spurs	-$75	05-19 03:19
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	4	$358	272	272	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$181	07-12 11:48
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 28c	3	$343	194	194	+0	No	+$12	03-30 04:27
highest temperature in taipei on april 5 2026 25c	7	$324	185	184	+1	No	+$11	04-05 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 26?	2	$312	186	183	+3	No	+$56	04-26 07:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$297	165	165	+0	Yes	+$3	04-04 23:12
highest temperature in taipei on april 4 2026 25c	2	$290	165	164	+1	No	+$11	04-04 00:04
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$264	446	0	+446	Argentina	-$264	07-07 17:57
highest temperature in chengdu on april 13 2026 20c	1	$259	262	0	+262	No	+$3	04-13 06:56
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$247	147	147	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$47	05-13 05:12
kbo lot sam 2026 07 19	6	$244	182	182	+0	Lotte Giants	+$109	07-19 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 01:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x62f366…
10-21 01:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xb16c43…
10-21 01:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x96552c…
10-20 06:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	143	40¢	$57	0x90b895…
10-20 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x671fa9…
10-20 06:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x3781f8…
10-20 06:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0xdcf7c5…
10-20 06:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x5dcf41…
10-20 06:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x85bbd6…
10-20 06:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x51cbf3…
10-20 06:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xfd816a…
10-20 06:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x61795e…
10-20 06:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0xbadf10…
10-20 06:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xcee376…
10-20 06:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x483d92…
10-20 06:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0xf8b9dd…
10-20 06:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xffe751…
10-20 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x22765e…
10-20 06:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe886ae…
10-20 05:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0xa3ceab…
10-20 05:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x7e1dd7…
10-20 05:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xca8f9e…
10-20 05:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x8e9025…
10-20 05:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x8228a8…
10-20 05:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0xdf9c3c…
10-20 05:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x8c1de6…
10-20 05:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x4ddda6…
10-20 04:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x7b613a…
10-20 04:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6b2881…
10-20 03:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x0f78cf…
10-20 03:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x6fa402…
10-20 03:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd5f356…
10-20 03:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0xcb9058…
10-20 03:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x7f8f2e…
10-20 03:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x43f6bb…
10-20 03:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa237ea…
10-20 03:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	53	65¢	$34	0xad87b9…
10-20 03:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa448da…
10-20 03:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4ec660…
10-20 03:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x6c5516…
10-20 03:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x0c3b66…
10-20 03:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0x30414b…
10-20 03:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0x6737b0…
10-20 03:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x861fb8…
10-20 03:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8c8f86…
10-20 03:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x423e32…
10-20 03:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	65	60¢	$39	0xa92732…
10-20 03:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd1e4b6…
10-20 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xeef919…
10-20 03:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	53	43¢	$23	0xa49369…
10-20 03:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x3cd562…
10-20 03:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	45	68¢	$31	0x083b71…
10-20 03:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x44ee6e…
10-20 03:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x12a701…
10-20 03:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2b1840…
10-20 03:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0xf6d8c1…
10-20 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x1def16…
10-20 03:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xb8b6fb…
10-20 03:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xbbff8e…
10-20 03:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x36fad8…
10-20 03:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0233c5…
10-20 03:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xef0ca4…
10-20 03:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	57	51¢	$29	0xc9a280…
10-20 03:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb42fb0…
10-20 02:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5cec9a…
10-20 02:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0x50da1b…
10-20 02:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0xce253d…
10-20 02:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	71	44¢	$32	0x3f3fef…
10-20 02:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x9cb6bd…
10-20 02:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x254445…
10-20 02:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x3ec7a1…
10-20 02:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x2cc38f…
10-20 02:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0xf2604b…
10-20 02:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x7ba9a4…
10-20 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x9f1db3…
10-20 02:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xc19735…
10-20 02:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x29474a…
10-20 02:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x78f68d…
10-20 02:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7c2071…
10-20 02:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x5ffbdc…
10-20 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x92c894…
10-20 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0xcc17bb…
10-20 02:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x4e7fe1…
10-20 02:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x97d7d4…
10-20 02:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7f4a30…
10-20 02:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9a8db2…
10-20 02:10:30	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 150.5	Over	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xca4029…
10-20 01:44:38	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 150.5	Over	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x430ebe…
10-20 01:44:09	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xde3d99…
10-20 01:41:20	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7a417f…
10-20 01:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	119	6¢	$8	0xdc2663…
10-19 18:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x61e021…
10-19 18:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x61866a…
10-19 17:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x450a90…
10-19 17:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x3aeb4b…
10-19 13:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x490692…
10-19 13:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x537b5b…
10-19 13:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe8688c…
10-19 13:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x2be519…
10-19 13:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x2c7be5…