Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

858

Trades

1,298

lifetime

Volume

$870

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 10-15 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

68% 41% -$18

Crypto

30% 51% -$4

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	9	$35	1,019	18	+1,001	No	-$2	07-10 08:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	6	$15	0	30	-30	No	$0	07-28 03:29
atp borges luz 2026 07 21	13	$14	169	123	+46	Nuno Borges	-$1	07-21 14:04
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$11	0	11	-11	No	$0	07-27 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?	4	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$1	07-09 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:20 UTC	4	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$1	07-13 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:10 UTC	4	$9	9	5	+4	Up	+$1	07-13 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:00 UTC	3	$9	9	5	+4	Down	+$1	07-13 03:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	6	$8	4	6	-2	Yes	+$0	07-27 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 9?	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	+$6	07-09 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:00 UTC	5	$8	6	4	+2	Up	$0	07-12 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 25?	3	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	07-25 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?	5	$8	11	11	+0	Yes	-$2	07-11 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 10?	6	$7	276	221	+54	No	+$1	07-10 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 18?	3	$7	0	7	-7	No	$0	07-17 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	07-14 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 30?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	07-30 23:13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	4	$7	0	14	-14	No	+$0	07-25 22:57
cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	5	$7	2	7	-5	100 Thieves	$0	08-09 15:11
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$2	07-05 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	07-26 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 15?	3	$6	4	6	-2	No	+$0	07-15 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	3	$6	0	6	-6	No	+$3	07-20 11:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?	4	$6	38	11	+26	Yes	-$2	07-06 07:33
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:35 UTC	4	$6	7	7	+0	Down	$0	07-13 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 17?	5	$6	103	5	+98	No	-$1	07-17 21:57
atp wawrink burruch 2026 07 20	3	$6	3	4	-1	Roman Andres Burruchaga	+$0	07-21 16:54
wta rus avanesy 2026 07 21	4	$6	22	22	+0	Elina Avanesyan	$0	07-21 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-13 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 01:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x422cb4…
10-10 13:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x16853a…
10-10 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	42¢	$0	0x0ef365…
10-10 13:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	57¢	$0	0x0e20a3…
10-07 20:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xeb0e71…
10-07 17:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x3ecdd1…
10-06 05:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0x311198…
10-06 05:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x7f2829…
10-06 02:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0x7bacde…
10-05 14:57:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x01ded7…
10-05 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x2c9958…
10-05 14:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xdf1eb9…
10-05 12:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xee905f…
10-05 12:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	48¢	$0	0x73a7f3…
10-05 12:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x4e90ac…
10-05 12:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x0aee86…
10-05 11:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xb14e6e…
10-05 11:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:25 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xb3e660…
10-05 02:45:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x396f2c…
10-05 00:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	52¢	$0	0xce6bba…
10-04 22:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x862b9d…
10-04 11:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	48¢	$0	0xe87f97…
10-04 04:36:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0x9416aa…
10-04 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0x3fe089…
10-04 00:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x927453…
10-03 13:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xb3ed48…
10-03 09:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xc850c0…
10-03 09:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	46¢	$0	0x92e4c5…
10-03 07:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0xefb33d…
10-03 02:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x83ed54…
10-02 15:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x3869a5…
10-01 04:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	47¢	$0	0x107a86…
09-30 10:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0xe178c5…
09-30 00:46:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	51¢	$0	0x9ba2bd…
09-29 02:42:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x825758…
09-29 01:49:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	45¢	$0	0xb19d6a…
09-28 04:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:40 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x2aee94…
09-27 06:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x37cb27…
09-27 06:30:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0xf8ff2e…
09-27 06:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xec48b2…
09-27 01:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 01:25 UTC	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x324706…
09-25 07:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x9923db…
09-22 22:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	52¢	$0	0x5fdb94…
09-22 11:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xe59871…
09-22 10:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0xb09d1c…
09-21 20:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x1c104a…
09-21 14:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xdafaed…
09-21 07:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xf90dbc…
09-21 04:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x8368ee…
09-21 04:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x08b7fb…
09-21 04:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xaa399c…
09-21 03:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xc75b04…
09-20 14:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0x4f38a1…
09-20 14:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0xcc1d2a…
09-20 14:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	54¢	$0	0xfcd108…
09-20 13:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xae6648…
09-20 09:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	46¢	$0	0x2e8f34…
09-20 09:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xd475c9…
09-20 08:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xe6c906…
09-20 08:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	44¢	$0	0xee71cf…
09-20 05:22:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x82382b…
09-20 05:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xdfae01…
09-20 01:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	46¢	$0	0xe69940…
09-19 17:00:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	44¢	$0	0x7e5e10…
09-19 16:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	97¢	$0	0x6aa390…
09-19 16:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0x6f3103…
09-19 15:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	8¢	$0	0xd2b215…
09-19 15:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xd627c4…
09-19 15:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0xb15332…
09-19 13:33:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xba0ee1…
09-19 13:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	86¢	$0	0xcf796f…
09-19 13:27:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x42006f…
09-19 12:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	53¢	$0	0x7a7ba1…
09-19 09:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	46¢	$0	0xf8b5a4…
09-19 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	47¢	$0	0xb56778…
09-19 06:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	62¢	$0	0xc96d12…
09-19 04:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x9a3fb8…
09-19 04:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0xbaae71…
09-18 13:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x0397c9…
09-18 12:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	48¢	$0	0x9cc7f6…
09-18 11:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0x6ed451…
09-18 09:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0x48dbbd…
09-18 09:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	55¢	$0	0xc98614…
09-18 07:41:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0xf77be8…
09-18 07:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	44¢	$0	0xb16426…
09-18 06:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	51¢	$0	0xa133d4…
09-18 06:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	43¢	$0	0xcff3ea…
09-18 06:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52¢	$0	0x2dde43…
09-18 06:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	47¢	$0	0x7b78a6…
09-17 23:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	62¢	$0	0xb17012…
09-17 22:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xf91663…
09-17 15:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x4094f5…
09-17 12:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xfe349c…
09-17 01:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	45¢	$0	0x899ef8…
09-15 12:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0xaabd3b…
09-15 09:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x5bc62f…
09-15 09:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0xc47349…
09-15 05:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0xed8d58…
09-15 05:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	100¢	$0	0xf08148…
09-15 05:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xa2c112…