Nifty-Heifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$693

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

$88

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-01 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

60% 89% +$513

Other

28% 82% +$46

Sports

6% 100% +$98

Crypto

4% 100% +$24

Tech

2% 100% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-90	-$84	98¢	$-88	-$4	05-07 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$618	326	326	+0	No	+$18	04-01 19:06
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	2	$524	276	276	+0	No	+$24	03-07 09:27
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$521	302	302	+0	No	+$81	03-17 23:15
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$518	270	270	+0	No	+$18	03-25 19:01
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$443	242	242	+0	No	+$37	04-28 20:02
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	3	$427	248	248	+0	No	+$27	05-17 18:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$424	225	225	+0	No	+$24	04-01 19:03
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$411	215	215	+0	No	+$11	03-17 23:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$382	213	213	+0	No	+$42	04-28 20:02
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	2	$379	198	198	+0	No	+$17	06-01 21:57
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$369	197	197	+0	No	+$19	04-28 20:02
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$357	189	189	+0	No	+$17	04-18 17:39
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$340	178	178	+0	Yes	+$16	03-08 22:40
will iran strike oman again in march	2	$336	176	176	+0	No	+$16	04-05 16:57
will trump meet with king of morocco mohammed vi in march 2026 185	2	$325	180	180	+0	No	+$25	03-17 23:17
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$325	174	174	+0	No	+$15	04-28 20:03
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$291	202	202	+0	No	-$49	04-07 10:59
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$272	144	144	+0	Yes	+$12	04-28 20:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$243	131	131	+0	No	+$18	04-18 17:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$225	132	132	+0	No	+$25	03-17 23:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$220	244	0	+244	No	+$24	04-01 19:54
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$218	119	119	+0	No	+$18	03-28 18:39
will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$216	116	116	+0	No	+$16	03-07 09:27
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$211	112	112	+0	No	+$11	03-28 18:39
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$210	0	223	-223	Yes	+$210	05-11 19:48
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	2	$207	111	111	+0	No	+$7	03-07 18:28
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	2	$203	217	0	+217	No	+$14	03-07 09:40
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$202	0	217	-217	No	-$15	04-28 20:03
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	1	$202	239	0	+239	No	+$37	04-10 21:25
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$200	278	0	+278	Yes	+$78	03-17 23:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 21:57:39	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x17f9d2…
05-24 15:51:36	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	198	91¢	$181	0x3ce42a…
05-19 20:09:04	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	218	87¢	$190	0x242ee5…
05-17 18:13:33	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	61	88¢	$54	0x0d2686…
05-17 18:12:01	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	187	93¢	$173	0x938965…
05-11 19:48:43	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	223	94¢	$210	0x6b2850…
05-07 13:53:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0xfc5a09…
04-28 20:03:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	174	98¢	$170	0xf72b6d…
04-28 20:03:16	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	217	93¢	$202	0xc645b8…
04-28 20:02:50	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	197	98¢	$194	0x91032f…
04-28 20:02:34	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	144	99¢	$142	0x3bd6b1…
04-28 20:02:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$240	0xdfc43d…
04-28 20:02:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$212	0x145c6b…
04-18 17:39:06	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$187	0x9b2042…
04-18 17:38:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$131	0x9948b1…
04-10 21:25:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	242	84¢	$203	0x9d3bcd…
04-10 21:25:25	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	No	BUY	239	84¢	$202	0x2e9a9d…
04-10 21:24:59	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	197	89¢	$175	0x6682b9…
04-10 21:23:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	213	80¢	$170	0xd5ad4c…
04-07 10:59:25	Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xe3f6f3…
04-07 10:59:15	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	SELL	202	60¢	$121	0xe447c8…
04-05 16:57:31	will iran strike oman again in march	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x74aa7f…
04-04 18:38:19	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	SELL	187	1¢	$2	0xb96b9d…
04-01 20:06:41	deepseek v4 released by april 7	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x92d9cf…
04-01 20:04:29	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	174	89¢	$155	0x35b638…
04-01 20:04:03	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	144	90¢	$130	0x9f6e66…
04-01 20:02:13	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	189	90¢	$170	0x597670…
04-01 20:01:55	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	202	84¢	$170	0xbb3466…
04-01 19:56:17	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	187	75¢	$140	0xd43564…
04-01 19:54:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	244	90¢	$220	0xb18ea4…
04-01 19:21:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	184	87¢	$160	0xebbee5…
04-01 19:06:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	326	98¢	$318	0x57bce6…
04-01 19:03:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0xa88b12…
03-28 21:35:54	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x04bd75…
03-28 18:39:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x514a19…
03-28 18:39:13	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x97eb9f…
03-25 21:12:59	Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0x0d82e8…
03-25 21:10:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0xfed46b…
03-25 21:08:57	will iran strike oman again in march	No	BUY	176	91¢	$160	0x261fc5…
03-25 21:04:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	188	85¢	$160	0x11870c…
03-25 21:03:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0x7393b6…
03-25 19:01:07	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	270	99¢	$268	0xa63605…
03-24 23:20:09	nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	Knicks	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0x5c7fbc…
03-24 23:19:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	170	91¢	$155	0x053ab4…
03-24 06:50:13	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$1	0x1d26a7…
03-17 23:35:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	131	86¢	$113	0xb4eec7…
03-17 23:30:33	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	174	86¢	$150	0xc85b56…
03-17 23:27:33	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x0eafc1…
03-17 23:17:37	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	132	95¢	$125	0xf68af7…
03-17 23:17:25	will trump meet with king of morocco mohammed vi in march 2026 185	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0x9986a0…
03-17 23:16:55	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xd79bae…
03-17 23:16:17	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	215	98¢	$211	0xa11e91…
03-17 23:15:57	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0x800c15…
03-17 01:03:41	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	141	87¢	$123	0x639207…
03-08 22:53:31	wbc can pan 2026 03 08	Canada	BUY	89	88¢	$78	0x47fb57…
03-08 22:51:07	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x02649f…
03-08 22:40:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xa70f44…
03-08 08:01:55	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	302	73¢	$220	0x7a46e4…
03-08 08:01:27	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	270	92¢	$250	0x5bd8fa…
03-08 07:55:49	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0x08bbd7…
03-07 18:28:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	178	91¢	$162	0xadaa13…
03-07 18:28:21	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	No	SELL	111	96¢	$107	0xa47229…
03-07 18:28:11	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x873a01…
03-07 09:49:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x3223d4…
03-07 09:40:25	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x1d6917…
03-07 09:27:31	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x932f79…
03-07 09:27:03	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	SELL	276	99¢	$274	0x8e2380…
03-06 23:27:33	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x196869…
03-06 07:57:21	will khamenei tweet again by march 31	Yes	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x64c80e…
03-05 15:36:17	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	52	89¢	$46	0x42d17d…
03-05 15:35:17	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	BUY	276	91¢	$250	0xcc4370…
03-05 15:29:45	will trump meet with king of morocco mohammed vi in march 2026 185	No	BUY	180	83¢	$150	0x25a3c9…
03-05 15:25:49	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x92875d…
03-05 15:25:01	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x4c69c9…
03-05 15:19:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xf617a3…
03-05 15:18:15	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x8c084a…
03-05 15:06:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x1c5fd5…
03-05 14:59:55	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	248	81¢	$200	0xebb22d…
03-05 14:57:03	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xf14a36…
03-05 14:43:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xde7de5…
03-05 14:35:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x2dc51c…
03-05 14:33:01	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x9db801…
03-05 14:29:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x44fef6…