Concerned-History — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

117

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-06 20:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Sports

56% 58% +$164

Other

38% 38% -$310

Tech

3% 50% -$9

Crypto

2% 0% -$2

Politics

2% 100% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$146	117	117	+0	Spain	-$4	07-06 20:46
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	2	$91	56	56	+0	New York Yankees	+$21	05-31 22:18
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	2	$91	76	66	+10	Joao Fonseca	+$51	05-27 19:58
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	2	$85	65	56	+10	Casper Ruud	+$35	05-29 22:02
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	6	$82	80	80	+0	No	-$2	05-28 20:57
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$80	140	0	+140	Brazil	-$80	06-29 18:07
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	2	$72	47	47	+0	Under	+$22	05-23 22:09
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	2	$71	50	50	+0	Yes	+$21	05-30 20:55
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	2	$69	44	44	+0	Under	+$19	05-22 22:23
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$67	42	42	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$17	05-20 23:42
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$65	83	36	+47	Knicks	-$15	05-19 17:13
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$64	97	29	+68	Knicks	-$26	05-22 00:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$62	37	37	+0	No	+$12	05-26 10:17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	2	$62	37	37	+0	Team Falcons	+$12	05-23 08:35
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	2	$58	38	38	+0	New York Mets	+$18	05-17 21:30
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$54	34	34	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$14	05-17 21:34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$54	35	35	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$14	05-17 21:34
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$53	105	105	+0	Seattle Mariners	-$7	05-30 05:15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$52	32	32	+0	Yes	+$12	05-17 21:34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$51	58	58	+0	No	+$1	05-26 10:17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$50	82	0	+82	No	-$50	05-19 13:44
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	2	$50	51	51	+0	Knicks	+$0	05-22 00:14
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$45	48	48	+0	Atlanta Braves	-$5	05-28 21:49
mlb tex bos 2026 06 12	1	$35	70	0	+70	Boston Red Sox	-$35	06-12 23:12
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1	$35	125	0	+125	Yes	-$35	06-13 01:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$35	88	0	+88	No	-$35	05-30 16:05
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	1	$35	67	0	+67	Hanwha Life Esports	-$35	06-12 10:18
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$35	73	0	+73	Atlanta Braves	-$35	05-30 23:03
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	1	$35	90	0	+90	Frances Tiafoe	-$35	05-30 18:12
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	1	$35	61	0	+61	Marta Kostyuk	-$35	05-31 10:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 20:46:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	117	61¢	$71	0x692a5d…
07-06 19:09:40	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0xae26c6…
07-02 20:51:49	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xf191b7…
07-02 20:51:49	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xe3bbc1…
07-01 22:05:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x71aebb…
07-01 21:58:53	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	645	3¢	$20	0x8c08d9…
07-01 21:35:04	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0xb77bc6…
07-01 16:55:23	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xec71e2…
06-30 21:02:35	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x847545…
06-29 18:07:53	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0xb90be0…
06-25 20:39:38	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa75a55…
06-16 20:10:40	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x080527…
06-15 19:37:57	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa71dbf…
06-13 02:18:48	mlb chc sf 2026 06 12	Chicago Cubs	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x8610b3…
06-13 01:24:48	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	125	28¢	$35	0xdfb22d…
06-12 23:12:48	mlb tex bos 2026 06 12	Texas Rangers	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x880513…
06-12 10:18:54	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x2cfb97…
06-11 23:00:57	mlb sea bal 2026 06 11	Seattle Mariners	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf781f1…
06-11 20:42:45	mlb tex kc 2026 06 11	Kansas City Royals	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x10cc71…
06-11 19:25:12	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x233add…
06-10 14:52:49	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x91736b…
06-08 22:35:01	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3b9fa8…
06-02 22:36:24	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x403176…
06-01 14:05:42	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x8b54bf…
05-31 23:18:48	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xb39bc6…
05-31 22:18:55	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xf201b6…
05-31 20:06:46	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x057bb0…
05-31 16:40:46	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xd2140e…
05-31 10:05:51	Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0x0b429c…
05-30 23:10:40	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x7fc4c5…
05-30 23:03:44	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0x576b90…
05-30 20:55:38	Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x7ee8a1…
05-30 19:58:47	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x51d937…
05-30 18:59:47	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x17c3aa…
05-30 18:12:49	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Jaime Faria	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x61d224…
05-30 17:08:45	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x3123aa…
05-30 16:15:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x439287…
05-30 16:05:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xb42279…
05-30 09:51:25	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xe1a197…
05-30 05:15:49	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	105	22¢	$23	0xa6b769…
05-30 02:29:43	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	105	29¢	$30	0x0c3a72…
05-30 00:25:46	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xd6c2b0…
05-30 00:13:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	Kansas City Royals	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x2688bf…
05-29 22:43:48	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xbde149…
05-29 22:33:44	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x935254…
05-29 22:20:50	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7be82c…
05-29 22:20:47	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xfbea87…
05-29 22:02:47	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x9baf79…
05-29 18:48:39	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xa24340…
05-29 15:49:11	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x85c680…
05-29 10:09:47	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0c9ca1…
05-29 08:35:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x4a0977…
05-29 08:18:46	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Nuno Borges	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x7e961b…
05-28 21:49:49	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x5fe576…
05-28 21:45:30	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xa182a9…
05-28 20:57:14	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x5874a8…
05-28 20:57:12	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x03602f…
05-28 20:57:10	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xc58dad…
05-28 20:57:09	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xe6f25b…
05-28 20:57:07	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xbf34f0…
05-28 20:17:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4a10eb…
05-28 19:18:49	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x8eab08…
05-28 18:04:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xcf8201…
05-28 13:42:55	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xfb5a4c…
05-28 12:34:31	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa24128…
05-28 08:11:19	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8a1b50…
05-28 07:36:12	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x006582…
05-28 06:58:22	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf01ab0…
05-27 22:58:52	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x680b98…
05-27 20:48:54	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3aa034…
05-27 19:58:48	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xaf5995…
05-27 17:32:47	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x97cc99…
05-27 16:30:45	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x8abac4…
05-27 16:12:22	Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfcd7f6…
05-27 15:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	61	22¢	$13	0xdcef91…
05-27 15:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x9c1515…
05-27 14:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x70326c…
05-27 14:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x0bdccc…
05-27 14:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$6	0x10591a…
05-27 14:06:22	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x52f61f…
05-27 01:32:46	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xa906fb…
05-26 22:34:35	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xeda2cd…
05-26 22:16:20	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xf8e893…
05-26 14:22:46	Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xf0787e…
05-26 10:17:34	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x0a31aa…
05-26 10:17:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x750ac4…
05-23 22:09:44	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xe5c4bd…
05-23 20:11:43	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x5aed6f…
05-23 19:01:56	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x9aa0bb…
05-23 14:22:48	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x5260ac…
05-23 13:49:44	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x07fe45…
05-23 08:35:13	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x9fbe9c…
05-23 03:06:43	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x33e562…
05-23 02:03:48	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	Chicago White Sox	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x101e1b…
05-23 01:41:44	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x47f4f3…
05-22 23:49:44	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xe824fe…
05-22 22:52:44	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x2c9692…
05-22 22:46:47	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x9435ef…
05-22 22:23:50	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7794d4…
05-22 18:20:45	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x867060…