Chubby-Pollutant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$745

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

489

Trades

1,201

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-09 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 63% -$659

Other

2% 35% -$66

Politics

1% 12% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-56	-$3	1¢	$-0	+$2	04-28 17:10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No		-6	-$2	3¢	$-0	+$2	04-28 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:30 UTC	3	$261	322	0	+322	Up	+$61	04-24 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$233	300	27	+272	Down	+$31	05-03 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:25 UTC	2	$227	278	0	+278	Up	+$37	04-24 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:00 UTC	1	$216	265	0	+265	Down	+$48	04-24 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 05:15 UTC	1	$194	229	0	+229	Down	+$35	04-24 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$185	224	0	+224	Up	+$39	05-03 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:00 UTC	1	$182	212	0	+212	Down	+$30	04-24 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC	4	$179	217	0	+217	Down	-$179	04-23 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$172	207	0	+207	Up	+$35	05-03 05:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$170	213	0	+213	Down	+$43	05-04 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:40 UTC	1	$150	201	0	+201	Down	-$150	04-24 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:35 UTC	3	$144	153	22	+131	Down	+$30	04-24 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$140	182	0	+182	Down	+$42	05-03 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$140	192	0	+192	Down	+$52	04-30 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:35 UTC	2	$139	269	0	+269	Down	-$139	04-23 16:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$135	248	568	-320	No	+$36	04-29 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 06:05 UTC	3	$132	172	32	+140	Up	+$31	04-24 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	6	$132	160	18	+142	Down	+$36	05-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$130	180	0	+180	Up	+$50	05-03 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$121	175	0	+175	Up	+$54	05-04 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$120	181	0	+181	Up	-$120	05-03 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$120	185	0	+185	Down	+$65	05-03 07:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:10 UTC	3	$120	525	0	+525	Up	-$120	04-24 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$120	148	0	+148	Down	-$120	05-03 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$120	148	0	+148	Up	+$28	05-02 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$120	161	0	+161	Up	+$41	05-03 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$120	134	0	+134	Down	+$14	05-03 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$120	167	17	+150	Down	+$50	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	6	$119	167	18	+149	Up	+$49	05-09 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$113	143	0	+143	Down	-$113	05-01 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 10:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	118	76¢	$90	0xd9769e…
05-09 10:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xee8654…
05-09 10:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xce5a2b…
05-09 10:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xbc1de2…
05-09 10:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6ea5cf…
05-09 09:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xd842f6…
05-09 09:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbefe61…
05-09 09:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xab8ef7…
05-09 09:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x21cc4a…
05-09 09:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x14e030…
05-09 09:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0x4c0a88…
05-09 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe764ad…
05-09 09:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xc9d9cc…
05-09 09:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc9d069…
05-09 09:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x172845…
05-09 09:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa16b56…
05-09 09:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x4c69b5…
05-09 09:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xcdfce8…
05-09 09:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6844ea…
05-09 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ae318…
05-09 09:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0x412b42…
05-09 09:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6962db…
05-09 09:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x802530…
05-09 09:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x77e96f…
05-09 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x29109d…
05-09 09:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x117551…
05-09 09:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x8e6d4c…
05-09 09:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x37eba3…
05-09 09:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x52262d…
05-09 09:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x26de87…
05-09 08:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x9a8c07…
05-09 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x91c4cd…
05-09 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x19ada8…
05-09 08:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x87f94d…
05-09 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x54e5ca…
05-09 08:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x1b702a…
05-09 08:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc77ddb…
05-09 08:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x31f9a6…
05-09 08:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x381b66…
05-09 08:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x81b661…
05-09 08:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xa85606…
05-09 08:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x93a976…
05-09 08:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x9b7e49…
05-09 08:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0d9352…
05-09 08:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x2bd211…
05-09 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x74674c…
05-09 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xcfb8a1…
05-09 08:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x6456d1…
05-09 08:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xb8dc06…
05-09 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x817bf6…
05-09 08:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xda29e0…
05-09 08:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0x9fb36b…
05-09 08:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xe9c8ae…
05-09 08:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x924324…
05-09 08:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6d30b3…
05-09 08:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x7a22e6…
05-09 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9786f1…
05-09 07:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x3ed6e7…
05-09 07:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7fb3b8…
05-09 07:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x5e16a2…
05-09 07:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xab5586…
05-09 07:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x34c570…
05-09 07:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xa3a872…
05-09 07:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x26b7ed…
05-09 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x994dbb…
05-09 07:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xcbc3b2…
05-09 07:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x14d5e8…
05-09 07:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5744d8…
05-09 07:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xa8a714…
05-09 07:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xc73a9c…
05-09 07:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe6f14b…
05-09 07:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xea101d…
05-09 07:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x710241…
05-09 07:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6b999d…
05-09 07:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x2bcbe7…
05-09 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe5a292…
05-09 07:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x859c9d…
05-09 07:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x1ab0de…
05-09 07:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbb064f…
05-09 07:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0x268b4f…
05-09 07:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x9e6e50…
05-09 07:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf2fd08…
05-09 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x1c23be…
05-09 07:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xa74553…
05-09 07:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xbed904…
05-09 07:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45130b…
05-09 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbebf58…
05-09 07:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x726817…
05-09 07:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcbf354…
05-09 07:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x00f127…
05-09 07:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x15b315…
05-09 07:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xb8aead…
05-09 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0844d9…
05-09 07:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x621e3a…
05-09 06:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf860d5…
05-09 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x481d95…
05-09 06:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x10e37f…
05-09 06:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xd2ac5c…
05-09 06:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb04271…
05-09 06:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x4c928d…