Joyful-Rancher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

394

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-06 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

38% 50% +$109

Crypto

30% 57% -$82

Sports

22% 43% -$63

Other

11% 33% -$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)	Marcos Degli		+15	$10	68¢	$10	+$0	11-04 04:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	15	$2.3K	2,596	2,596	+0	Yes	+$129	10-25 22:57
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$101	214	0	+214	Arnold Allen	-$101	05-15 00:42
ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20	2	$65	35	35	+0	Bia Mesquita	+$5	06-20 23:31
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	2	$55	37	37	+0	Paddy Pimblett	+$20	07-12 03:25
ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20	2	$52	32	32	+0	Manel Kape	+$12	06-21 02:51
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$49	72	29	+43	Spain	-$17	07-14 19:23
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	3	$48	95	0	+95	Ciryl Gane	-$48	06-15 02:02
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$46	241	0	+241	Sean Strickland	+$195	05-09 02:31
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	1	$40	82	0	+82	DR Congo	-$40	07-01 16:04
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	3	$40	94	31	+62	No	$0	06-12 03:39
ufc kev15 and26 2026 06 20	1	$35	41	0	+41	Kevin Borjas	-$35	06-20 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$31	24	12	+12	Down	+$3	05-15 23:38
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$30	64	0	+64	Yes	+$34	07-01 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Down	+$9	05-22 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$30	45	0	+45	Up	+$15	05-21 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	+$8	05-21 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Up	-$30	05-22 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	05-21 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	Up	-$30	05-22 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$30	40	0	+40	Down	-$30	05-22 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Down	-$30	05-22 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	05-22 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	05-22 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$30	36	0	+36	Up	+$6	05-21 14:34
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$27	77	0	+77	No	-$27	07-15 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-21 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$26	24	14	+10	Down	+$6	05-15 23:09
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-21 05:03
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	2	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	07-12 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 08:21:55	Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0e618a…
11-06 07:31:52	Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa4ec91…
11-06 07:31:16	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xde4ee7…
11-04 06:39:54	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8a98fc…
11-04 04:22:49	Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x95d98c…
11-04 04:19:39	UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)	Marcos Degli	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe9a4dc…
10-29 22:51:37	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Emilio Camacho	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2b62df…
10-29 20:15:46	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Jerome Kym	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x266a50…
10-29 19:24:42	KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6da3c3…
10-29 17:54:26	Guayaquil: Tomas Barrios vs Joaquin Aguilar	Tomas Barrios	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb15e26…
10-29 17:52:40	Guayaquil: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Hugo Dellien	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x498fc5…
10-29 17:50:07	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6784a8…
10-29 17:49:44	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Taylor Fritz	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6e3efd…
10-29 16:33:25	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x652c81…
10-29 16:31:16	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Taylor Fritz	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb0b1b1…
10-29 16:29:40	Brest: Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x435d81…
10-29 16:26:19	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x14c0e0…
10-29 14:42:08	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x16c02f…
10-29 07:26:16	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb2bea5…
10-29 07:18:38	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb7962a…
10-28 23:42:22	Will Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x17d0e2…
10-28 23:41:34	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x70a9cf…
10-28 22:47:11	Queretaro: Selena Janicijevic vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xe396b0…
10-28 22:44:25	Queretaro: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Carole Monnet	Carmen Andreea Herea	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6cd7b0…
10-28 22:44:02	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Luisina Giovannini	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a3dd5…
10-28 22:15:56	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Luisina Giovannini	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4da3eb…
10-26 01:58:56	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3b2073…
10-25 23:15:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x29af23…
10-25 23:09:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xbb1030…
10-25 22:57:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	77¢	$231	0x8b52b3…
10-24 23:46:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x22cbce…
10-19 04:32:18	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xaddb92…
10-19 01:39:05	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe8a583…
10-18 21:18:06	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x6c180f…
10-18 21:17:27	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xaa8df2…
10-18 20:35:09	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x1a1902…
10-18 20:25:12	Will CR Brasil vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xedc357…
10-18 20:24:59	Will Avaí FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b445f…
10-18 20:24:11	Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2c83bc…
10-18 20:22:57	Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xad8225…
10-17 23:55:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	969	22¢	$213	0xc0ac04…
10-06 18:39:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	562	16¢	$90	0x09f9b2…
10-04 03:34:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	151	36¢	$54	0x542878…
09-30 18:09:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x854f79…
09-25 18:01:35	UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Vanessa Demopoulos	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xd87952…
09-17 17:19:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	268	44¢	$118	0x9aadcd…
09-13 00:34:40	Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)	Benn	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x72e63a…
09-02 19:27:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x8fc24c…
09-02 06:38:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x0329bc…
08-28 02:24:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	476	57¢	$271	0xa32dd0…
08-27 23:51:13	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xcd55ea…
08-25 01:17:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0x4ad6d9…
08-23 21:39:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	583	62¢	$361	0x5fa3fc…
08-13 16:32:55	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x60c4b3…
08-13 02:02:09	mlb cin cws 2026 08 12	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x81b221…
08-13 02:01:19	mlb sea nyy 2026 08 12	Seattle Mariners	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x35353d…
08-12 01:05:43	ufc awint madams 2026 08 11	Matt Adams	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7b022b…
08-12 00:30:37	ufc aalsag fescar 2026 08 11	Abe Alsaghir	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc91ca3…
08-11 09:57:55	ufc tpagli ana1 2026 08 11	Tom Pagliarulo	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x421bc2…
08-11 09:57:36	ufc jkrops jon23 2026 08 11	Joe Kropschot	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x80b2b9…
08-09 14:30:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	175	64¢	$112	0x4a67a0…
08-08 23:25:51	ufc ste36 gui2 2026 08 08	Guilherme Pat	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x062d4c…
08-08 22:56:51	ufc dar3 yad 2026 08 08	Darren Elkins	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3e17db…
08-04 04:49:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	174	65¢	$113	0x799446…
07-29 08:37:32	atp svrcina walton 2026 07 27	Adam Walton	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x07384a…
07-15 23:22:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0xb8869d…
07-15 04:48:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x1ff003…
07-14 19:23:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0xdd5da1…
07-14 19:08:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x8792ee…
07-14 14:30:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x32908f…
07-12 03:42:35	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by ko tko	No	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x87b6f8…
07-12 03:30:10	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x832069…
07-12 03:29:34	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x4f56d6…
07-12 03:29:17	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by ko tko	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4ce66d…
07-12 03:27:10	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 go the distance	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7d3d5e…
07-12 03:25:49	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xa5f77a…
07-12 03:03:05	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	37	47¢	$18	0xbdf47b…
07-12 03:02:20	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x96c60e…
07-11 16:43:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xf773e6…
07-11 16:42:52	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x6d5c14…
07-10 19:28:56	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xa28526…
07-10 19:28:04	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x61cf0a…
07-10 19:27:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xfbd2a3…
07-10 19:27:11	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x60798e…
07-10 19:23:02	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x012bde…
07-09 06:58:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2b6e49…
07-07 05:01:11	mlb col lad 2026 07 06	Colorado Rockies	SELL	20	42¢	$9	0x3fcffe…
07-07 04:12:41	mlb col lad 2026 07 06	Colorado Rockies	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb929a6…
07-07 02:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x914767…
07-06 16:56:55	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xf3d468…
07-04 16:29:31	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x5f7811…
07-04 16:28:44	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2258ae…
07-02 00:24:40	Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x46a85e…
07-01 16:04:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xbd8905…
07-01 15:42:01	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9e7e26…
07-01 15:38:49	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x649d7e…
07-01 08:13:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x03418a…
07-01 08:09:07	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x59215c…
07-01 08:06:05	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xe075fd…
07-01 08:05:22	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xe61cc4…