Respectful-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$329

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,368

lifetime

Volume

$86.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-13 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$329

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+45	$5	8¢	$4	$-1	07-02 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772010900	8	$1.4K	1,374	689	+686	open	—	02-25 09:30
bitcoin up or down january 30 1pm et	9	$783	3,448	2,448	+1,000	open	—	01-30 19:22
bitcoin up or down on february 2	7	$769	871	871	+0	open	—	02-02 16:14
btc updown 15m 1769505300	12	$701	853	500	+353	open	—	01-27 09:29
btc updown 15m 1772025300	5	$598	669	660	+10	open	—	02-25 13:24
btc updown 15m 1769870700	15	$583	364	361	+3	open	—	01-31 14:57
btc updown 15m 1769849100	3	$541	408	300	+108	open	—	01-31 08:54
btc updown 15m 1769800500	4	$521	636	528	+108	open	—	01-30 19:26
btc updown 15m 1769802300	6	$494	451	445	+6	open	—	01-30 20:02
btc updown 15m 1769508000	4	$493	477	200	+277	open	—	01-27 10:12
btc updown 15m 1769184900	3	$468	377	300	+77	open	—	01-23 16:28
btc updown 15m 1769801400	14	$454	512	500	+12	open	—	01-30 19:44
btc updown 15m 1772961300	4	$453	447	440	+7	open	—	03-08 09:25
btc updown 15m 1769601600	5	$444	347	300	+47	open	—	01-28 12:13
btc updown 15m 1769803200	3	$431	377	372	+6	open	—	01-30 20:02
eth updown 15m 1768892400	4	$428	332	282	+51	open	—	01-20 07:10
btc updown 15m 1769496300	6	$419	374	327	+47	open	—	01-27 06:58
bitcoin up or down january 20 7am et	4	$405	387	385	+2	open	—	01-20 12:21
btc updown 15m 1769094000	3	$403	283	270	+13	open	—	01-22 15:12
eth updown 15m 1769184900	2	$402	351	258	+93	open	—	01-23 16:22
btc updown 15m 1769799600	13	$388	678	100	+578	open	—	01-30 19:11
btc updown 15m 1770659100	4	$374	509	305	+205	open	—	02-09 17:58
btc updown 15m 1776868200	5	$369	422	200	+222	open	—	04-22 14:42
btc updown 15m 1769703300	3	$366	342	300	+42	open	—	01-29 16:23
btc updown 15m 1774951200	6	$356	383	200	+183	open	—	03-31 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	8	$351	465	200	+265	Up	+$70	05-13 16:14
btc updown 15m 1770845400	7	$346	268	264	+4	open	—	02-11 21:42
btc updown 15m 1768932000	3	$346	283	270	+13	open	—	01-20 18:10
ethereum up or down january 27 4pm et	6	$339	275	275	+0	open	—	01-27 22:20
btc updown 15m 1767281400	2	$337	269	260	+9	open	—	01-01 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 18:18:08	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x1957bf…
07-13 17:57:55	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x927bd1…
07-13 17:55:20	btc updown 15m 1783965600	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xc4e010…
07-12 06:29:35	btc updown 5m 1783837800	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x95782f…
07-09 11:44:49	btc updown 15m 1783597500	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x829133…
07-09 11:42:59	btc updown 5m 1783597200	Up	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x76bc51…
07-09 11:39:49	btc updown 5m 1783597200	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf6ffd0…
07-07 14:33:31	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xde6153…
07-06 13:17:32	btc updown 15m 1783343700	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6c9f12…
07-06 13:14:25	btc updown 15m 1783343700	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x794ee3…
07-06 13:03:20	btc updown 15m 1783342800	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x87ef5a…
07-03 21:26:17	btc updown 15m 1783113300	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcea556…
07-03 21:14:22	btc updown 15m 1783113300	Down	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xc75c67…
07-03 21:10:41	btc updown 15m 1783112400	Down	SELL	182	42¢	$76	0x6effba…
07-03 20:59:31	btc updown 15m 1783112400	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x2da0a1…
07-03 20:43:29	btc updown 15m 1783110600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x97695f…
07-03 20:42:32	btc updown 15m 1783111500	Down	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0xe107ed…
07-03 20:30:49	btc updown 15m 1783110600	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x684cbe…
07-03 20:20:43	btc updown 15m 1783110600	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x0f7e6d…
07-03 20:19:47	btc updown 15m 1783109700	Down	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xccd238…
07-02 14:33:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x56b04a…
07-02 09:59:59	btc updown 15m 1782986400	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8839d2…
07-01 17:21:07	btc updown 15m 1782926100	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3a97f3…
07-01 17:15:02	btc updown 15m 1782926100	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x5d46f1…
07-01 17:11:23	btc updown 15m 1782925200	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3aa226…
07-01 17:01:38	btc updown 15m 1782925200	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x80d776…
07-01 16:59:47	btc updown 5m 1782925200	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x075369…
07-01 14:43:11	btc updown 15m 1782917100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x162705…
06-30 12:56:46	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x7d6c52…
06-24 21:00:29	btc updown 15m 1782334800	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x002894…
06-24 21:00:07	btc updown 15m 1782334800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x51aa3a…
06-24 20:34:29	btc updown 15m 1782333000	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xff8ac3…
06-22 13:54:10	btc updown 15m 1782136800	Down	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x2c1c12…
06-22 13:41:41	btc updown 15m 1782135900	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x482685…
06-20 15:29:34	btc updown 15m 1781969400	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xfd4334…
06-20 09:00:08	btc updown 15m 1781946000	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x5f975d…
06-20 08:52:29	btc updown 15m 1781945100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd2202c…
06-20 08:50:58	btc updown 15m 1781945100	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe6dea0…
06-20 08:44:20	btc updown 15m 1781945100	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x653664…
06-20 08:34:02	btc updown 15m 1781944200	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcadc0d…
05-28 04:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x7af0b4…
05-28 03:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xf712b6…
05-23 18:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x7326ae…
05-23 18:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xcff985…
05-23 13:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0xa70320…
05-23 06:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcb044e…
05-21 13:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1db47b…
05-21 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0438c7…
05-21 13:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	144	55¢	$80	0x51cf4e…
05-18 15:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x925f20…
05-18 15:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xdd096a…
05-18 13:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	73	71¢	$52	0xce7784…
05-18 13:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xa00e9f…
05-15 13:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0xbb0e99…
05-15 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc3d31a…
05-15 13:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xfd6aa8…
05-15 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x79a256…
05-15 13:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xa9f33b…
05-15 13:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xe12de8…
05-15 13:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xc31298…
05-14 15:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	539	56¢	$300	0xed23c6…
05-14 14:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xbe14b6…
05-14 14:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xc50825…
05-14 14:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xe29ebb…
05-14 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x95f6f9…
05-14 14:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x1e1d56…
05-14 14:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x95dad1…
05-14 05:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x39cded…
05-13 18:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae90c1…
05-13 18:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x29e962…
05-13 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xea5a7d…
05-13 17:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1005ea…
05-13 17:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x83f425…
05-13 16:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2d21b1…
05-13 16:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xeee6b8…
05-13 16:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x510404…
05-13 16:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x11990c…
05-13 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xfe304f…
05-13 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8a74ac…
05-13 15:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xd8de4d…
05-13 15:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x612401…
05-13 15:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xed43aa…
05-13 15:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2a508a…
05-13 15:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x237305…
05-13 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe1e8bd…
05-13 13:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb8fc6f…
05-13 13:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5855c2…
05-13 13:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x520581…
05-13 12:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xfea981…
05-13 12:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbc4ce5…
05-13 12:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xf3118f…
05-13 11:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x325aef…
05-13 11:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xac0515…
05-13 11:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x641636…
05-13 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5edae9…
05-13 11:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x005932…
05-12 17:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x07c3a5…
05-12 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb66c8f…
05-12 17:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xab9260…
05-12 16:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0xeb4a70…