Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-06 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

89% 47% +$51

Other

6% 21% -$8

Crypto

5% 50% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes		+171	$2	2¢	$4	+$1	11-06 07:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	2	$89	47	47	+0	Yes	+$4	08-14 07:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 19 2026	5	$78	120	95	+26	Yes	+$18	01-19 08:05
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	4	$54	31	31	+0	No	+$6	01-25 02:37
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	2	$51	56	56	+0	Yes	+$20	01-08 19:55
will israel strike lebanon on january 17 2026	5	$51	53	53	+0	No	+$4	01-16 09:15
will israel strike lebanon on january 24 2026	2	$50	74	74	+0	No	-$3	01-23 14:02
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	3	$48	67	67	+0	No	-$1	01-19 02:00
will israel strike lebanon on january 18 2026	2	$42	66	66	+0	No	-$13	01-18 01:50
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	9	$41	544	421	+124	No	-$7	01-20 16:05
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$40	31	31	+0	No	+$0	03-09 09:27
will israel strike lebanon on january 21 2026	5	$40	63	63	+0	Yes	+$6	01-21 07:53
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$37	24	24	+0	No	+$7	03-06 00:12
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$36	32	32	+0	No	+$14	03-07 01:55
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	4	$29	39	39	+0	No	+$2	01-21 13:09
will iran strike jordan in march	2	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	03-02 09:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$21	22	40	-18	No	+$10	01-15 02:19
will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	3	$18	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	01-28 00:42
will trumps meeting with netanyahu not air 536 717 855	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$5	02-12 01:17
will trump say affordability during wef address on january 21	3	$17	16	11	+5	No	+$2	01-21 14:29
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	3	$12	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	01-08 09:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-09 09:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	11-01 12:07
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	-$10	01-10 03:02
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wef address on january 21	6	$9	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	01-21 14:15
will trump say mortgage during wef address on january 21	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$7	01-21 15:15
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	2	$9	50	50	+0	open	—	10-30 16:35
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	5	$8	33	33	+0	No	-$4	02-19 11:27
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	2	$8	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-28 13:26
us strikes iraq by february 28	4	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 13:17
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	04-12 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 07:56:43	Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0x051be7…
11-03 07:26:37	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5087d3…
11-01 12:07:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x8f9f7a…
10-30 16:35:28	Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x86b65c…
10-28 10:16:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c48ee…
10-28 10:15:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf3d585…
10-28 10:15:37	Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x36144b…
10-28 10:14:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x1e0eae…
10-26 04:48:26	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x36871c…
10-26 04:35:26	Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x90e74d…
10-26 04:33:50	Will Warren Pickering be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6465b2…
10-26 04:33:50	Will Warren Pickering be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x598dc1…
10-26 04:31:14	Will Warren Pickering be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2afbc3…
10-25 07:55:44	Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc27191…
10-22 07:27:15	Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ea842…
10-22 07:22:32	Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x2cb905…
08-14 07:56:52	will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221265	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe9c25f…
08-14 07:56:52	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221266	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x912b48…
08-14 07:41:45	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x95c240…
08-14 07:40:51	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9fdf35…
08-14 07:17:46	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xc48a9c…
07-09 04:34:41	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$42	0x410814…
07-09 04:34:19	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e73cb…
04-14 06:09:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x07b5c3…
04-13 15:24:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xf57e6f…
04-13 15:21:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcc68d5…
04-13 15:14:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x227e7a…
04-13 15:14:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xdc0027…
04-13 14:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd32683…
04-13 14:48:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xef7803…
04-13 14:47:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x82a723…
04-13 14:28:39	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5c6f53…
04-13 14:21:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe58c6c…
04-13 14:21:23	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf6354f…
04-13 14:07:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5cd25b…
04-13 13:46:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8de7f2…
04-13 13:46:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa8ce2c…
04-13 13:43:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5dbdcd…
04-13 13:40:37	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7cdf1a…
04-12 13:42:15	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa56992…
04-12 13:29:33	atp medjedo halys 2026 04 12 match total 22pt5	Under	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x607e08…
04-12 13:27:57	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x35fedd…
04-12 13:27:37	atp medjedo halys 2026 04 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Medjedovic	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xcfd048…
04-09 09:50:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x28beca…
04-08 09:50:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf0cc02…
03-21 03:22:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x671534…
03-10 08:15:19	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x5790da…
03-09 09:27:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0xc8a77d…
03-09 06:20:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x429237…
03-07 14:34:15	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x02c5b8…
03-07 02:32:25	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x37a034…
03-07 01:55:59	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0x0e10c1…
03-06 00:19:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd45290…
03-06 00:12:17	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x599b24…
03-06 00:11:59	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7ccff7…
03-03 06:52:07	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xd9c3e9…
03-02 09:22:07	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xff77d8…
03-02 09:21:49	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0xb4144f…
03-02 06:47:21	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xdd862a…
03-01 00:56:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6419a1…
02-28 13:44:27	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa600e2…
02-28 13:26:01	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x4f4b99…
02-28 13:17:15	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x224b08…
02-28 11:09:59	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7358d4…
02-28 09:44:55	will israel strike gaza on february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8d91a7…
02-28 09:34:33	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf5684d…
02-28 09:33:49	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd47acd…
02-28 09:32:17	us strikes iraq by february 28	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc2a955…
02-28 09:30:05	us strikes yemen by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x101739…
02-28 09:21:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xea80a7…
02-28 09:15:47	will israel strike 3 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x29c291…
02-25 06:19:32	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x962b0f…
02-25 01:20:10	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9163a1…
02-25 01:19:40	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during the state of the union address	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x8cfb3a…
02-22 03:17:46	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3addc3…
02-22 03:17:18	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x34f248…
02-22 03:16:24	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc0a1d0…
02-22 03:13:40	will mara corina machado attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe10194…
02-19 11:27:16	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xbb4795…
02-19 11:27:10	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x7ef8d2…
02-19 11:17:22	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c6dbb…
02-19 11:17:10	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe2a4ae…
02-17 09:57:07	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xf4fe1f…
02-16 09:10:07	will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x509cfb…
02-16 09:07:47	will jared kushner attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xad24e0…
02-16 09:02:47	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x591582…
02-15 00:47:35	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x572581…
02-15 00:46:35	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xca7b2c…
02-15 00:45:57	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x117084…
02-15 00:45:21	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd5b588…
02-15 00:43:49	will trump say gulf of america during the state of the union address	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1658cf…
02-15 00:42:51	will trump say charlie kirk during the state of the union address 326	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5d433a…
02-14 14:35:19	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x363164…
02-14 10:04:11	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x2ac755…
02-14 09:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb4c9d…
02-14 09:31:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x16aec3…
02-14 09:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9e1aea…
02-14 00:37:47	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9f6b3c…
02-12 10:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf20ed…
02-12 10:45:27	will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xaf3780…