Harmful-Guerrilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$724

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-30 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

79% 17% $-724

Politics

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$5.4K	3,816	3,816	+0	open	—	04-18 08:33
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	6	$1.5K	819	819	+0	open	—	06-04 06:10
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	5	$1.5K	801	801	+0	open	—	05-31 05:44
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	2	$782	412	412	+0	open	—	06-07 06:50
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$774	416	416	+0	open	—	06-03 08:33
lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2 both teams slay dragon	4	$660	367	367	+0	open	—	06-08 02:43
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	2	$643	329	329	+0	open	—	05-07 05:31
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	2	$624	330	330	+0	open	—	05-30 06:43
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	2	$623	322	312	+10	open	—	05-10 07:25
j2100 st sho 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	1	$426	463	0	+463	open	—	06-06 06:43
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	1	$419	427	0	+427	open	—	06-04 06:13
Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	1	$390	415	0	+415	open	—	05-29 05:34
lol hrts bar 2026 06 03 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$386	420	0	+420	open	—	06-03 08:36
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	1	$375	395	0	+395	open	—	05-28 06:18
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	1	$366	387	0	+387	open	—	06-02 05:12
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	1	$343	369	0	+369	Shandong Taishan FC	$-343	05-05 06:45
Spread: Poland (-2.5)	1	$341	367	0	+367	open	—	05-31 05:49
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	1	$323	333	0	+333	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	$-323	05-06 08:28
Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	1	$321	335	0	+335	Haras El Hodood SC	+$14	05-07 06:44
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	1	$311	338	0	+338	open	—	05-30 06:46
khl akb hcs 2026 03 12	1	$206	240	0	+240	open	—	03-13 07:17
atp brancac quilez 2026 03 16	1	$174	290	0	+290	open	—	03-16 05:51
val gdr xc 2026 03 17	2	$112	620	0	+620	open	—	03-17 07:05
will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	5	$108	713	713	+0	open	—	06-30 05:35
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	3	$64	687	687	+0	open	—	05-05 05:23
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	2	$48	804	0	+804	Liaoning Tieren FC	$-48	05-10 08:13
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$16	739	0	+739	Sevilla FC	$-16	05-09 07:15
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	2	$8	706	0	+706	FCSB	$-8	05-11 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 05:35:44	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	352	6¢	$22	0x41cf9e…
06-30 05:35:44	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	345	6¢	$21	0x08ccbc…
06-30 05:35:43	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xa5610e…
06-30 02:50:07	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	361	9¢	$32	0x099041…
06-30 02:49:47	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	352	9¢	$31	0xdf0fd5…
06-08 02:43:51	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2 both teams slay dragon	No	SELL	350	93¢	$326	0xdc37c0…
06-07 06:54:33	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2 both teams slay dragon	No	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0xa37c97…
06-07 06:53:09	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2 both teams slay dragon	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x563ddd…
06-07 06:53:00	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2 both teams slay dragon	No	BUY	350	90¢	$315	0x01b0de…
06-07 06:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	SELL	412	95¢	$393	0x5d7458…
06-07 04:36:43	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	BUY	412	94¢	$389	0x3deea7…
06-06 06:43:10	j2100 st sho 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	Shōnan Bellmāre	BUY	463	92¢	$426	0x8ecf08…
06-04 06:13:18	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	427	98¢	$419	0x4d3d5e…
06-04 06:10:58	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0xd224a9…
06-04 06:10:57	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	397	91¢	$361	0x5a5562…
06-04 03:06:15	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	435	91¢	$396	0x047da8…
06-04 03:05:36	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	31	89¢	$27	0x623dfb…
06-04 03:05:27	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	353	91¢	$321	0x7c7462…
06-04 03:04:55	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	384	91¢	$349	0xee03a9…
06-03 08:36:02	lol hrts bar 2026 06 03 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	420	92¢	$386	0x1d9d7f…
06-03 08:33:56	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	341	93¢	$317	0x99051a…
06-03 08:33:52	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0x14b273…
06-03 07:09:02	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	416	93¢	$387	0x73af2b…
06-02 05:12:45	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Belgium	BUY	387	95¢	$366	0x1b7231…
05-31 05:49:14	Spread: Poland (-2.5)	Ukraine	BUY	367	93¢	$341	0xe92607…
05-31 05:44:25	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	SELL	335	92¢	$309	0xd018b3…
05-31 05:44:24	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0xdfe512…
05-31 02:27:05	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	BUY	371	91¢	$338	0x7a8b94…
05-30 06:46:16	Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	Albacete Balompié	BUY	338	92¢	$311	0x30bb80…
05-30 06:43:09	Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	No	SELL	330	94¢	$310	0xeccde7…
05-30 02:51:55	Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	No	BUY	330	95¢	$314	0x854ca0…
05-29 05:34:49	Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	FCSB	BUY	415	94¢	$390	0xf8ce32…
05-29 05:32:56	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	SELL	430	91¢	$391	0xf62ca0…
05-29 02:58:59	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	BUY	430	92¢	$396	0x070089…
05-28 06:18:42	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	BUY	395	95¢	$375	0xeb8859…
05-11 10:03:20	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	AFC Unirea Slobozia	BUY	348	1¢	$4	0xbe6a76…
05-11 10:03:17	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	AFC Unirea Slobozia	BUY	358	1¢	$4	0xea0d68…
05-10 08:13:01	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	388	6¢	$23	0xedb5ae…
05-10 08:12:57	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	416	6¢	$25	0xe4d2d2…
05-10 07:25:14	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	312	98¢	$306	0x68a5d3…
05-10 05:37:35	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	322	99¢	$317	0x2f4130…
05-09 07:15:45	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	369	2¢	$8	0xf23254…
05-09 07:15:25	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	370	2¢	$8	0x93444d…
05-07 06:44:05	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	Haras El Hodood SC	BUY	335	96¢	$321	0xa527a9…
05-07 05:31:39	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	SELL	329	98¢	$322	0x1e0760…
05-07 02:29:34	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	329	98¢	$321	0x4fce98…
05-06 08:28:14	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	FC Gifu	BUY	333	97¢	$323	0x5aa041…
05-05 06:45:10	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	369	93¢	$343	0x340bcb…
05-05 05:23:12	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	687	6¢	$40	0x1e9b02…
05-05 04:45:54	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	4¢	$12	0x8e8a38…
05-05 04:45:44	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	3¢	$12	0x1b2cdb…
04-18 08:33:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	532	70¢	$372	0x20de55…
04-18 08:31:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	115	70¢	$81	0x362eee…
04-18 08:26:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x6f9455…
04-18 08:23:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	242	70¢	$169	0x3d1f5e…
04-18 08:15:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xe29a51…
04-18 08:14:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x352c3c…
04-18 07:30:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xa8ba65…
04-18 07:07:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,816	71¢	$1,999	0x2909af…
04-18 03:44:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,816	71¢	$1,999	0x7b8b99…
03-17 07:05:13	val gdr xc 2026 03 17	xCrew Esports	BUY	310	18¢	$56	0xe2c57f…
03-17 07:05:11	val gdr xc 2026 03 17	xCrew Esports	BUY	310	18¢	$56	0x8a9b37…
03-16 05:51:07	atp brancac quilez 2026 03 16	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	290	60¢	$174	0xc004b7…
03-13 07:17:23	khl akb hcs 2026 03 12	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	240	86¢	$206	0x62d20b…