Confused-Cough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$685

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

2,147

Trades

3,323

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-31 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 74% -$440

Other

22% 53% -$204

Sports

5% 83% -$37

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	07-29 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	213	$446	491	480	+11	Yes	-$9	03-11 00:23
Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	6	$80	51	51	+0	open	—	10-10 13:13
Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	4	$74	43	43	+0	open	—	10-15 21:34
Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	8	$72	63	63	+0	open	—	10-14 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	7	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	+$28	08-09 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	5	$66	44	44	+0	Yes	+$20	08-10 09:08
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	36	$65	80	80	+0	No	-$1	03-10 10:52
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 ars	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 22:16
Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	6	$60	37	37	+0	open	—	10-15 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:50 UTC	27	$56	501	0	+501	Down	-$56	03-27 13:54
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?	1	$55	64	0	+64	No	+$9	08-31 15:44
Will Colorado have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	4	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	09-06 12:44
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$54	74	0	+74	Yes	+$21	10-26 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 21:45 UTC	3	$53	80	35	+46	Up	+$17	03-31 21:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 20:45 UTC	3	$52	79	36	+43	Up	+$14	03-31 20:47
nba bos cle 2026 03 08 spread away 11pt5	6	$52	5,209	0	+5,209	Cavaliers	-$52	03-08 19:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:00 UTC	3	$52	79	35	+44	Down	+$15	03-31 22:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:15 UTC	3	$51	80	36	+44	Down	-$27	03-31 22:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 22:15 UTC	5	$51	80	41	+39	Down	+$9	04-01 22:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:30 UTC	3	$51	79	38	+41	Up	-$27	03-31 22:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 02:30 UTC	3	$50	79	42	+37	Up	+$6	04-01 02:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 01:30 UTC	3	$50	79	30	+49	Down	-$18	04-01 01:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 01:00 UTC	3	$49	80	20	+60	Down	-$9	04-01 01:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:45 UTC	3	$48	70	43	+27	Down	+$5	03-31 22:47
Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	8	$46	63	63	+0	open	—	10-14 01:44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	2	$44	49	0	+49	Yes	+$5	05-18 18:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 06:30 UTC	3	$44	70	31	+38	Up	-$25	04-01 06:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:15 UTC	3	$43	66	27	+39	Up	+$16	03-31 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:15 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	03-11 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 14:45 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	03-11 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:55:27	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xbef42f…
10-31 12:34:58	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x9cc027…
10-31 12:34:07	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6c80b1…
10-27 21:10:50	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x589a16…
10-26 21:35:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0ac84b…
10-26 20:53:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x83c8cd…
10-26 13:29:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x8a4fb7…
10-25 11:24:29	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x99a6cc…
10-25 11:23:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	55	41¢	$23	0xf01226…
10-23 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2a8f32…
10-18 12:04:12	Will Boise State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf7d31f…
10-18 12:04:05	Will Boise State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf431d3…
10-17 19:00:56	Will Boston College have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4c6769…
10-17 19:00:50	Will Boston College have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 3.5	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x623508…
10-17 04:16:53	Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x4153fb…
10-17 04:16:48	Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 6.5	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x998dfe…
10-15 21:34:09	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xa39373…
10-15 21:33:59	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x51bf43…
10-15 20:59:08	Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0xacd626…
10-15 20:58:56	Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x681569…
10-14 04:16:22	Will Vanderbilt have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x2e9eeb…
10-14 04:16:16	Will Vanderbilt have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x33a695…
10-14 01:44:25	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xaa0886…
10-14 01:44:20	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x9489ba…
10-14 01:44:16	Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x2ecab7…
10-14 01:44:10	Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 6.5	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xb05649…
10-14 00:49:01	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x46d01f…
10-14 00:48:57	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xb4ca94…
10-13 23:02:04	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x917b81…
10-13 23:02:01	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 9.5	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x2bd1c2…
10-13 16:50:15	Will Vanderbilt have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xbbfc12…
10-13 16:50:10	Will Vanderbilt have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x20fa35…
10-13 11:56:28	Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x717ff3…
10-13 11:56:17	Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xa6292a…
10-13 11:13:20	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 9.5	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xc3208f…
10-13 11:13:14	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7c1330…
10-13 10:11:23	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x9bd568…
10-13 10:11:14	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xee027e…
10-13 08:33:13	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x570587…
10-13 08:33:08	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x2d7f22…
10-11 06:02:48	Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xa27f50…
10-11 06:02:39	Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf22966…
10-11 06:02:17	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 10.5	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0x7b0544…
10-11 06:02:12	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x381b38…
10-10 19:42:21	Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0xf4eb6b…
10-10 19:42:15	Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 6.5	BUY	18	8¢	$2	0xf6dd0b…
10-10 13:13:39	Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x937684…
10-10 13:13:28	Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x349ee5…
10-10 13:09:48	Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$16	0xec783f…
10-10 13:09:37	Will Illinois have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x88dfc7…
10-10 12:42:43	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x66ca9f…
10-10 12:42:39	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xb702f8…
10-06 03:07:18	Will Kentucky have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x614a75…
10-06 03:07:10	Will Kentucky have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xb10802…
10-06 02:46:40	Will West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0xd27fce…
10-06 02:46:27	Will West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x01865a…
10-05 16:36:50	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 10.5	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xc3c296…
10-05 16:36:46	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xcbdac4…
10-05 14:20:43	Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 8.5	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xd54289…
10-05 14:20:38	Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0x8d1be9…
10-05 13:29:49	Will Louisville have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x1e3ad5…
10-05 13:29:37	Will Louisville have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd4b003…
10-04 22:53:44	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 9.5	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7e61e2…
10-04 22:53:41	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xec6b7e…
10-04 21:17:31	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x236a45…
10-04 21:17:26	Will Texas have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 9.5	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x85c502…
10-04 21:17:08	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xff9fbd…
10-04 21:17:04	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x03c023…
10-04 21:16:50	Will Duke have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x4beddf…
10-04 21:16:46	Will Duke have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9d1b9a…
10-04 06:03:34	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd254ba…
10-04 06:03:29	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xffa815…
10-03 16:14:51	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 4.5	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xb1280a…
10-03 16:14:47	Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xd1e65d…
10-03 15:38:20	Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 8.5	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x6b7907…
10-03 15:38:11	Will LSU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x47bddb…
10-03 13:01:21	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0xc27503…
10-03 13:01:17	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0xe2c999…
09-30 13:54:14	Will West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x12e32c…
09-30 13:54:08	Will West Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcfb254…
09-30 13:53:30	Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x29eab6…
09-30 13:53:26	Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xa93651…
09-29 22:33:11	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xe35b62…
09-29 22:33:05	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x40b6c0…
09-28 20:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	76	6¢	$4	0xcd7cd3…
09-27 14:37:05	Will Iowa State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xed050f…
09-27 01:50:29	Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x58917e…
09-27 01:50:23	Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xdca8dc…
09-21 12:16:38	Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 7.5	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x52d583…
09-21 12:16:32	Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0c2f9d…
09-21 12:16:23	Will Michigan have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xdd9248…
09-21 12:16:18	Will Michigan have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 8.5	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xadb544…
09-21 04:46:00	Will Michigan have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xbf78f1…
09-21 04:45:54	Will Michigan have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 8.5	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x9ba6ee…
09-21 04:45:40	Will Duke have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x18aa22…
09-21 04:45:36	Will Duke have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc4700e…
09-21 04:45:24	Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xa19e20…
09-21 04:45:13	Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 3.5	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x4743f5…
09-21 00:27:35	Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 3.5	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xf45820…
09-21 00:27:29	Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xa3a693…