Automatic-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-02 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% +$25

Other

1% 0% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$541	70,392	0	+70,392	open	—	06-03 07:01
btc updown 15m 1782994500	2	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	07-02 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$32	67	0	+67	Up	$-32	05-12 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$30	59	0	+59	Down	$-30	05-12 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$30	59	0	+59	Up	$-30	05-13 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$29	65	0	+65	Up	$-29	05-12 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$29	61	0	+61	Up	$-29	05-12 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$28	52	0	+52	Up	+$24	05-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$28	46	0	+46	Down	$-28	05-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$28	52	0	+52	Down	$-28	05-13 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$28	52	0	+52	Up	+$25	05-12 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$28	60	0	+60	Up	+$32	05-12 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$27	53	0	+53	Down	$-27	05-12 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$27	58	0	+58	Down	$-27	05-13 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$27	50	0	+50	Down	$-27	05-12 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$27	53	0	+53	Down	+$26	05-12 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$27	59	0	+59	Up	$-27	05-13 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$27	59	0	+59	Up	$-27	05-13 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$26	55	0	+55	Up	+$29	05-12 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$26	55	0	+55	Down	+$29	05-12 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$26	53	0	+53	Down	+$27	05-12 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Down	+$36	05-13 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	$-25	05-13 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	$-25	05-14 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	$-25	05-12 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$24	51	0	+51	Up	$-24	05-13 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$24	53	0	+53	Down	+$29	05-13 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$26	05-12 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$24	46	0	+46	Up	$-24	05-12 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$24	44	0	+44	Down	+$20	05-12 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 02:45:20	eth updown 15m 1783046700	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8f958c…
07-02 20:30:16	btc updown 15m 1783024200	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf388ab…
07-02 18:45:16	btc updown 15m 1783017900	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x51cf0b…
07-02 18:30:08	btc updown 15m 1783017000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x67c7c3…
07-02 18:15:16	btc updown 15m 1783016100	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe43ffa…
07-02 17:30:17	btc updown 15m 1783013400	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4663e7…
07-02 14:15:25	eth updown 15m 1783001700	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe814bb…
07-02 14:15:08	btc updown 15m 1783001700	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1c0b46…
07-02 14:09:05	eth updown 15m 1783000800	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xa31b30…
07-02 14:08:50	btc updown 15m 1783000800	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xd9d44e…
07-02 12:26:23	btc updown 15m 1782994500	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0xe3f515…
07-02 12:15:19	btc updown 15m 1782994500	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x7632e8…
06-03 07:01:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36,032	0¢	$144	0x816c93…
06-02 11:58:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,667	1¢	$167	0x398576…
06-02 11:16:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$130	0x63a918…
06-02 11:07:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,692	1¢	$100	0x5eee1c…
05-22 12:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd1a8e6…
05-22 12:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xdd1585…
05-22 11:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x5361eb…
05-22 10:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xd1b775…
05-22 10:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x284687…
05-22 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x011dbc…
05-19 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5a8235…
05-19 21:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xc71c6d…
05-19 20:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbef14d…
05-19 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xcf2fae…
05-19 19:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xaa353c…
05-19 19:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x8c4d27…
05-19 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xbbe2b1…
05-19 17:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x9c3f4f…
05-18 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xcc1ec9…
05-18 20:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0x0274c0…
05-18 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xef9a37…
05-18 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0xb55af1…
05-18 19:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x8e202f…
05-18 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x1c96b8…
05-18 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x002b21…
05-18 17:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x29cbc8…
05-18 17:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x496a13…
05-18 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x80a400…
05-18 13:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6aa9ef…
05-18 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x7d77bd…
05-18 09:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0x46d829…
05-18 09:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xde486e…
05-18 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x89f0c8…
05-18 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	55¢	$16	0x59b322…
05-18 07:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xfe3565…
05-18 06:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x4ad6c7…
05-18 04:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xe9db6e…
05-18 04:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x19f6fc…
05-18 03:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x40052a…
05-18 03:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	47¢	$18	0xf4fe95…
05-18 03:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x9d7b20…
05-14 21:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x6e886e…
05-14 20:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0x7761d8…
05-14 20:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0x48d37c…
05-14 19:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0x993456…
05-14 19:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0xd3695c…
05-14 19:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x00b3b0…
05-14 19:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x719d19…
05-14 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x7f5a3c…
05-14 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xcaffc2…
05-14 17:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb6f708…
05-14 16:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x51a87f…
05-14 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0xb1471f…
05-14 15:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	59¢	$23	0x3c7a41…
05-14 15:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xe8b07e…
05-14 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0x3c6416…
05-14 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6662c3…
05-14 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	49¢	$21	0x56d443…
05-14 12:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb60e9e…
05-14 11:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0x4377d4…
05-14 11:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x6282af…
05-14 11:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x10eb17…
05-14 10:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x050e43…
05-14 10:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	47¢	$22	0xc582e9…
05-14 03:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x968272…
05-14 02:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x104f65…
05-14 02:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x5759fc…
05-14 02:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0x42a82b…
05-14 01:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x6fb300…
05-14 01:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	48¢	$22	0x956258…
05-14 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0xe3b8ba…
05-14 00:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x5f5553…
05-14 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x18ae41…
05-13 23:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x0eb876…
05-13 23:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0x50e93c…
05-13 23:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xd65744…
05-13 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x046c29…
05-13 22:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	52¢	$22	0x32932c…
05-13 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xd4f11d…
05-13 21:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe264f0…
05-13 21:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	45¢	$27	0x11a88f…
05-13 20:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x3ff9c5…
05-13 20:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0xfe2ea3…
05-13 19:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x2e86f5…
05-13 19:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	45¢	$27	0xb56c97…
05-13 19:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0xc6c6b8…
05-13 19:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x992109…
05-13 18:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0xb205bd…