Automatic-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-20 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% +$25

Other

1% 0% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$541	70,392	0	+70,392	open	—	06-03 07:01
btc updown 15m 1784268000	2	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	07-17 06:07
btc updown 15m 1782994500	2	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	07-02 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$32	67	0	+67	Up	$-32	05-12 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$30	59	0	+59	Down	$-30	05-12 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$30	59	0	+59	Up	$-30	05-13 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$29	65	0	+65	Up	$-29	05-12 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$29	61	0	+61	Up	$-29	05-12 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$28	52	0	+52	Up	+$24	05-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$28	46	0	+46	Down	$-28	05-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$28	52	0	+52	Down	$-28	05-13 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$28	52	0	+52	Up	+$25	05-12 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$28	60	0	+60	Up	+$32	05-12 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$27	53	0	+53	Down	$-27	05-12 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$27	58	0	+58	Down	$-27	05-13 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$27	50	0	+50	Down	$-27	05-12 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$27	53	0	+53	Down	+$26	05-12 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$27	59	0	+59	Up	$-27	05-13 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$27	59	0	+59	Up	$-27	05-13 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$26	55	0	+55	Up	+$29	05-12 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$26	55	0	+55	Down	+$29	05-12 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$26	53	0	+53	Down	+$27	05-12 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Down	+$36	05-13 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	$-25	05-13 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	$-25	05-14 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	$-25	05-12 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$24	51	0	+51	Up	$-24	05-13 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$24	53	0	+53	Down	+$29	05-13 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$26	05-12 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$24	46	0	+46	Up	$-24	05-12 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 20:15:19	doge updown 15m 1784578500	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xb1cf40…
07-20 19:00:13	btc updown 15m 1784574000	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0xffd2aa…
07-20 16:00:30	doge updown 15m 1784563200	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x1d46eb…
07-20 13:35:58	doge updown 15m 1784554200	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0b05fb…
07-20 13:30:30	doge updown 15m 1784554200	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x483ac7…
07-20 13:00:42	doge updown 15m 1784552400	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x54123e…
07-20 12:45:22	doge updown 15m 1784551500	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0xdf61d8…
07-20 10:00:36	doge updown 15m 1784541600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x48bcd6…
07-20 09:45:22	doge updown 15m 1784540700	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0cba13…
07-20 05:45:36	sol updown 15m 1784526300	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3743d0…
07-20 05:15:25	btc updown 15m 1784524500	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x951ebe…
07-20 04:39:51	doge updown 15m 1784521800	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x87c62a…
07-20 04:30:21	doge updown 15m 1784521800	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe18f26…
07-20 03:00:22	doge updown 15m 1784516400	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd5ada5…
07-19 21:00:28	sol updown 15m 1784494800	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9b34a6…
07-19 20:01:12	doge updown 15m 1784491200	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x629ee8…
07-19 19:45:27	doge updown 15m 1784490300	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0xc4a541…
07-19 19:15:27	doge updown 15m 1784488500	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x3ff16a…
07-19 18:41:51	btc updown 15m 1784485800	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xd6f605…
07-19 18:30:42	btc updown 15m 1784485800	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xcf312b…
07-19 18:15:43	btc updown 15m 1784484900	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3490a6…
07-19 18:01:12	doge updown 15m 1784484000	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x6314a4…
07-19 17:45:46	doge updown 15m 1784483100	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x8d0ee1…
07-19 17:00:36	doge updown 15m 1784480400	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7b056a…
07-19 16:15:34	doge updown 15m 1784477700	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe49601…
07-19 15:41:34	doge updown 15m 1784475000	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x90e55e…
07-19 15:30:33	doge updown 15m 1784475000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0844b0…
07-19 15:00:27	doge updown 15m 1784473200	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x175455…
07-19 14:15:24	doge updown 15m 1784470500	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x3796d8…
07-19 12:00:19	btc updown 15m 1784462400	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb6a17a…
07-19 11:30:24	btc updown 15m 1784460600	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x3caf34…
07-19 01:00:27	doge updown 15m 1784422800	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe0896c…
07-19 00:30:31	doge updown 15m 1784421000	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xb5a618…
07-18 21:45:19	doge updown 15m 1784411100	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x4cc429…
07-18 21:15:21	doge updown 15m 1784409300	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb205ba…
07-18 20:45:25	doge updown 15m 1784407500	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x76c22e…
07-18 20:16:07	btc updown 15m 1784405700	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x133f09…
07-18 20:00:19	doge updown 15m 1784404800	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x2d3fb8…
07-18 17:30:21	doge updown 15m 1784395800	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa3de6c…
07-18 16:00:45	doge updown 15m 1784390400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1cd3f4…
07-18 15:45:49	doge updown 15m 1784389500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b4a55…
07-18 15:30:24	btc updown 15m 1784388600	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x32f454…
07-18 12:23:25	btc updown 15m 1784376900	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x0b0eb1…
07-18 12:15:22	btc updown 15m 1784376900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x39b240…
07-18 10:00:24	doge updown 15m 1784368800	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb250c3…
07-18 09:30:46	doge updown 15m 1784367000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4a23fe…
07-18 09:15:25	doge updown 15m 1784366100	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa81a4f…
07-18 08:15:18	btc updown 15m 1784362500	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x43dc14…
07-18 07:30:22	doge updown 15m 1784359800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa593f6…
07-18 06:45:24	doge updown 15m 1784357100	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x09084d…
07-18 05:00:27	doge updown 15m 1784350800	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6b20bd…
07-18 04:45:25	doge updown 15m 1784349900	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdf634f…
07-18 04:30:13	doge updown 15m 1784349000	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x94a6c0…
07-18 04:00:15	doge updown 15m 1784347200	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb7067f…
07-18 02:30:25	doge updown 15m 1784341800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd8aebc…
07-18 02:15:13	doge updown 15m 1784340900	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x0d1276…
07-18 01:00:16	doge updown 15m 1784336400	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x713aa0…
07-17 22:54:15	doge updown 15m 1784328300	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x31d86f…
07-17 22:45:27	doge updown 15m 1784328300	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9d1534…
07-17 22:30:13	doge updown 15m 1784327400	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd17826…
07-17 17:45:24	btc updown 15m 1784310300	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x6103bf…
07-17 17:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784309400	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x1c5708…
07-17 16:45:39	doge updown 15m 1784306700	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x61c2e5…
07-17 16:45:27	btc updown 15m 1784306700	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$11	0x4ee2c0…
07-17 16:30:21	doge updown 15m 1784305800	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xb55fef…
07-17 13:01:10	doge updown 15m 1784293200	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0xf5b2cb…
07-17 13:00:55	btc updown 15m 1784293200	Up	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x8e4744…
07-17 12:46:07	doge updown 15m 1784292300	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x4a7dcd…
07-17 12:30:27	btc updown 15m 1784291400	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x2a2651…
07-17 06:07:24	btc updown 15m 1784268000	Up	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x863fe6…
07-17 06:00:30	btc updown 15m 1784268000	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x61bc87…
07-17 05:45:25	btc updown 15m 1784267100	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x2b0f7e…
07-16 23:30:14	doge updown 15m 1784244600	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x72b2e8…
07-16 22:45:25	doge updown 15m 1784241900	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x64b800…
07-15 17:15:22	doge updown 15m 1784135700	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xe7f109…
07-15 10:00:16	doge updown 15m 1784109600	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x849c9d…
07-15 09:15:11	btc updown 15m 1784106900	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x5f4caa…
07-14 20:15:16	doge updown 15m 1784060100	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x27d189…
07-14 19:30:34	doge updown 15m 1784057400	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x5de391…
07-14 19:15:14	eth updown 15m 1784056500	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xc1c650…
07-14 17:54:29	btc updown 15m 1784051100	Up	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x18d35f…
07-14 17:45:31	btc updown 15m 1784051100	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xbcde67…
07-14 17:30:31	btc updown 15m 1784050200	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xf15ffd…
07-14 17:15:17	doge updown 15m 1784049300	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xfb8cf5…
07-14 11:08:29	eth updown 15m 1784026800	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x37b104…
07-14 11:00:13	eth updown 15m 1784026800	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x2ffb17…
07-14 05:15:10	btc updown 15m 1784006100	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd8fb35…
07-14 04:45:14	doge updown 15m 1784004300	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x1d3b30…
07-14 03:15:14	doge updown 15m 1783998900	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x6ce0c7…
07-14 00:00:16	doge updown 15m 1783987200	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xc68091…
07-13 21:53:56	eth updown 15m 1783979100	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x7c6807…
07-13 21:45:37	doge updown 15m 1783979100	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x0dd1dd…
07-13 21:45:29	eth updown 15m 1783979100	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xdc5355…
07-13 21:30:28	doge updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe23036…
07-13 21:30:20	eth updown 15m 1783978200	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x9ee9ac…
07-13 21:15:23	eth updown 15m 1783977300	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x610621…
07-13 21:00:14	eth updown 15m 1783976400	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x5f1f5c…
07-13 16:30:17	doge updown 15m 1783960200	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xe4e345…
07-13 11:15:16	doge updown 15m 1783941300	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x88c82f…
07-12 22:45:17	doge updown 15m 1783896300	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x47aa3e…