Vibrant-Thistle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

538

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-10 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 100% +$2

Sports

10% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dax up or down on march 24 2026	2	$64	68	0	+68	open	—	03-24 16:31
dax up or down on june 10 2026	2	$62	66	0	+66	open	—	06-10 15:19
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$61	63	0	+63	Down	+$2	05-08 06:10
dax up or down on february 25 2026	3	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	02-25 19:00
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	05-19 18:33
dax up or down on april 17 2026	3	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	04-17 13:28
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 20?	3	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 03:01
ukx up or down on march 10 2026	5	$35	43	7	+36	open	—	03-10 12:23
msft up or down on january 15 2026	4	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	01-15 21:05
nik up or down on february 25 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-25 10:47
ukx up or down on march 17 2026	5	$29	32	0	+32	open	—	03-17 14:40
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	19	$28	30	33	-3	open	—	01-18 00:28
ndx up or down on february 13 2026	4	$28	85	0	+85	open	—	02-13 20:35
rut up or down on february 11 2026	2	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	02-11 20:26
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 20?	3	$25	21	6	+15	open	—	05-20 13:33
amzn up or down on february 23 2026	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-24 04:21
nik up or down on february 18 2026	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-18 10:48
dax up or down on february 4 2026	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 16:16
dax up or down on february 9 2026	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	02-09 15:23
ukx up or down on february 17 2026	2	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	02-17 14:38
hsi up or down on february 26 2026	1	$17	0	17	-17	open	—	02-26 11:11
amzn up or down on march 20 2026	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 15:09
nik up or down on march 3 2026	3	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	03-03 14:02
rut up or down on february 19 2026	3	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	02-19 21:12
nya up or down on march 11 2026	2	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-11 19:48
nik up or down on march 4 2026	2	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-04 01:16
nya up or down on april 1 2026	2	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	04-01 16:57
nik up or down on february 27 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	02-27 08:37
will alphabet googl be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of january 12	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	01-15 15:15
ukx up or down on april 23 2026	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-23 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 15:19:15	dax up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x2acafb…
06-10 14:44:33	dax up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	35	94¢	$32	0xae3ca6…
06-09 15:32:09	dax up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x624ff0…
06-09 14:48:30	ukx up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x915436…
06-05 14:44:37	dax up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x42e3ff…
06-02 02:35:13	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xecbafb…
05-22 15:29:45	ukx up or down on may 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xcf4ead…
05-20 13:33:19	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7c0e18…
05-20 13:32:02	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8b84e5…
05-20 03:01:23	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$15	0x046854…
05-20 01:49:16	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$10	0x8c1d64…
05-20 01:44:25	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$10	0x952d25…
05-19 18:33:03	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x481be6…
05-19 15:13:34	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xedc021…
05-19 13:08:57	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc76051…
05-17 02:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x416492…
05-17 02:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x79ad43…
05-16 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x0a6c74…
05-16 22:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd76126…
05-09 22:00:24	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x1beea7…
05-09 21:57:22	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x86b1a7…
05-09 21:46:59	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Djorden Santos	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x467048…
05-08 06:10:00	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x78db7f…
05-08 05:58:27	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xfefb3f…
04-30 13:07:12	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$10	0x82eb30…
04-27 15:30:10	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x17ef45…
04-27 15:28:44	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2026ec…
04-24 15:30:30	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc7dea7…
04-23 15:34:50	ukx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xf1c946…
04-17 13:28:52	dax up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x3217a4…
04-17 13:15:02	dax up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xe4927b…
04-17 13:10:18	dax up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xd14df5…
04-17 13:05:34	ukx up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xa6280b…
04-15 11:07:46	nik up or down on april 15 2026	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5d1c71…
04-15 01:10:26	nik up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7a76bc…
04-12 01:24:03	ufc cub nat2 2026 04 11	Nate Landwehr	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x42b940…
04-09 13:12:15	dax up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x688fcd…
04-06 01:19:47	nik up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2f30dd…
04-06 01:03:33	nik up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x281bba…
04-01 16:57:09	nya up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x063a22…
04-01 16:47:37	nya up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xbcbd15…
03-29 01:54:54	ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	Alexa Grasso	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc31d75…
03-24 16:31:29	dax up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xffc49b…
03-24 12:56:09	dax up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x593744…
03-20 15:09:17	amzn up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x8af6eb…
03-20 14:32:43	amzn up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8a00b8…
03-20 14:21:43	dax up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$0	0x3dd697…
03-20 14:20:27	dax up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x47b87e…
03-20 14:19:07	amzn up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb92698…
03-20 14:06:39	amzn up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x81a696…
03-18 01:13:03	nik up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x58f7ae…
03-17 14:40:37	ukx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x0a0ecf…
03-17 13:29:19	ukx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x6f1c8c…
03-17 13:28:25	ukx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x095d61…
03-17 13:27:19	dax up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x696c38…
03-17 13:19:11	ukx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7842b0…
03-17 13:00:35	ukx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4fa8d8…
03-15 00:19:33	ufc jos3 kev16 2026 03 14	Josh Emmett	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf0c64b…
03-13 14:44:31	nvda up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x99fdef…
03-13 13:50:21	nvda up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xac1682…
03-11 19:48:13	nya up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x3b4d6f…
03-11 19:45:01	nya up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5357a8…
03-11 17:04:11	ndx up or down on march 11 2026	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x30858c…
03-11 14:24:15	ndx up or down on march 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x30fa59…
03-10 12:23:05	ukx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x3c49c9…
03-10 11:41:47	ukx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x890589…
03-10 11:41:11	ukx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5ccd05…
03-10 11:14:07	ukx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x4d3288…
03-10 11:05:19	ukx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x0c49b8…
03-10 01:42:03	nik up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x2a034f…
03-09 15:17:19	msft up or down on march 9 2026	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd0f7b5…
03-09 14:22:51	msft up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe74e66…
03-09 13:42:45	msft up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x782424…
03-09 13:40:41	nvda up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x992573…
03-08 01:16:21	ufc cod3 don13 2026 03 07	Cody Brundage	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x9e1dd0…
03-08 01:08:17	ufc cod3 don13 2026 03 07	Cody Brundage	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa0da40…
03-07 23:52:09	ufc sum jes12 2026 03 07	Jesus Aguilar	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x9f3b66…
03-07 23:44:25	ufc sum jes12 2026 03 07	Jesus Aguilar	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4a766…
03-06 01:40:15	hsi up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7e4edb…
03-04 17:09:57	nvda up or down on march 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x86fa71…
03-04 16:22:27	nvda up or down on march 4 2026	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8975df…
03-04 11:14:01	dax up or down on march 4 2026	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd47a5b…
03-04 01:16:17	nik up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x9d29eb…
03-04 01:05:35	nik up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x898b1f…
03-03 15:04:11	nvda up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1aca7e…
03-03 14:02:29	nik up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd27cc9…
03-03 01:27:39	nik up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x38d4ba…
03-03 01:16:39	nik up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf39cd4…
03-02 15:31:29	nvda up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xec521d…
03-01 04:16:11	ufc bra2 lon 2026 02 28	Moreno	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x6b03cb…
03-01 04:12:45	ufc bra2 lon 2026 02 28	Moreno	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3de3a8…
03-01 03:44:03	ufc mar8 dav32 2026 02 28	Martinez	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x69cfc5…
03-01 03:40:33	ufc mar8 dav32 2026 02 28	Martinez	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbeb860…
03-01 03:35:31	ufc mar8 dav32 2026 02 28	Vera	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xdb7062…
03-01 03:07:39	ufc mar8 dav32 2026 02 28	Vera	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb83859…
03-01 03:00:35	ufc kin dan19 2026 02 28	Zellhuber	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5218e3…
02-28 23:30:41	ufc dou jav3 2026 02 28	Reyes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x539fc9…
02-28 23:23:07	ufc dou jav3 2026 02 28	Reyes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x15c028…
02-27 08:37:35	nik up or down on february 27 2026	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfadebe…
02-27 00:54:32	nik up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xe36a49…