Reflecting-Handful — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,308

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-01 04:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

77% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:01:11	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8565e5…
07-01 02:18:38	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d92f2…
07-01 01:28:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadc8be…
06-30 19:59:26	cs2 alkaa red7 2026 06 30 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x045167…
06-30 19:16:40	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcda709…
06-30 19:02:56	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d19be…
06-30 18:01:02	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x527d5f…
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xada504…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a7ddd…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ee4b2…
06-29 19:04:10	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe128fa…
06-29 16:45:02	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	Esport BERG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94fb14…
06-29 14:13:55	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bdfaa…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb325b0…
06-28 17:28:43	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ef0b5…
06-28 11:17:49	kbo kiw nc 2026 06 28	NC Dinos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0219a8…
06-28 09:33:19	itf subasic soke 2026 06 28	Duru Soke	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7f88e…
06-28 05:45:40	world cup will the usa play iran 20260623182026129	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x100112…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ac051…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75f4bf…
06-27 20:38:19	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0851ee…
06-27 20:18:04	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92e014…
06-26 18:31:04	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0eb8cb…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde38e1…
06-26 00:56:19	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1be3e3…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d2e9a…
06-25 11:18:02	cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	DEPO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x054e64…
06-25 02:03:04	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4bc927…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x140c9a…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdefee6…
06-25 00:02:05	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b8fc…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c2f9a…
06-23 19:09:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ec466…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42078…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x715179…
06-23 05:16:44	will argentina be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003062	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7e5288…
06-20 22:09:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x337876…
06-20 22:02:52	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x412339…
06-20 20:06:37	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa31d69…
06-20 19:13:16	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbea96d…
06-20 19:10:37	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56c010…
06-20 19:09:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb64043…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d2153…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7e314…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb63247…
06-20 01:23:13	will hideki matsuyama make the cut at the 2026 uptspt open 20260616033932632	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39e6b7…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0182e…
06-19 00:12:38	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e8d55…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92308b…
06-18 21:00:47	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc30363…
06-18 20:58:08	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x631d38…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84731a…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3d1a7…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c8ec1…
06-17 19:04:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9d146…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe430f5…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfab78c…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7f37e…
06-17 16:07:02	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x417c36…
06-17 13:01:56	kbo kt doo 2026 06 17	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56d7e9…
06-17 00:01:58	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7919eb…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb327d…
06-16 12:31:22	kbo kt doo 2026 06 16	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3622b1…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1b608…
06-15 17:53:22	WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7206c1…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c52f5…
06-15 03:25:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c13ad…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5d181…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76845c…
06-14 06:24:04	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x109b88…
06-14 00:13:55	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef2c93…
06-13 14:12:01	fin1 int aco 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf982f3…
06-13 11:58:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4017db…
06-13 11:58:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x38b62e…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34b40d…
06-12 22:53:21	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87c727…
06-12 21:23:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbad6f4…
06-12 20:26:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4248ca…
06-12 20:18:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf557d8…
06-12 20:17:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1199b…
06-12 13:30:06	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcabc95…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4af1c…
06-11 21:15:19	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0cc1b…
06-11 16:53:28	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8d52e…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe82b8…
06-10 20:05:12	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c0ecc…
06-10 17:57:19	lol es1 anb 2026 06 10 game1	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a3a26…
06-10 09:05:04	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x157ab8…
06-08 21:37:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07bad1…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7956ea…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81554b…
06-07 23:21:28	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f44f0…
06-07 22:02:00	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc6f87…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x670c72…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b87e2…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d5d0e…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d0feb…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x971481…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83a94f…
06-06 13:47:25	cs2 aaa g1 2026 06 06 game2	GenOne	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3294ff…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 20:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 18:05
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 21:43
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:05
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 17:04
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
kor uls seo 2026 03 07 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 19:33