Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

272 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.64K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$140

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

99% 29% +$91

Politics

1% 33% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+144	$136	97¢	$140	+$4	07-02 10:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	18	$1.1K	1,456	0	+1,456	Yes	+$329	03-02 15:47
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	6	$741	885	0	+885	Yes	+$144	01-14 14:17
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	12	$602	438	180	+258	No	+$13	03-20 05:18
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	2	$489	496	0	+496	Yes	+$6	01-28 12:49
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in december	1	$439	450	0	+450	Yes	+$11	01-07 12:55
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	13	$382	353	80	+273	Yes	+$46	03-08 10:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	15	$260	1,449	0	+1,449	No	-$260	03-02 14:43
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	8	$211	394	0	+394	Yes	+$183	02-18 00:32
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	7	$207	145	90	+55	Yes	+$10	02-21 00:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$136	144	0	+144	open	—	07-02 10:33
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	10	$127	885	0	+885	No	-$127	01-14 14:17
will avatar fire and ash 6th weekend box office be less than 8pt5m	5	$113	115	0	+115	Yes	+$1	01-25 07:08
highest temperature in atlanta on january 11 54 55f	2	$106	107	0	+107	Yes	+$1	01-11 12:18
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	9	$88	395	0	+395	No	-$88	02-18 00:32
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	9	$87	395	0	+395	No	-$87	02-18 00:32
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$66	68	0	+68	Yes	+$2	02-25 14:22
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$64	66	0	+66	Yes	+$1	02-01 11:39
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$62	63	0	+63	Yes	+$1	01-01 08:48
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	2	$48	61	0	+61	Yes	+$13	01-10 06:32
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	13	$38	351	80	+271	No	-$33	03-08 19:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$31	1,463	0	+1,463	No	-$31	03-15 14:37
will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in december 2025	6	$30	50	0	+50	No	-$30	01-10 03:24
will there be eleven or more announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats by january 31 2026	2	$20	56	0	+56	No	-$20	01-04 13:05
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	02-18 00:27
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in december 2025	5	$18	51	0	+51	Yes	+$34	01-10 03:24
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	6	$17	144	90	+54	No	-$2	04-24 15:52
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7pt0 or higher worldwide by december 31	2	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	01-01 12:51
will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the united states in 2025	2	$14	15	0	+15	No	-$14	01-01 08:48
will there be five or six announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats by january 31 2026	3	$11	57	0	+57	No	-$11	01-04 13:42
will there be nine or ten announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats by january 31 2026	2	$11	56	0	+56	No	-$11	01-04 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 10:33:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	144	94¢	$136	0x35e80b…
04-24 15:52:54	Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x004b6f…
03-20 05:18:05	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb2c884…
03-15 14:37:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x434058…
03-15 14:37:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x08b317…
03-15 14:37:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0x53ddf7…
03-08 19:51:01	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x21f74a…
03-08 19:47:01	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x132cc7…
03-08 10:29:03	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x9f7913…
03-08 10:03:05	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xffd74f…
03-08 09:49:35	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x214886…
03-08 09:15:27	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x4658a1…
03-08 09:14:43	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x748428…
03-08 09:14:23	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0x389c01…
03-08 09:14:11	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xd18f53…
03-07 08:42:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$2	0x37d2d2…
03-06 13:32:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x716891…
03-02 19:30:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x1d5065…
03-02 17:45:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x42dfad…
03-02 15:47:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf9f47b…
03-02 14:43:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xb15b20…
03-02 14:06:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xbfaee9…
03-02 14:06:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa71dd0…
03-02 14:05:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x87e687…
02-25 14:22:16	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$0	0xde726d…
02-25 14:22:10	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x41b2b4…
02-25 14:22:02	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x5cd059…
02-24 19:06:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x72d019…
02-24 14:44:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x752034…
02-22 13:04:42	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x290dd2…
02-22 12:05:38	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$3	0x7b8420…
02-22 12:05:28	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x0970fb…
02-22 08:10:02	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x101692…
02-22 08:09:04	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x23b030…
02-22 00:20:20	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	84	9¢	$7	0xfb4e49…
02-22 00:20:12	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0x6fd423…
02-21 23:33:36	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x62e91a…
02-21 23:31:28	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xbf93b2…
02-21 08:42:10	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x71c771…
02-21 07:35:10	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0x05c0f3…
02-21 01:41:00	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd93783…
02-21 01:27:32	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x353821…
02-21 01:17:08	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0xb20e0b…
02-21 01:16:06	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x64c3c3…
02-21 01:13:00	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x95da29…
02-21 01:12:52	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0xdcc167…
02-21 01:08:36	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x1c588b…
02-21 01:08:24	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x761d20…
02-21 01:07:42	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x421302…
02-21 01:07:38	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xd97c82…
02-21 01:07:38	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x7caf6d…
02-21 01:07:20	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x2d0df7…
02-21 01:07:00	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xaab03e…
02-21 00:53:38	Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xacb567…
02-21 00:53:28	Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x022f56…
02-20 17:26:42	Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x53f20e…
02-20 12:56:42	Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$3	0x20eea7…
02-18 01:58:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xefcdd1…
02-18 00:32:45	will the us collect between 500b and 1t in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x61a24e…
02-18 00:32:21	will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x5074d3…
02-18 00:32:17	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0xe15a1d…
02-18 00:32:05	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0x00aaf7…
02-18 00:27:53	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6b95f9…
02-18 00:24:09	will the us collect between 500b and 1t in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x807f04…
02-18 00:23:55	will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xea7b7e…
02-18 00:23:39	will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x1b4276…
02-18 00:22:31	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x59eb6c…
02-13 12:02:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$1	0x9b0cf8…
02-13 12:02:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x8d6885…
02-13 11:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xde4f15…
02-13 11:56:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$1	0x0196cb…
02-13 11:56:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4f5897…
02-12 12:49:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xdebd08…
02-12 12:49:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	14¢	$77	0x11b8c7…
02-12 12:49:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	3¢	$14	0x83ba91…
02-12 12:49:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	81¢	$446	0x0a078c…
02-12 12:45:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x2f822b…
02-12 12:44:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xb3e1a8…
02-12 12:43:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xfb8707…
02-11 13:48:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xeb66d1…
02-10 14:00:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8164e8…
02-10 07:08:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x71eda5…
02-10 07:08:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x45cb94…
02-09 14:48:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd96e3c…
02-09 13:21:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x810b06…
02-09 13:12:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x201d0e…
02-09 13:11:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe9e7c2…
02-09 13:11:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0xc9bc3b…
02-09 13:10:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x8771f4…
02-09 13:10:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x66f191…
02-09 13:01:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x90bb61…
02-09 13:01:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xd09a11…
02-09 13:01:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0833db…
02-09 13:00:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x73384b…
02-09 13:00:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x9853f8…
02-09 13:00:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x1e3812…
02-05 13:24:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x31aa3a…
02-05 10:51:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x1aa0db…
02-05 10:50:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xecaaf5…
02-05 10:49:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xf381a9…