Bowed-Supernatural — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-22 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Crypto

15% 75% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	4	$88	93	93	+0	open	—	03-02 05:22
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	2	$84	272	272	+0	open	—	03-04 06:18
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	2	$61	58	58	+0	open	—	03-03 03:53
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	4	$54	80	80	+0	open	—	02-07 06:24
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	1	$50	204	0	+204	open	—	03-04 23:46
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	4	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	01-21 12:40
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	4	$33	75	75	+0	open	—	03-19 00:09
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	2	$32	62	62	+0	open	—	02-28 05:52
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	4	$29	23	23	+0	open	—	03-17 07:42
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	4	$26	88	88	+0	open	—	02-13 05:51
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	4	$22	31	31	+0	open	—	03-16 06:24
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	3	$21	90	90	+0	open	—	01-21 08:33
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	2	$20	45	45	+0	open	—	02-04 06:15
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	2	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	02-27 05:44
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	02-15 23:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	2	$15	68	68	+0	open	—	03-19 06:23
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	3	$14	188	143	+45	open	—	02-06 12:53
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	3	$12	270	200	+70	open	—	02-14 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:34
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	02-04 06:16
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-25 16:07
btc updown 15m 1782080100	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-21 22:23
bnb updown 15m 1782082800	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-21 23:02
bnb updown 15m 1782081900	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-21 22:52
btc updown 15m 1782081000	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-21 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:15
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	1	$8	34	0	+34	open	—	02-08 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 00:08:43	bnb updown 15m 1782086400	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x21078f…
06-22 00:01:01	bnb updown 15m 1782086400	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9f8aa1…
06-21 23:02:08	bnb updown 15m 1782082800	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xfd0c7f…
06-21 23:01:26	bnb updown 15m 1782082800	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x49c472…
06-21 22:52:41	bnb updown 15m 1782081900	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3c110f…
06-21 22:52:35	bnb updown 15m 1782081900	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x02d59b…
06-21 22:47:59	bnb updown 15m 1782081900	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0d57dc…
06-21 22:39:47	btc updown 15m 1782081000	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x92b38e…
06-21 22:31:32	btc updown 15m 1782081000	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x206333…
06-21 22:23:58	btc updown 15m 1782080100	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x04e33c…
06-21 22:18:50	btc updown 15m 1782080100	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7f2fc4…
06-15 00:39:22	bnb updown 15m 1781485200	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdabdc2…
06-03 01:44:21	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9a44d1…
06-03 00:54:04	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa88af7…
06-03 00:52:13	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe44684…
06-03 00:52:12	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x44b1ae…
06-03 00:46:46	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x3bcb06…
06-03 00:40:56	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x52a4f4…
06-03 00:39:32	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x77c636…
06-03 00:37:02	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x623cd8…
06-03 00:37:02	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x0eb674…
06-03 00:17:01	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb6b3e5…
06-03 00:10:38	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xf50e33…
06-03 00:10:38	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9d70a7…
06-03 00:10:38	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x6f9750…
06-03 00:09:12	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x742a78…
06-03 00:07:10	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xa2fb13…
06-03 00:07:06	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf69018…
06-03 00:07:06	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x88cf1b…
06-03 00:07:04	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x820678…
06-03 00:00:10	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x89a58e…
06-02 23:58:33	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x466a93…
06-02 23:58:26	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xcd5cc1…
06-02 23:52:17	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb9a902…
06-02 23:49:36	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe18fef…
06-02 23:48:03	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x45ab2c…
06-02 23:40:25	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x13a942…
06-02 23:37:05	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd0dbe4…
06-02 23:31:29	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x69214c…
06-02 23:25:27	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x83a408…
06-02 23:20:45	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xec923b…
06-02 23:17:59	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x46fd9c…
06-02 23:02:53	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8cb502…
06-02 00:28:23	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb5cfed…
06-02 00:24:47	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf6d57a…
06-02 00:17:56	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0d8b81…
06-01 23:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe2d952…
06-01 23:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x641ac8…
06-01 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x41ccdd…
06-01 23:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf219ec…
06-01 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc7d46b…
06-01 23:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1ecb7c…
06-01 23:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4e241f…
06-01 23:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x77e9b0…
06-01 23:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8c47a2…
06-01 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xdda99a…
05-26 00:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x86d7eb…
05-25 23:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4a9ec9…
05-25 23:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xec038a…
05-25 23:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbf713e…
05-25 00:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x438f32…
05-25 00:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x22e2f0…
05-25 00:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x58a3e2…
05-24 23:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbd4ecc…
05-24 23:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x08e182…
05-24 23:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x502efe…
05-24 23:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x75d99f…
05-07 22:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xa014af…
05-07 22:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x37a97c…
05-07 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x45358e…
05-06 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4b499c…
05-06 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xf09105…
05-06 22:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x85e198…
05-05 23:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x86ba70…
05-05 23:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x136c46…
05-05 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xdbfac7…
05-05 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x3d393e…
05-05 23:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xaa929d…
05-04 22:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xb16afd…
05-04 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x2a8afb…
05-04 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x730b35…
05-04 22:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x7d980b…
05-03 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x82181b…
05-03 22:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6c8b0c…
05-03 22:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x9cc830…
05-03 22:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9a8c46…
04-17 23:36:42	btc updown 5m 1776468900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7e75e7…
04-17 23:31:08	btc updown 5m 1776468600	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb7d741…
04-17 23:24:40	btc updown 5m 1776468000	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x94d06c…
04-16 01:44:28	btc updown 5m 1776303600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59c553…
04-16 01:37:30	btc updown 5m 1776303300	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2af34f…
04-16 01:34:52	btc updown 5m 1776303000	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb54338…
04-16 01:13:46	btc updown 5m 1776301800	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5f23d0…
04-16 01:01:58	btc updown 5m 1776301200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x215389…
04-16 00:59:06	btc updown 5m 1776300900	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x705f9c…
03-25 18:51:37	will mrbeasts next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0c4df7…
03-25 15:35:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x05355d…
03-25 13:30:11	will mrbeasts next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf79308…
03-25 13:17:21	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xcd1ba5…
03-25 13:05:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x4e8a15…