Lonely-Building — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

658

Trades

669

lifetime

Volume

$6.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-24 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 97% -$14

Other

5% 100% +$9

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on march 26	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	03-26 15:02
ethereum above 2075 on march 31 2026 1pm et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-31 16:54
xrp above 1pt2 on june 15 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	06-15 15:00
solana above 80 on march 27	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-27 15:08
solana above 90 on march 25	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-25 15:04
ethereum above 2290 on april 8 2026 2pm et	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-08 17:03
ethereum above 1900 on august 11 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-11 15:00
ethereum above 1900 on august 17 2026	1	$20	22	+22	Yes	+$2	08-17 15:07
bitcoin above 66600 on march 31 2026 11am et	1	$20	20	+20	No	-$20	03-31 14:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:23
ethereum above 2600 on august 24 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-24 15:00
bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	07-28 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 20	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	04-20 15:01
will xtreme gaming win esl one birmingham 2026	1	$20	22	+22	No	+$2	03-28 23:50
xrp above 1pt4 on march 25	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-25 15:04
bitcoin above 66600 on march 30 2026 2pm et	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-30 17:16
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 5?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-05 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-31 15:19
xrp above 1pt3 on april 2	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	04-02 15:35
bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	07-07 15:10
ethereum above 1900 on august 13 2026	1	$20	21	+21	No	+$1	08-13 15:11
xrp above 1pt1 on july 16 2026	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	07-16 15:04
bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	1	$19	20	+20	Yes	+$1	06-15 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	05-05 15:00
ethereum above 1900 on july 26 2026	1	$19	21	+21	Yes	+$2	07-26 15:23
ethereum above 1900 on august 7 2026	1	$19	21	+21	Yes	+$2	08-07 15:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	04-17 15:49
ethereum above 2100 on march 30	1	$19	20	+20	No	+$1	03-30 15:01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 15?	1	$15	16	+16	Yes	+$1	06-15 15:00
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	08-02 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 15:00:33	ethereum above 2600 on august 24 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x687f59…
08-24 15:00:30	bitcoin above 78k on august 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x755bb2…
08-24 15:00:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x365bbc…
08-23 15:12:24	Solana Up or Down on August 23?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb8843…
08-23 15:12:22	XRP Up or Down on August 23?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x86895b…
08-23 15:12:21	ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa8e3a7…
08-23 04:53:46	xrp up or down august 23 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x69c07f…
08-23 04:53:43	bitcoin up or down august 23 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37f7c6…
08-23 03:06:39	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-23 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd8efa0…
08-22 19:14:13	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3c10a1…
08-22 11:52:49	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde0bfb…
08-22 01:53:51	xrp up or down august 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1ca87e…
08-21 23:53:57	xrp up or down august 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2a884f…
08-21 20:10:57	ng up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xacfd5f…
08-21 20:10:54	wti closes above 86 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0be6f…
08-21 20:10:52	wti closes above 88 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb59cf…
08-21 20:10:51	wti closes above 89 on august 21 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d3367…
08-20 23:47:55	Will Bruno Fernandes be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x47b60a…
08-20 18:51:07	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1c0793…
08-18 20:45:45	wti up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7ef919…
08-18 20:45:42	xagusd up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeebef7…
08-18 11:23:19	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xa6ea52…
08-18 11:23:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc425d2…
08-18 05:58:27	solana up or down august 18 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xea9812…
08-17 15:07:39	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 17?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xabb6c5…
08-17 15:07:37	ethereum above 1900 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x75a056…
08-16 02:52:31	solana up or down august 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd0bc6b…
08-16 02:52:28	ethereum up or down august 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x63dfbd…
08-15 15:26:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x828a86…
08-15 08:52:30	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe0a8ab…
08-15 07:57:37	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5618f3…
08-15 03:14:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd0a275…
08-15 03:14:03	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd0bd3b…
08-14 22:55:24	bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc08723…
08-14 20:36:57	ng up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6217cf…
08-13 23:37:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x149159…
08-13 19:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc259fc…
08-13 15:11:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x091093…
08-13 15:11:28	solana up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d2a86…
08-13 15:11:25	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc05e78…
08-13 15:11:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x538b57…
08-13 15:11:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x6c0040…
08-13 15:11:19	ethereum above 1900 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x6816b5…
08-13 11:20:01	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2e320f…
08-12 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xe453f7…
08-11 20:23:40	wti closes above 84 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcdfe03…
08-11 20:18:25	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c5666…
08-11 15:00:18	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x51bdfa…
08-11 15:00:16	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8625f2…
08-11 15:00:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb9e104…
08-11 15:00:10	ethereum above 1900 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa6a322…
08-10 20:51:00	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf746c9…
08-10 20:43:28	wti closes above 82 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e5c28…
08-10 15:15:37	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x173f19…
08-10 15:01:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc78703…
08-10 15:01:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x726a0e…
08-10 15:01:27	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9d6a51…
08-10 03:01:25	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xefe755…
08-09 23:22:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0ecfa8…
08-07 23:06:15	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x788357…
08-07 23:06:13	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x316343…
08-07 15:20:00	solana up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3c623…
08-07 15:19:52	bitcoin up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6efb0d…
08-07 15:00:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 7?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x050e2e…
08-07 15:00:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdf6d03…
08-07 15:00:30	ethereum above 1900 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xb72777…
08-07 15:00:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x806272…
08-07 03:04:04	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaa8049…
08-06 20:45:11	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0944b1…
08-06 03:28:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7cd8e9…
08-05 15:32:29	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-05 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x363ce0…
08-03 23:01:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd87a9d…
08-03 23:01:14	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b9d2d…
08-02 15:40:33	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcc8a3e…
08-02 08:50:08	solana up or down august 2 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c03a2…
08-02 07:00:12	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa051c2…
07-31 20:52:20	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7aebc2…
07-31 09:43:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb73758…
07-30 03:23:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-30 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x2ddba9…
07-29 19:10:18	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x052f72…
07-29 19:01:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x95f107…
07-29 11:01:44	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x238d42…
07-28 17:34:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a3ab2…
07-28 17:28:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18a12f…
07-28 17:28:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa846fe…
07-28 15:00:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xac1e87…
07-28 15:00:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb0c94…
07-28 07:00:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa4108a…
07-28 03:01:30	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc238ec…
07-28 03:01:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7f9b1b…
07-28 03:01:22	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x471c52…
07-28 03:01:21	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5aaecf…
07-27 20:43:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa78778…
07-27 04:52:00	ethereum up or down july 27 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7d47d…
07-27 00:56:04	Exact Score: CF Pachuca 0 - 0 Querétaro FC?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xd1011d…
07-27 00:44:03	Solana Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfceb8b…
07-27 00:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbce26…
07-26 15:23:24	ethereum above 1900 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x70edcb…
07-26 06:04:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1bcc1…
07-26 00:42:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2721aa…