Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

578

Trades

2,195

lifetime

Volume

$513.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$234

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-02 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 28% -$35,128

Politics

15% 17% +$3,642

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$40.9K	25,989	25,989	+0	Yes	+$7,878	02-28 21:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$13.7K	10,823	10,822	+0	Yes	+$7,521	02-28 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:40 UTC	7	$8.4K	9,789	3,900	+5,889	Up	-$675	03-05 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:20 UTC	6	$7.8K	4,310	4,300	+10	Up	+$222	02-27 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:10 UTC	6	$7.2K	5,615	5,552	+64	Down	+$1,259	02-27 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 16:10 UTC	4	$7.1K	3,963	3,938	+25	Down	+$747	02-27 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 16:35 UTC	7	$7.0K	6,744	3,643	+3,101	Down	-$606	02-27 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:15 UTC	6	$6.8K	6,331	3,568	+2,763	Up	+$350	02-27 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:35 UTC	4	$6.1K	5,692	5,685	+7	Down	+$5,215	03-05 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:55 UTC	3	$5.8K	3,596	3,560	+35	Down	+$600	02-27 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 16:45 UTC	3	$5.3K	3,647	3,602	+44	Down	+$1,837	02-27 16:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	4	$4.9K	16,379	16,379	+0	No	-$3,441	03-04 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 13:35 UTC	6	$4.9K	3,548	3,504	+44	Down	+$1,409	03-02 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:30 UTC	4	$4.9K	3,041	3,006	+35	Up	+$1,111	03-02 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:45 UTC	3	$4.6K	3,071	3,023	+48	Up	+$1,414	02-27 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 18:40 UTC	5	$4.5K	4,545	2,553	+1,992	Up	+$124	02-27 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:20 UTC	5	$4.4K	3,965	3,925	+40	Up	+$1,142	03-02 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:15 UTC	4	$4.3K	3,684	3,634	+50	Up	-$212	02-27 01:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$4.0K	2,839	2,839	+0	Yes	+$384	03-04 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:20 UTC	6	$3.8K	2,879	2,845	+35	Up	+$1,851	03-02 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:15 UTC	3	$3.8K	3,334	3,320	+14	Up	+$2,804	03-06 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:55 UTC	6	$3.7K	3,432	3,425	+6	Up	+$3,077	03-06 15:00
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$3.7K	41,013	25,633	+15,380	No	-$1,325	02-27 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 06:10 UTC	2	$3.6K	2,249	2,224	+24	Down	+$502	02-27 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:20 UTC	3	$3.6K	2,539	2,501	+37	Up	+$1,375	03-07 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 01:10 UTC	11	$3.5K	6,537	2,973	+3,565	Up	+$1,294	03-05 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 02:05 UTC	5	$3.4K	5,189	2,366	+2,823	Up	+$892	03-05 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:35 UTC	5	$3.4K	2,669	2,640	+28	Up	+$1,856	03-07 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC	8	$3.3K	2,662	2,641	+20	Down	+$1,958	03-05 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:40 UTC	3	$3.1K	1,927	1,902	+25	Up	+$664	03-08 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-02 16:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	657	23¢	$150	0x910454…
05-02 16:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	19¢	$13	0xd866a0…
05-02 16:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x66c2ef…
05-02 16:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x9a8584…
05-02 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xd1e8e4…
05-02 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	264	8¢	$20	0xfac08e…
05-02 16:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xb31c31…
05-02 15:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0xb6e5e9…
05-02 15:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x158923…
05-02 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa16b08…
05-02 15:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x48a855…
05-02 15:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd1ddd3…
05-02 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc09591…
05-02 15:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	157	13¢	$20	0x51d5e2…
04-14 15:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	535	33¢	$177	0x727d35…
04-14 15:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x6ff647…
04-14 15:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	944	2¢	$20	0x2a6780…
04-14 15:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	696	3¢	$21	0x595cb1…
04-14 15:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	897	3¢	$29	0x30f62b…
04-14 15:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x1d9d4a…
04-14 15:41:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	648	19¢	$120	0x035040…
04-14 15:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	380	26¢	$100	0x065bbd…
04-14 15:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	721	3¢	$20	0x244873…
04-14 15:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x14c964…
04-14 15:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	857	5¢	$46	0xbd79cf…
04-14 15:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,200	4¢	$54	0x9b858c…
04-14 15:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	193	7¢	$13	0xe9b290…
04-14 15:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xddce35…
04-14 15:34:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2,698	0¢	$10	0x6b1c98…
04-14 15:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x76be92…
04-14 15:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	294	7¢	$20	0x48321d…
04-12 17:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x57b6e6…
04-12 17:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x834915…
04-12 17:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	499	99¢	$494	0xce90f3…
04-12 16:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0x52fe09…
04-12 16:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	407	32¢	$130	0x01f05c…
04-12 16:55:11	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,878	11¢	$427	0x1e3ca5…
04-06 01:15:13	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,878	20¢	$776	0x8302af…
03-11 00:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,855	3¢	$56	0xf60903…
03-11 00:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0xc88032…
03-11 00:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5dc5bc…
03-11 00:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	631	5¢	$30	0x5aa604…
03-11 00:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	906	11¢	$100	0xd8f38c…
03-11 00:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	613	16¢	$100	0x6d076a…
03-11 00:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	337	15¢	$50	0x99ed14…
03-11 00:45:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xb65445…
03-11 00:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	867	2¢	$20	0x2e4a47…
03-11 00:44:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	757	4¢	$30	0xa8cdf4…
03-11 00:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	268	7¢	$20	0x5f5b8c…
03-11 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,830	7¢	$120	0x81f1e3…
03-11 00:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	291	17¢	$50	0xbccf45…
03-11 00:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x7031af…
03-11 00:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	722	60¢	$433	0xa136b5…
03-11 00:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x87e7fb…
03-11 00:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	477	21¢	$100	0x4eb470…
03-11 00:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x229798…
03-11 00:33:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x50e9b6…
03-11 00:33:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,304	3¢	$40	0x100616…
03-11 00:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,202	2¢	$30	0x334ea6…
03-11 00:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,991	3¢	$100	0xbb01be…
03-11 00:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	628	99¢	$622	0xfdc166…
03-11 00:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	637	58¢	$370	0xb2b4a6…
03-11 00:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	514	25¢	$130	0x881a19…
03-11 00:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x94cae1…
03-11 00:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	507	62¢	$314	0x944810…
03-11 00:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	478	21¢	$100	0x06231f…
03-11 00:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	391	20¢	$80	0x50031b…
03-11 00:12:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	68	19¢	$13	0x0c9e33…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xeae62f…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xd6b3e1…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x957490…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x6e3ea7…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x585952…
03-11 00:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x36f924…
03-11 00:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	740	25¢	$182	0xb2389a…
03-11 00:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	309	32¢	$100	0x0cf12c…
03-11 00:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	487	3¢	$15	0x7d79f7…
03-11 00:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1,179	3¢	$35	0x14059b…
03-11 00:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2,424	4¢	$90	0xdade70…
03-11 00:07:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	552	11¢	$60	0x12d56d…
03-11 00:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	369	27¢	$100	0xd3c6d6…
03-10 23:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1,115	99¢	$1,105	0x5658ff…
03-10 23:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	525	70¢	$365	0x8b67b7…
03-10 23:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	603	66¢	$400	0x294176…
03-10 23:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	691	61¢	$422	0xd009f8…
03-10 23:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0x21865e…
03-10 23:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	353	57¢	$200	0xb123bd…
03-10 23:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	647	31¢	$200	0x28027f…
03-10 23:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0x5d32d7…
03-10 23:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	219	60¢	$131	0xbf0927…
03-10 23:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	350	99¢	$347	0x40547b…
03-10 22:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	355	56¢	$200	0xda1af0…
03-10 00:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	332	44¢	$146	0x4fc3ed…
03-10 00:48:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x620414…
03-10 00:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	308	58¢	$179	0x649b88…
03-10 00:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	310	82¢	$254	0x9ffccd…
03-10 00:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x1706b1…
03-10 00:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	751	27¢	$200	0x887ba9…
03-10 00:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	509	99¢	$504	0xf7ae1f…
03-10 00:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	509	94¢	$478	0x33cd7a…