Stained-Bonus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$164

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-15 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

63% 61% +$9

Politics

37% 52% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 21:30
Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-15 13:17
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	+$3	05-15 13:37
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-13 21:30
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 21:30
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	03-11 13:02
will trump say khamenei this week march 29	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	03-25 20:51
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	02-24 14:06
will partido popular win 32 35 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	03-12 13:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	03-25 20:37
will pltr close between 134 and 136 week february 27 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	02-27 17:21
amzn close above 210 on march 16 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	03-13 19:37
googl close above 300 on march 16 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	03-13 19:42
will aapl close between 255 and 260 week march 6 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	03-05 16:17
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 120 139	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	03-09 21:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	03-25 21:00
will tsla close below 385 week march 13 2026	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	03-10 11:00
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	02-24 14:17
will nvda close between 185 and 190 week march 6 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	03-05 16:21
googl close above 305 on march 16 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	03-13 19:51
tsla above 420 on february 27 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	02-25 17:01
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by 9 or more 953	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	02-09 23:06
will tsla close above 420 week february 13 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	02-12 18:30
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	02-24 14:21
meta close above 620 on march 16 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	03-13 19:47
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3 and 6 783	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	02-09 23:17
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on march 27 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	03-25 20:44
will msft close between 400 and 410 week march 13 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-12 13:27
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on march 13 2026 949	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-10 10:56
will nvda close between 185 and 190 week february 13 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	02-12 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:37:17	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5bf2ac…
05-15 13:17:29	Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf4589f…
05-13 22:58:58	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xca3a37…
05-13 21:30:43	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x85ea73…
05-13 21:30:43	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3d49ee…
05-13 21:30:41	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6a5e53…
05-13 21:30:41	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5d7ef9…
05-13 21:30:41	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x486e3d…
04-22 11:13:36	pcg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30abb8…
04-22 11:08:46	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd1c2bb…
04-22 11:01:46	ubsi quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt85	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdbc51f…
04-22 10:56:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd82b7c…
04-22 10:50:56	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt34	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb01cf8…
04-21 14:08:46	amzn close above 255 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x611a0b…
04-21 13:49:58	amzn close above 250 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd0e462…
04-21 13:38:16	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x509b4d…
04-16 15:40:28	tsla close above 380 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x824294…
04-14 20:38:50	nvda close above 195 on april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x88fba4…
04-14 20:20:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd836d6…
03-31 15:17:45	tsla above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xefc39d…
03-31 14:46:55	pltr above 144 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x60f441…
03-30 18:19:05	aapl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x85e265…
03-30 18:01:45	pltr above 140 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd6bdc5…
03-30 17:51:39	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x92ffa8…
03-27 19:29:33	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xcd6b3d…
03-27 19:10:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb6bb63…
03-27 18:51:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x2dc584…
03-26 19:24:55	googl close above 280 on march 27 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x298d28…
03-26 19:14:17	googl close above 280 on march 26 2026	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xbca5e8…
03-25 21:00:13	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7e3dd7…
03-25 20:51:53	will trump say khamenei this week march 29	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcef7d1…
03-25 20:44:37	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on march 27 2026	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xf14b6b…
03-25 20:37:51	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xea4629…
03-20 14:25:13	will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x45fbba…
03-20 13:57:33	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x745a4d…
03-20 13:52:15	will the rachida dati list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x33061d…
03-19 17:25:27	will open close between 5 and 6 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x932a85…
03-19 17:09:21	will msft close between 390 and 400 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6d48c5…
03-19 17:04:11	will tsla close below 375 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc9ad4b…
03-18 20:51:57	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 510	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x27730f…
03-18 20:47:03	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd4e276…
03-18 20:42:39	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x69d286…
03-18 20:37:25	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61a9cc…
03-13 19:51:47	googl close above 305 on march 16 2026	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x1a7734…
03-13 19:47:03	meta close above 620 on march 16 2026	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xad2757…
03-13 19:42:31	googl close above 300 on march 16 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x98f5df…
03-13 19:37:57	amzn close above 210 on march 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4a2467…
03-12 13:27:05	will msft close between 400 and 410 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xeb296d…
03-12 13:22:43	will partido popular win 32 35 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xd0beae…
03-11 13:37:39	googl close above 310 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x87f692…
03-11 13:14:11	will nvda close between 180 and 185 week march 13 2026	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xe716ec…
03-11 13:02:13	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 80 99	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x01feb5…
03-10 11:00:15	will tsla close below 385 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x0093d6…
03-10 10:56:51	will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on march 13 2026 949	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x323a80…
03-10 10:39:23	will trumps approval rating be less than 41pt0 on march 13 2026 221	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9f0451…
03-09 21:35:59	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 120 139	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6283ee…
03-05 16:21:17	will nvda close between 185 and 190 week march 6 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x846eb9…
03-05 16:17:31	will aapl close between 255 and 260 week march 6 2026	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x1e2bd8…
03-05 16:08:57	will nvda close between 180 and 185 week march 6 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x14b316…
03-05 16:05:25	will aapl close between 260 and 265 week march 6 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x15a369…
03-04 21:24:29	tsla close above 400 on march 5 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd625b5…
03-04 21:20:11	nvda close above 180 on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x02b3bd…
03-04 21:15:57	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3e5777…
02-28 00:13:05	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcd83f0…
02-27 23:57:11	will steve toth be the republican nominee for tx 02	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb92a03…
02-27 17:25:09	will pltr close between 132 and 134 week february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x73a42a…
02-27 17:21:27	will pltr close between 134 and 136 week february 27 2026	No	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x16e676…
02-27 17:14:53	will meta close between 640 and 650 week february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x707ac8…
02-27 17:11:11	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa3b370…
02-26 11:26:18	will googl close between 310 and 315 week february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xda4fb6…
02-26 11:22:00	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 80 99	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa75b42…
02-26 11:11:20	nvda above 200 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x803a6d…
02-25 18:14:42	will amzn close between 205 and 210 week february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8f3ee4…
02-25 17:01:04	tsla above 420 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x18a3f4…
02-24 14:21:18	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa903ad…
02-24 14:17:32	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	No	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0xc35af7…
02-24 14:06:16	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xd8eba3…
02-18 01:19:07	will aapl close between 260 and 265 week february 20 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd4e6b5…
02-12 18:34:17	will meta close between 650 and 660 week february 13 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8907d5…
02-12 18:30:39	will tsla close above 420 week february 13 2026	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xefdad9…
02-12 18:27:23	will nvda close between 185 and 190 week february 13 2026	No	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0xbc6688…
02-12 18:23:01	will nvda close between 190 and 195 week february 13 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf76c41…
02-09 23:24:31	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 80 99	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe55da8…
02-09 23:20:33	will trump and netanyahu handshake last 26 seconds by february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x609939…
02-09 23:17:37	will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3 and 6 783	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3a8d04…
02-09 23:10:15	will trump and netanyahu handshake last 610 seconds by february 13 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xca20d7…
02-09 23:06:33	will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by 9 or more 953	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xdbbe1d…
02-09 16:22:35	nvda close above 180 on february 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77cab2…
02-09 16:18:37	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb7d52e…
02-09 16:15:09	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf6532e…
02-09 16:11:01	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x726647…
02-09 16:07:09	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb3b10e…