Damaged-Linkage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$991

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.3%

Resolved

1,413

Trades

5,641

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Other

67% 24% -$1,301

Sports

33% 42% +$310

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 279 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?	62	$936	262	1,162	-900	Yes	+$29	07-01 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?	24	$709	1,861	6	+1,856	No	-$526	07-31 05:30
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	12	$662	19,100	2,275	+16,825	Magic	-$298	04-18 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	28	$510	378	209	+169	Yes	+$37	06-22 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	20	$467	461	461	+0	Yes	-$130	07-29 07:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	5	$263	200	200	+0	Yes	-$25	10-02 09:42
nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	5	$243	500	490	+10	Warriors	+$3	03-05 11:54
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	6	$242	200	200	+0	Timberwolves	+$10	05-11 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	20	$226	303	135	+167	Yes	+$17	07-30 04:55
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	12	$224	300	200	+100	Cavaliers	+$36	04-09 00:00
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$218	600	0	+600	Spurs	+$382	04-26 20:51
nba phi hou 2026 04 09	1	$207	300	0	+300	Rockets	+$93	04-09 23:37
nba ind lac 2026 03 04	12	$204	777	677	+100	Clippers	-$14	03-04 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?	45	$197	704	704	+0	Yes	-$22	06-23 06:35
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19?	4	$186	140	140	+0	No	+$0	09-18 06:25
nba cha lal 2026 01 15	13	$182	300	200	+100	Hornets	+$66	01-15 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?	18	$181	98	236	-138	No	+$31	07-03 02:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	28	$181	5	367	-362	No	-$5	07-04 02:16
nba chi phx 2026 03 05	2	$178	400	390	+10	Bulls	-$28	03-05 11:45
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	9	$170	400	200	+200	Knicks	+$170	05-20 02:31
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	7	$168	1,400	200	+1,200	Cavaliers	-$2	05-18 02:04
nba cle phi 2026 01 14	4	$168	205	135	+70	Cavaliers	+$37	01-14 16:26
nba sas lac 2026 03 16	6	$167	302	50	+252	Spurs	+$108	03-17 02:25
nba uta was 2026 03 05	3	$166	200	190	+10	Jazz	-$8	03-05 22:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?	13	$157	144	544	-400	No	-$56	06-26 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 30?	6	$156	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-29 12:07
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 3?	11	$156	100	100	+0	No	-$2	10-02 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	7	$152	300	100	+200	Yes	-$72	06-05 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	6	$150	0	300	-300	Yes	+$0	06-25 22:18
nba cha nyk 2026 04 12	4	$146	100	90	+10	Hornets	+$18	04-12 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:58:06	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x13323e…
10-24 23:04:20	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	47	48¢	$23	0xf771ec…
10-24 23:03:24	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x6766f6…
10-24 22:49:48	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8b681b…
10-24 00:30:32	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x814deb…
10-24 00:25:20	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xb23b58…
10-24 00:25:20	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x0a5d5a…
10-15 02:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x1aa774…
10-15 02:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x54bcc8…
10-14 02:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x2dc5c2…
10-14 02:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x713c65…
10-14 02:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xd7923b…
10-14 02:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x10de3e…
10-13 07:13:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf918a8…
10-13 07:13:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0xa75668…
10-13 07:13:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x0e81c0…
10-13 05:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x2aacea…
10-13 03:46:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x2d45f0…
10-13 03:35:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf640ef…
10-13 02:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xacdd21…
10-10 03:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xbf5cae…
10-10 03:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x0d7b0e…
10-10 03:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x38951a…
10-10 02:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x5454bc…
10-10 01:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x12d4bc…
10-10 00:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xd658fd…
10-10 00:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x1efb11…
10-10 00:16:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x641bd6…
10-10 00:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x0d94d8…
10-09 23:41:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xa2fa5d…
10-09 22:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1e7f30…
10-09 22:49:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6c158a…
10-09 22:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x431ec0…
10-09 22:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xec8e1d…
10-09 22:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x5ccf24…
10-09 21:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xce80ba…
10-09 21:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xe5abed…
10-09 21:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x3e685d…
10-09 21:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x42bf81…
10-09 21:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x998de4…
10-09 21:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x5bdb31…
10-09 21:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xf02494…
10-09 21:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x660223…
10-09 21:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xddec0f…
10-09 21:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x411932…
10-09 20:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd4686c…
10-09 16:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 10?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xe1993c…
10-09 16:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 10?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x94d54e…
10-09 15:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 10?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x3881c3…
10-09 12:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 10?	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x3585fa…
10-09 12:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x69150f…
10-09 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa92055…
10-09 12:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xb22f40…
10-09 11:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x34d23d…
10-09 11:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xcf72d9…
10-09 11:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xe27584…
10-09 10:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x282141…
10-09 09:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb822cc…
10-09 09:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 10?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf81fd9…
10-09 09:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x53f884…
10-09 09:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xe45009…
10-09 09:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xb9d40f…
10-09 08:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x460237…
10-09 08:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x3dfc45…
10-09 08:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x6ac797…
10-09 08:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xdaa86a…
10-09 08:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4e2f1a…
10-09 08:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbe9c03…
10-09 08:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xa74b06…
10-09 08:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x49b659…
10-09 07:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd26717…
10-09 07:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x352ac8…
10-09 07:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xec8d5c…
10-09 07:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x487a4d…
10-09 07:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfc31e9…
10-09 07:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe08e5f…
10-09 07:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xad047b…
10-09 07:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x811a74…
10-09 06:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x9d489c…
10-09 05:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 10?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x2d870f…
10-09 05:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 10?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x354d8f…
10-09 04:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 10?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xbcf507…
10-09 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x835189…
10-09 04:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?	No	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x1d3d9e…
10-09 04:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x3bd281…
10-09 04:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xf70036…
10-09 04:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x2f5d7a…
10-09 04:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x0563e3…
10-09 04:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x426269…
10-09 04:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x7c93d9…
10-09 02:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa1556e…
10-09 02:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb02e1e…
10-09 02:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa12cfd…
10-09 02:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x52e08c…
10-09 01:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 10?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xbf9722…
10-09 01:37:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x69d991…
10-08 23:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x33c7a5…
10-08 21:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x74145a…
10-08 21:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x334cb1…
10-08 21:56:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 10?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x1b1e6f…