Lone-Tick-Pop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

1,277

Trades

1,450

lifetime

Volume

$4.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-30 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 40% -$240

Other

25% 37% -$172

Sports

13% 41% -$18

Politics

8% 62% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors		+14	$6	42¢	$6	$0	10-30 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$128	89	89	+0	Yes	+$29	10-25 21:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$55	87	87	+0	open	—	10-30 03:39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$31	60	0	+60	No	-$31	10-24 13:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$30	32	32	+0	Up	+$23	05-20 09:19
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	5	$22	150	0	+150	Yes	-$22	09-01 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$12	09-09 05:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$9	09-08 17:15
Spread: Packers (-1.5)	2	$18	13	13	+0	Packers	+$7	10-19 03:27
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?	3	$18	51	0	+51	Yes	-$18	08-28 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	05-20 13:46
Will CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$8	08-24 19:20
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	10-28 01:44
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	2	$15	12	12	+0	Bears	+$9	09-29 02:54
Spread: Texans (-2.5)	2	$15	10	10	+0	Bengals	+$5	09-20 22:59
Saints vs. Giants	2	$14	10	10	+0	Saints	+$5	10-18 19:54
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)	2	$14	11	11	+0	GIANTX	+$8	08-24 18:42
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)	2	$13	10	10	+0	Club Santos Laguna	+$5	09-21 01:55
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	2	$13	10	10	+0	Colts	+$4	09-21 03:05
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	2	$13	30	0	+30	Shopify Rebellion	-$13	10-07 04:38
nhl dal col 2026 10 14	2	$13	9	9	+0	Stars	+$5	10-15 03:25
Warriors vs. Lakers	2	$13	8	8	+0	Lakers	+$2	10-22 04:38
Flames vs. Ducks	2	$13	10	10	+0	Flames	+$5	10-14 04:20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$12	30	30	+0	open	—	09-21 04:47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$1	10-25 23:15
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury	2	$12	9	9	+0	Phoenix Mercury	+$6	09-22 04:26
wnba chi conn 2026 08 25	2	$12	9	9	+0	Connecticut Sun	+$6	08-26 01:04
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	2	$12	9	9	+0	No	+$6	10-01 22:35
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	2	$11	9	9	+0	Ducks	+$5	10-03 04:01
bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	08-17 11:45
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	10-27 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:13:51	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0xfa92fb…
10-30 03:58:25	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x50b7fe…
10-30 03:40:07	Senators vs. Kings	Kings	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6a5c14…
10-30 03:39:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	87	40¢	$35	0xb89e7a…
10-29 20:28:55	Senators vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0e30e6…
10-29 06:58:22	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x263c44…
10-29 05:28:26	Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)	Kings	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf4aa21…
10-29 02:28:26	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x90ed4f…
10-28 10:43:20	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xbef26c…
10-28 06:13:19	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x3516bd…
10-28 05:28:29	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	Pacers	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x9ee383…
10-28 01:44:53	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x3822a4…
10-28 01:44:33	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x56041e…
10-27 21:29:51	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x02bbce…
10-27 21:13:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xee798d…
10-27 15:58:24	Senators vs. Golden Knights	Senators	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x29395e…
10-27 13:27:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x1af4ea…
10-27 12:28:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdff01d…
10-27 06:58:17	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0xb7b6d0…
10-27 04:43:27	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f7d03…
10-27 01:12:57	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8d0499…
10-25 23:15:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x3c115d…
10-25 22:38:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa26ba3…
10-25 21:12:39	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xd4db9b…
10-25 11:31:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0e276b…
10-25 11:22:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xb2a5ed…
10-24 14:18:41	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x44d5ce…
10-24 14:17:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x1edf46…
10-24 13:11:50	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0xe9e12a…
10-24 12:53:08	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5a95e0…
10-24 12:33:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x961633…
10-24 12:08:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xd6062d…
10-24 04:18:14	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x9820ed…
10-24 04:18:03	Spread: Warriors (-3.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9451cd…
10-23 21:53:09	Spread: Warriors (-3.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xad72db…
10-23 19:38:06	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x08ff9b…
10-23 02:23:06	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xefc4a4…
10-22 18:08:05	Spread: Senators (-1.5)	Sharks	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x8c0fc6…
10-22 04:38:56	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdb20b8…
10-22 04:38:12	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf83f2c…
10-22 02:23:14	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x6e98e9…
10-21 21:53:15	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xffc3ef…
10-21 21:08:05	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xf9d3d2…
10-21 12:53:41	Panthers vs. Senators	Panthers	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x40c367…
10-20 21:53:12	Wild vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xdebaaa…
10-20 16:38:54	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Missouri State	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf6d0e9…
10-20 05:23:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x303310…
10-20 04:38:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x0cd1eb…
10-19 21:53:13	Penguins vs. Utah	Penguins	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x8c7a2b…
10-19 03:27:20	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x49a9fe…
10-18 21:53:14	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa6cd78…
10-18 21:08:12	Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x161a7e…
10-18 19:54:29	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9bcc86…
10-17 16:38:14	Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	Jaguars	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x887899…
10-17 15:52:59	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3312c9…
10-17 05:23:50	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5cb6eb…
10-16 22:38:12	Bruins vs. Ducks	Bruins	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xecb6da…
10-16 07:38:39	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xceb760…
10-16 04:38:15	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc633df…
10-16 02:23:16	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x886dfb…
10-16 00:38:16	Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)	Broncos	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x637184…
10-15 23:51:28	Spread: Georgia Southern (-3.5)	Georgia Southern	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x4fe04a…
10-15 03:53:02	Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)	Broncos	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x40aaaa…
10-15 03:25:04	nhl dal col 2026 10 14	Stars	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x53297d…
10-14 21:53:09	cfb gas old 2026 10 15 spread away 3pt5	Georgia Southern	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x877dbc…
10-14 21:08:48	nhl nyi ott 2026 10 15	Islanders	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x048f3f…
10-14 18:53:15	nhl dal col 2026 10 14	Stars	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x34209c…
10-14 09:53:07	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x008249…
10-14 08:23:05	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd9fea7…
10-14 04:20:02	Flames vs. Ducks	Flames	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xcea16a…
10-14 03:53:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xe66bda…
10-13 23:52:31	Spread: Delaware (-1.5)	Delaware	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0x12adf6…
10-13 22:38:10	Flames vs. Ducks	Flames	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x366974…
10-13 07:39:01	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x4ebec3…
10-13 04:38:15	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xcfb3b4…
10-13 03:27:17	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xc59d51…
10-13 02:23:08	Spread: Delaware (-1.5)	Delaware	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xdda2a3…
10-13 01:28:17	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x591615…
10-12 12:53:08	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4f73b6…
10-12 11:23:02	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xbc49a6…
10-12 08:23:09	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x453eb6…
10-07 04:38:47	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	GAM Esports	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x33ec85…
10-07 00:31:14	LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	GAM Esports	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5c7c9c…
10-06 11:01:03	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x52ed4b…
10-06 10:15:37	Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x18bf2d…
10-06 06:30:37	Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	G2	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4e5b82…
10-06 05:01:22	Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdda350…
10-05 23:45:40	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4b66ad…
10-05 22:15:53	Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3c0067…
10-05 21:31:17	Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)	RED Canids	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4dbf1f…
10-05 20:45:55	1H Spread: Saints (-2.5)	Saints	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x5eba60…
10-05 16:16:13	Jets vs. Penguins	Jets	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x91b3cb…
10-05 08:45:55	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe2dcf1…
10-05 08:01:47	cs2 shin g2 2026 10 05 map handicap home 1pt5	ShindeN	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcd8ea2…
10-05 04:15:26	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3d20c6…
10-05 01:15:41	Senators vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2d36dd…
10-04 23:01:37	Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7f7d94…
10-04 21:30:44	Spread: Saints (-2.5)	Saints	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7254d1…
10-04 20:01:41	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Lions	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc83b1e…
10-04 17:46:05	Golden Knights vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x62c413…