Natural-Measles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$157

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

162

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 07-22 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 62% -$102

Tech

2% 0% -$53

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	12	$113	99	59	+41	Down	+$3	05-24 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	12	$110	87	56	+32	Down	$0	05-24 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	13	$99	107	39	+68	Down	-$21	05-24 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$98	58	58	+0	Down	+$18	05-24 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$92	298	48	+250	Down	+$2	05-24 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$78	49	49	+0	Up	+$18	05-24 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-24 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	12	$71	88	20	+69	Down	-$39	05-24 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$69	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	05-24 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$66	42	42	+0	Up	+$16	05-24 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$63	297	0	+297	Down	-$63	05-24 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	6	$62	37	37	+0	Up	+$12	05-24 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$58	36	36	+0	Down	+$12	05-30 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	6	$53	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	05-30 06:24
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$53	164	0	+164	Yes	-$53	05-28 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$51	87	25	+63	Up	-$3	05-23 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	7	$51	49	27	+22	Up	+$3	05-24 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$49	68	28	+40	Up	+$5	05-23 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$49	42	25	+18	Up	-$1	05-23 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$48	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	05-24 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$48	127	27	+100	Down	+$6	05-24 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$46	31	31	+0	Up	+$16	05-24 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$46	37	26	+11	Up	+$6	05-24 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$43	122	22	+100	Up	+$1	05-24 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$43	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-24 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$41	71	21	+50	Down	-$1	05-24 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$39	24	24	+0	Up	+$7	05-30 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	7	$39	47	9	+38	Up	-$21	05-24 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$37	46	21	+25	Down	+$5	05-24 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$36	22	22	+0	Up	+$6	05-24 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xdc0f86…
07-22 01:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x78a873…
07-22 01:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xecd73f…
07-22 01:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x894b67…
07-22 01:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb63c1a…
07-22 01:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x14d013…
07-22 01:25:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x264ae7…
07-22 01:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa7455e…
07-22 01:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x86cb4d…
07-22 01:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x39619b…
07-22 01:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe8ff04…
07-22 01:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf1cb9c…
07-22 01:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe0bb17…
07-22 01:15:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x19ac42…
07-22 01:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x267804…
07-22 01:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x16aa60…
07-22 01:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb49535…
07-22 01:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x04ea42…
07-22 01:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xefde93…
07-22 01:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa7d028…
07-22 01:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xcd23cb…
07-22 01:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x22214c…
07-22 01:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x200f20…
07-22 00:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x355c05…
07-22 00:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x08bedf…
07-16 08:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x4091eb…
07-16 07:55:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x80bfb4…
07-16 07:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf64361…
07-16 07:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x72f35d…
07-16 07:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d3bf6…
07-16 07:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2c46e2…
07-16 07:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x3819c3…
07-16 07:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x454bde…
07-16 07:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xff9d5d…
07-16 07:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd42339…
07-16 07:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x74c4fb…
07-16 07:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc92ac…
07-16 07:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1b9b52…
07-16 07:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x735ea5…
07-11 04:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x571d9a…
07-11 04:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd62b7a…
05-31 04:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x81a00b…
05-31 04:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x951e37…
05-31 04:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa26fc9…
05-31 04:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x385397…
05-31 04:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07ab28…
05-31 04:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x81a17d…
05-31 04:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x497132…
05-31 04:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5e8521…
05-31 04:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa22f59…
05-31 04:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcb69dc…
05-31 04:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd04680…
05-31 03:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8309d0…
05-31 03:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4ad219…
05-31 03:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6d3da3…
05-31 02:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x859cb0…
05-31 02:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6a8ba7…
05-31 02:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xdac79c…
05-31 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x271e5f…
05-31 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38e68d…
05-31 01:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb6d26f…
05-31 01:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x4bc7d8…
05-31 01:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0c87c6…
05-30 23:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xaa390a…
05-30 23:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x032b29…
05-30 23:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xddbfb9…
05-30 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x574834…
05-30 23:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5cf574…
05-30 23:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd6e6c6…
05-30 23:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x638b4f…
05-30 23:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb2f587…
05-30 23:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x912dfa…
05-30 23:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcfad57…
05-30 23:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xebb2a9…
05-30 23:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x880134…
05-30 23:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0cc860…
05-30 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5673bd…
05-30 23:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb44856…
05-30 23:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x496009…
05-30 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9ba744…
05-30 23:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x83de98…
05-30 23:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4b66c1…
05-30 23:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x594177…
05-30 23:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4bdc6a…
05-30 23:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb142c5…
05-30 22:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x49de9a…
05-30 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x82d6a4…
05-30 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe981b3…
05-30 22:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0d636a…
05-30 22:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe87712…
05-30 06:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbfd48b…
05-30 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x73c042…
05-30 06:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x69bb96…
05-30 06:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9fbafc…
05-30 06:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x075ea2…
05-30 06:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6f3580…
05-30 06:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0213a2…
05-30 06:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe1f278…
05-30 06:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb5c5d5…
05-30 06:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xde1dca…