Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
517
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$104
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 22:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
98%
Other
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +197 $49 12¢ $25 $-25 06-08 09:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $16 36¢ $18 +$2 06-08 12:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +60 $17 25¢ $15 $-2 06-08 13:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $3 24¢ $12 +$10 06-09 16:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $10 $11 +$1 06-08 16:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +200 $7 $5 $-2 06-08 12:42
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 +$0 06-03 05:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $3 18¢ $4 +$0 06-05 23:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$1 06-02 14:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +29 $2 10¢ $3 +$0 06-08 15:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +7 $-3 20¢ $1 +$4 06-05 07:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 02:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $1 $-0 06-06 21:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-01 23:27