Guilty-Shift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,543

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-26 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 67% +$1

Other

4% 0% —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769013900	10	$245	220	122	+98	open	—	01-21 16:56
btc updown 15m 1768924800	8	$201	178	176	+3	open	—	01-20 16:12
eth updown 15m 1768797000	6	$183	162	159	+2	open	—	01-19 04:43
btc updown 15m 1767609000	9	$167	132	120	+12	open	—	01-05 10:45
sol updown 15m 1768383000	4	$166	196	193	+3	open	—	01-14 09:45
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	14	$150	131	131	+0	open	—	02-13 10:30
btc updown 15m 1768964400	8	$148	119	94	+26	open	—	01-21 03:15
xrp updown 15m 1767572100	6	$141	96	96	+0	open	—	01-05 00:29
btc updown 15m 1768914900	9	$141	89	88	+1	open	—	01-20 13:29
btc updown 15m 1769056200	3	$139	87	86	+1	open	—	01-22 04:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	7	$135	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 10:17
eth updown 15m 1768383000	2	$134	121	120	+2	open	—	01-14 09:40
btc updown 15m 1770371100	8	$131	97	96	+1	open	—	02-06 09:59
btc updown 15m 1771153200	6	$130	104	103	+1	open	—	02-15 11:14
eth updown 15m 1768380300	6	$126	81	80	+1	open	—	01-14 09:00
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	9	$124	400	400	+0	open	—	02-12 12:26
eth updown 15m 1768038300	5	$123	72	71	+1	open	—	01-10 09:58
sol updown 15m 1768814100	4	$122	77	77	+1	open	—	01-19 09:21
eth updown 15m 1768554000	6	$121	108	79	+29	open	—	01-16 09:14
btc updown 15m 1768817700	4	$121	69	69	+0	open	—	01-19 10:25
sol updown 15m 1768054500	4	$121	102	47	+55	open	—	01-10 14:30
btc updown 15m 1769960700	2	$117	51	82	-31	open	—	02-01 15:52
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	7	$113	147	147	+0	open	—	06-17 06:45
btc updown 15m 1768788900	5	$111	65	65	+0	open	—	01-19 02:29
sol updown 15m 1768020300	4	$110	229	129	+100	open	—	01-10 04:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 10:15
xrp updown 15m 1767677400	7	$109	102	102	+0	open	—	01-06 05:44
btc updown 5m 1770863400	9	$109	100	100	+0	open	—	02-12 02:34
eth updown 15m 1768815900	6	$108	83	82	+1	open	—	01-19 09:57
xrp updown 15m 1768380300	6	$108	80	79	+1	open	—	01-14 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 09:49:55	will the announcers say oh my god or oh my goodness during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259129	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb84600…
06-26 09:39:02	will the announcers say oh my god or oh my goodness during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259129	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x580ecb…
06-26 09:32:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x139676…
06-26 09:31:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x795170…
06-18 05:30:17	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456425	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x2f9f57…
06-18 05:28:44	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456425	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x5892dc…
06-18 05:25:26	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x95047a…
06-18 05:24:35	will the announcers say loose ball during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751366	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbc804e…
06-17 06:45:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xece390…
06-17 06:38:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x716a05…
06-17 05:47:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x21ce28…
06-17 05:30:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	46	26¢	$12	0x627b5c…
06-17 04:46:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa5489f…
06-16 11:27:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x960f14…
06-16 11:26:16	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x12ec5d…
06-16 11:15:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0xb0e884…
06-16 11:13:31	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x6f8b3c…
06-16 11:11:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x4d75b5…
06-16 11:05:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xcb9e52…
06-16 10:02:58	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x92c84a…
06-16 08:57:24	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x58e96a…
06-16 08:54:21	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x771865…
06-16 08:54:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xda26b0…
06-16 08:51:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x6a261e…
06-16 08:49:45	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x4d47c9…
06-16 07:09:40	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x4ab119…
06-16 07:08:24	will the announcers say president during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513555	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x19a847…
06-16 07:06:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0xf9fc03…
06-16 07:03:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3b93e9…
06-16 06:55:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x2e908f…
06-16 06:47:13	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x9a2df8…
06-16 06:46:45	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x366615…
06-16 06:46:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x96b9dd…
06-16 06:37:00	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x4bf3ae…
06-16 06:25:43	will the announcers say ankle during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513560	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x978d50…
06-16 06:18:54	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0x6892ee…
06-16 06:17:39	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x05ae78…
06-16 06:17:34	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5a5ddd…
06-16 06:17:30	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xcceedc…
06-16 06:17:28	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x35c766…
06-16 06:17:25	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb5f25b…
06-16 06:17:21	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x778f9e…
06-16 06:11:37	will the announcers say messi during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513557	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe82d8e…
06-16 06:08:21	spy closes above 760 on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xb5ce88…
06-16 05:50:09	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x9d7c0e…
06-16 05:48:04	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x90533e…
06-16 05:35:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0xe6f44e…
06-16 05:34:52	spy closes above 760 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x01b38c…
06-16 05:27:12	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4ae131…
06-16 05:27:07	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xbced31…
06-16 05:09:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x74a5fe…
06-16 04:48:42	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x7e3833…
06-16 04:47:33	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd90e00…
06-13 05:53:57	btc updown 5m 1781329800	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc0b204…
06-12 10:37:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xb9649a…
06-12 10:12:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0ca5d8…
06-12 09:53:34	btc updown 5m 1781257800	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x36ef8a…
06-12 09:52:36	will tim weah be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532031	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x73bd80…
06-12 09:23:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xc7b7e7…
06-12 09:22:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xaf5aa6…
06-12 09:22:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xb39f21…
06-12 09:21:54	will tim weah be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532031	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb6ae94…
06-12 09:21:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x97e9f7…
06-12 09:21:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x32561f…
06-12 09:21:18	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x077e61…
06-12 09:18:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x7c3095…
06-12 09:16:46	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x463968…
06-12 09:16:36	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x04e2c5…
06-12 09:13:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x4f5cd4…
06-12 09:13:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xf7358f…
06-12 09:13:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdf4944…
06-12 09:09:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x735da4…
06-12 09:09:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x200f7c…
06-12 09:08:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x542740…
06-12 09:05:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xc0d62e…
06-12 09:05:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x63c2c3…
06-12 07:40:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x9403d7…
06-12 07:30:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xf7bd42…
06-12 07:30:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x7744f4…
06-12 07:30:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x08a024…
06-12 07:24:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x91a9a5…
06-12 07:20:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xea038b…
06-12 07:17:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xcc861c…
06-12 07:13:10	btc updown 5m 1781248200	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xac9265…
06-12 07:07:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x528faf…
06-12 06:52:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x56d255…
06-11 10:05:07	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1 round handicap bb3 3pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfd8e9…
06-11 10:05:07	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1 round handicap bb3 3pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbe83cf…
06-11 10:05:07	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1 round handicap bb3 3pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x749667…
06-11 10:05:07	cs2 mglz bb3 2026 06 11 game1 round handicap bb3 3pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x463f76…
06-11 07:58:01	will spy dip to 715 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x206b42…
06-11 07:56:15	will spy dip to 715 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe6963b…
06-11 07:49:06	will spy dip to 715 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x8f743e…
06-11 07:45:51	will spy dip to 715 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x14ed1b…
06-11 07:14:09	will spy dip to 715 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x2c9623…
06-11 06:43:12	will spy dip to 715 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x33c848…
06-11 06:33:12	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xd4831a…
06-11 05:46:19	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x9ae7ec…
06-11 05:30:30	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x008669…
06-11 05:24:30	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8a65a5…