Far-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$337

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

434

Trades

1,095

lifetime

Volume

$8.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-15 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 72% +$322

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% 50% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$148	125	94	+31	Up	+$59	05-10 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$123	103	83	+20	Down	+$34	05-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$117	157	0	+157	Up	$-38	05-11 07:19
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$108	190	190	+0	open	—	05-14 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$102	67	62	+5	Down	+$16	05-11 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$102	93	33	+60	Up	+$3	05-10 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$90	121	0	+121	Down	$-3	05-11 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	9	$89	62	62	+0	Down	+$29	05-08 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$87	47	47	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$87	94	61	+33	Down	+$0	05-11 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	12	$86	61	61	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$80	52	52	+0	Up	+$24	05-13 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	5	$78	62	30	+32	Down	+$6	05-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	3	$75	40	40	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$70	129	0	+129	Up	$-9	05-09 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	15	$69	40	40	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$65	71	0	+71	Down	+$6	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	12	$65	49	41	+8	Up	+$21	05-10 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$64	40	40	+0	Up	+$14	05-12 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$60	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$60	103	0	+103	Down	+$5	05-11 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$60	66	66	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$60	49	49	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$58	38	38	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	7	$56	52	35	+18	Down	$-2	05-10 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$55	34	34	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$55	66	38	+28	Up	$-5	05-11 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$54	40	29	+10	Down	+$4	05-11 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	8	$54	51	35	+17	Up	$-12	05-12 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$53	34	34	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9efe3a…
05-15 08:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7d14f0…
05-15 08:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb04dc2…
05-15 08:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfc6bfb…
05-15 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x618f40…
05-15 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc8b688…
05-15 08:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1be24b…
05-15 08:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48baef…
05-15 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x943a6e…
05-15 07:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x503764…
05-15 07:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1647f5…
05-15 07:42:23	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	472	0¢	$1	0x307cdf…
05-15 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfcbc74…
05-15 07:33:57	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x461aea…
05-15 07:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0777a6…
05-15 07:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf7a2ef…
05-15 07:26:35	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x601cef…
05-15 07:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc03ff3…
05-15 05:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb7d8a2…
05-15 05:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xca0db4…
05-15 04:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xeb9e1a…
05-15 04:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x363c50…
05-15 04:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3c3bb0…
05-15 04:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xdd72b7…
05-15 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x560c3e…
05-15 04:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa9e713…
05-15 04:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x24908c…
05-15 04:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7ad6df…
05-15 04:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x568510…
05-15 04:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x32c31c…
05-15 04:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe172b0…
05-15 04:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x883b0e…
05-15 04:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x83fcc9…
05-15 04:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x3ad241…
05-15 04:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x65649a…
05-15 04:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa2784…
05-15 03:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd7c227…
05-15 03:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2634c1…
05-15 03:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x26bc59…
05-15 02:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x67f49d…
05-14 14:39:31	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd946fb…
05-14 14:39:13	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7579fd…
05-14 12:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x581711…
05-14 12:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x45e028…
05-14 11:18:02	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	61	29¢	$18	0x76d180…
05-14 11:17:42	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x210044…
05-14 09:53:27	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	45	32¢	$14	0xc5200c…
05-14 09:53:21	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x371eeb…
05-14 09:53:16	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0c4a23…
05-14 09:53:06	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5f062f…
05-14 09:23:43	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x52e7b8…
05-14 07:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3a2cc4…
05-14 07:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3c7ea…
05-14 07:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5b2006…
05-14 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xafd626…
05-14 05:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x28fc32…
05-14 05:22:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7c678f…
05-14 05:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf21fdc…
05-14 05:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	64¢	$19	0xbfef4a…
05-14 05:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xaedfff…
05-14 05:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xccaa02…
05-14 05:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x026868…
05-14 05:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x433b24…
05-14 05:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x404465…
05-14 05:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8d16ea…
05-14 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x9901e4…
05-14 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6e2f3a…
05-14 04:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9c6974…
05-14 04:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x19cb78…
05-14 04:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89f83f…
05-14 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xa437ef…
05-14 04:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x000a67…
05-14 04:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd77238…
05-14 04:40:26	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdf2ba7…
05-14 04:39:52	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x20adde…
05-14 04:39:26	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0x891340…
05-14 04:13:34	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x47d007…
05-14 04:13:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf651ab…
05-14 04:12:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf12572…
05-14 03:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb892b3…
05-14 03:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd263fb…
05-14 02:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x59cf52…
05-14 02:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2e3848…
05-14 02:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc2fa49…
05-14 02:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1b14e0…
05-14 02:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7b51c1…
05-14 02:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc6e0fb…
05-14 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbc7558…
05-14 02:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa8afe8…
05-14 01:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x199ea4…
05-14 01:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x937486…
05-14 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4416ee…
05-14 01:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8bfc4a…
05-14 01:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x129d45…
05-14 01:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa336ba…
05-13 18:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9deb29…
05-13 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xde2836…
05-13 18:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3691e5…
05-13 16:24:21	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	20	83¢	$16	0x561489…
05-13 16:24:19	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xb648a9…