Alienated-Covariate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

1,084

Trades

6,898

lifetime

Volume

$79.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-17 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% -$5,583

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1043 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	11	$1.7K	1,465	1,465	+0	Down	-$270	04-28 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	13	$1.4K	989	970	+19	Down	+$327	04-28 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	13	$1.2K	1,496	1,438	+58	Down	-$143	04-27 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:25 UTC	23	$1.0K	1,130	505	+626	Down	-$63	08-04 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	28	$1.0K	1,071	860	+211	Up	-$72	04-27 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	14	$999	794	794	+0	Down	+$149	04-28 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	14	$959	779	779	+0	Down	+$63	04-28 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:55 UTC	5	$806	609	374	+235	Up	+$109	04-11 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:05 UTC	8	$732	661	652	+9	Down	-$210	03-30 23:10
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 1am et	58	$669	1,056	694	+362	Down	-$38	08-08 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	8	$626	385	385	+0	Down	+$76	04-28 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	8	$619	372	372	+0	Down	+$51	04-28 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	23	$614	1,391	363	+1,028	Up	-$39	04-27 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$601	395	395	+0	Down	+$181	04-28 16:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:40 UTC	10	$576	984	0	+984	Down	-$576	03-31 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	18	$562	366	366	+0	Down	+$14	04-29 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	15	$560	10,435	377	+10,058	Up	-$133	04-29 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	11	$559	618	617	+2	Down	+$113	04-29 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	16	$552	358	358	+0	Down	+$8	04-29 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$545	416	416	+0	Down	+$65	04-28 19:13
bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 12am et	71	$537	783	546	+237	Down	-$53	08-08 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	16	$521	2,970	406	+2,564	Up	-$70	04-27 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$519	716	398	+318	Down	-$212	04-28 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	6	$507	445	405	+40	Down	+$318	04-27 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$494	309	297	+12	Down	+$50	04-28 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	26	$494	662	579	+83	Up	-$38	04-28 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 01:55 UTC	14	$488	548	290	+258	Down	+$126	08-04 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$486	314	308	+6	Down	+$37	04-28 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	12	$478	323	316	+7	Up	+$34	04-27 23:14
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	15	$467	584	367	+217	Down	-$68	04-28 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 11:14:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xeb5b32…
08-16 23:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8cc651…
08-16 23:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x831700…
08-16 23:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaa1ff1…
08-16 23:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7f4264…
08-16 23:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6c920d…
08-16 23:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c9818…
08-14 10:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6b04c7…
08-14 10:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb1353a…
08-14 10:53:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x771311…
08-13 16:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe89171…
08-13 07:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d0263…
08-13 07:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x3a66ae…
08-13 07:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc0e58b…
08-13 07:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xc3f01a…
08-13 07:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6e6128…
08-13 07:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe781f4…
08-13 07:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x67194c…
08-13 07:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcfcc22…
08-13 07:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1b80d4…
08-12 02:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x210674…
08-12 02:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x40c5de…
08-10 08:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8d81e0…
08-09 10:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:25 UTC	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x792b75…
08-09 09:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xbbccf8…
08-09 09:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0956c1…
08-09 05:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf49cf5…
08-09 05:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xfee67c…
08-09 05:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf18acc…
08-09 05:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x138840…
08-09 05:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9d80d2…
08-09 05:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xe71ae2…
08-09 05:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x75f668…
08-09 05:27:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xcb8e81…
08-09 05:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd4705b…
08-09 05:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x8102fd…
08-09 05:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc36a50…
08-09 05:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa81b5c…
08-09 05:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6c64bc…
08-09 05:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x2d2035…
08-09 05:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1ddd8d…
08-09 05:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xd7d577…
08-09 05:01:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4b31bd…
08-09 04:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x1997e5…
08-09 04:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbf3e63…
08-09 04:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xf56049…
08-09 04:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbd1c54…
08-09 04:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x6c43db…
08-09 04:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe6eca2…
08-09 04:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x4b4573…
08-09 04:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xa532d5…
08-09 04:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc18351…
08-09 04:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf255ad…
08-09 04:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0a2db4…
08-09 04:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f6704…
08-09 04:22:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x55787a…
08-09 04:22:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xd1afae…
08-09 04:20:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9270e8…
08-09 04:18:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x47de18…
08-09 04:07:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3b7c96…
08-09 04:05:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x80c9be…
08-09 03:55:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa3336c…
08-09 03:53:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x482872…
08-09 03:52:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd4acd4…
08-09 03:51:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9b850f…
08-09 03:47:18	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x7ab001…
08-09 03:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x0a5ec2…
08-09 03:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x122053…
08-09 03:37:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdcd6db…
08-09 03:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfa57bb…
08-09 03:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe9ad4c…
08-09 03:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x48131f…
08-09 03:31:09	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xebffcd…
08-09 03:30:45	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x7de004…
08-09 03:30:42	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x968118…
08-09 03:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3c5bd3…
08-09 03:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x46535a…
08-09 03:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x022adb…
08-09 03:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaf379f…
08-09 03:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9ec23…
08-09 03:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb9a4d…
08-09 03:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2c2039…
08-09 03:18:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x9a1d1e…
08-09 03:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6624aa…
08-09 03:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1aa4af…
08-09 03:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf892ea…
08-09 03:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc00aeb…
08-09 03:12:15	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc14822…
08-09 03:09:52	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x690803…
08-09 03:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x6a09ab…
08-09 03:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe376ce…
08-09 03:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3f964c…
08-09 03:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdc8fb3…
08-09 03:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x118730…
08-09 02:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd11beb…
08-09 02:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x45e8a8…
08-09 02:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd0d2e…
08-09 02:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9522cc…
08-09 02:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x298858…
08-09 02:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb6cbcc…