Poor-Method — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

52,034

Trades

73,246

lifetime

Volume

$347.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-28 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 86% -$2,433

Other

1% 86% -$115

Sports

0% 81% -$18

Politics

0% 50% -$6

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 2511 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+15	$5	34¢	$5	$0	10-28 03:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+15	$5	32¢	$5	$0	10-28 03:09
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+23	$5	18¢	$4	-$1	10-28 03:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	27	$150	283	0	+283	Up	-$6	10-21 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	36	$146	293	0	+293	Down	-$3	10-21 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	33	$129	263	0	+263	Up	+$13	10-21 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	19	$125	249	0	+249	Down	-$7	10-21 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	14	$123	228	0	+228	Up	+$1	10-21 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	28	$121	257	0	+257	Down	-$7	10-21 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	17	$117	244	0	+244	Up	-$2	10-21 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	13	$108	186	0	+186	Up	+$2	10-21 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	4	$104	54	54	+0	Up	+$1	08-19 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	19	$103	148	77	+71	Up	-$47	10-20 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$101	52	52	+0	Up	+$1	10-11 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:40 UTC	7	$100	64	40	+24	Up	+$3	08-21 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$97	57	57	+0	Up	+$3	10-20 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	4	$97	98	0	+98	Up	+$1	08-20 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 14:50 UTC	3	$94	48	48	+0	Up	-$1	08-17 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:40 UTC	4	$93	47	47	+0	Down	+$1	08-19 08:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:50 UTC	5	$92	53	49	+4	Down	+$1	07-02 07:54
XRP Up or Down - July 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$92	61	56	+5	Up	+$4	07-01 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$89	54	54	+0	Down	-$15	10-01 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	3	$88	90	0	+90	Down	+$2	08-20 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:10 UTC	5	$88	77	69	+8	Up	+$2	07-02 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:30 UTC	3	$86	43	43	+0	Up	+$0	08-17 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:25 UTC	3	$86	43	43	+0	Down	+$1	08-17 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:00 UTC	3	$84	42	42	+0	Up	+$0	08-19 08:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$82	83	0	+83	Down	+$1	10-06 06:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:40 UTC	3	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	08-17 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:35 UTC	3	$81	41	41	+0	Down	+$0	08-17 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:05 UTC	3	$81	41	41	+0	Down	+$0	08-17 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:15 UTC	3	$81	41	41	+0	Down	+$1	08-17 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:50 UTC	3	$81	41	41	+0	Down	+$1	08-17 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xa45744…
10-28 13:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x8a8574…
10-28 13:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x8f5ab6…
10-28 13:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x71f067…
10-28 13:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x580a02…
10-28 13:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa96501…
10-28 13:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x3050ef…
10-28 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa95558…
10-28 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x9f25f5…
10-28 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xcf3416…
10-28 13:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5ffa28…
10-28 13:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x54c6a2…
10-28 13:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd2fe22…
10-28 13:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x83abb9…
10-28 13:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x3b954f…
10-28 13:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe6d515…
10-28 13:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb47bd5…
10-28 13:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x17d512…
10-28 13:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x822e80…
10-28 13:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfc9ab0…
10-28 13:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x0dab5c…
10-28 12:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2f917a…
10-28 12:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xf9f91a…
10-28 12:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x27e64a…
10-28 12:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3e5349…
10-28 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x572a7f…
10-28 12:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7fb4e8…
10-28 12:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x7d6557…
10-28 12:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xcad77f…
10-28 12:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8da1fb…
10-28 12:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xbfa194…
10-28 12:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x2f4d57…
10-28 12:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x205b82…
10-28 12:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x3aa009…
10-28 12:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0ea92c…
10-28 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6283cb…
10-28 12:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xf4cff9…
10-28 12:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6e5d95…
10-28 12:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x040274…
10-28 12:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x9b7a2b…
10-28 12:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x0ee098…
10-28 12:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x809b19…
10-28 11:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xd6d9c6…
10-28 11:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x6e9f35…
10-28 11:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x907860…
10-28 11:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbfcffb…
10-28 11:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xc08ab3…
10-28 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x27a946…
10-28 11:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x832a2c…
10-28 11:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xff9298…
10-28 11:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd1664c…
10-28 11:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x97ce8b…
10-28 11:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x40a6cc…
10-28 11:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb40222…
10-28 11:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x4a7cfa…
10-28 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x7e1d5d…
10-28 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x138219…
10-28 11:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xb75af5…
10-28 11:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd2284d…
10-28 10:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xcdce89…
10-28 10:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0ffdf3…
10-28 10:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc25dd4…
10-28 10:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x4134f9…
10-28 10:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8b8b0e…
10-28 10:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x36a294…
10-28 10:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x86627c…
10-28 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xfcf3f8…
10-28 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc53701…
10-28 10:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1030fe…
10-28 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xaefe58…
10-28 10:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7e440e…
10-28 10:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x9756f6…
10-28 10:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x641712…
10-28 10:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9bc8b8…
10-28 10:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd1ff80…
10-28 03:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x56eda4…
10-28 03:09:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x858bc5…
10-28 03:08:50	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x428da3…
10-28 03:07:26	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0c57eb…
10-26 03:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x6ac3ff…
10-26 03:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x62ccaa…
10-26 03:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd5c9eb…
10-26 03:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x6fd0c8…
10-26 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1fb4e9…
10-26 03:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x126a2f…
10-26 03:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x1bacc7…
10-26 03:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5ea988…
10-25 18:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd9d197…
10-25 18:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x89f8de…
10-25 18:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6c998f…
10-25 18:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x775089…
10-25 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x464a1a…
10-25 18:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x8d3098…
10-25 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x88ebfb…
10-25 18:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x248f0d…
10-25 18:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1264d6…
10-25 18:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x974a2f…
10-25 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6458d3…
10-25 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfdd5f9…
10-25 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6b24bd…