Flaky-Sprag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

317

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-07 10:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:32
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:48
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:41
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:43
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 12c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-15 18:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:51
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0bfa2…
11-06 09:58:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b7fb6…
11-05 00:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x48dd40…
11-04 04:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe12214…
11-03 17:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x800deb…
11-03 07:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe657c6…
11-02 09:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7223df…
10-31 17:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x549c3a…
10-31 07:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0ca03…
10-30 08:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6262f8…
10-29 17:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a4316…
10-29 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb86376…
10-28 04:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4338b…
10-27 15:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x136d48…
10-27 07:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6569c0…
10-26 04:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x47a30e…
10-24 06:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1364cd…
10-22 09:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe8b187…
10-20 04:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc97d2…
10-19 06:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3fa7d…
10-18 05:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcae683…
10-17 07:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1293e…
10-16 04:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5d741…
10-15 05:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x029b60…
10-14 06:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96fb60…
10-13 13:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a6a42…
10-13 01:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x63bf8e…
10-12 01:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x764198…
10-11 01:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87d219…
10-08 04:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xca6d07…
10-07 08:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xfcc5c3…
10-06 14:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x859a35…
10-06 05:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aff50…
10-04 07:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ad757…
10-03 00:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x268de5…
10-02 07:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83a593…
10-02 03:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x462ebb…
10-01 05:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb95ae6…
09-30 07:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4169a2…
09-29 06:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fb5d5…
09-28 07:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33e3db…
09-27 10:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1b2d3…
09-26 08:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x373762…
09-25 01:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa40869…
09-24 01:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb7403…
09-23 05:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c0669…
09-22 01:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42a4e3…
09-21 06:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dffd0…
09-20 02:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f1280…
09-19 05:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62128e…
09-18 09:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bc060…
09-18 01:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e6865…
09-17 00:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9479a…
09-16 07:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a509d…
09-15 23:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a2e36…
09-15 01:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75f3b9…
09-14 00:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cab08…
09-13 12:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c2a6c…
09-12 03:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa596fb…
09-11 01:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3035c3…
09-10 01:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53b445…
09-09 00:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa44059…
09-08 01:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e7e02…
09-07 13:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14512a…
09-07 01:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4329f3…
09-06 07:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8324c…
09-06 01:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd52e4…
09-05 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4710bd…
09-04 08:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x569ec2…
09-03 01:07:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb16e4…
09-02 11:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x456751…
09-01 01:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8184b…
08-30 00:09:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf9275…
08-29 05:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe21173…
08-28 01:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e0926…
08-27 01:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1729b…
08-26 01:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x687f04…
08-25 01:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x199cbb…
08-24 07:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe34f1…
08-23 01:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7d3eb…
08-22 01:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf35ff2…
08-21 01:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x561217…
08-20 05:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93bf03…
08-19 00:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x493a57…
08-18 00:10:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84e959…
08-17 05:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0048c6…
08-16 01:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1b47…
08-15 01:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x234295…
08-14 01:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x430754…
08-13 00:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x556ba1…
08-12 00:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67f6ef…
08-11 00:12:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d9fd8…
08-10 00:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1ae4f…
08-09 00:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59e850…
08-08 00:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2ed3e…
08-07 00:13:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51d988…
08-06 00:18:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a56a4…
08-05 00:16:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31a2b1…
08-04 00:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54e266…
08-03 00:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef8630…