Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$431

Open exposure

$21

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-29 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 82% +$47

Politics

30% 56% -$5

Other

0% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	-7	-$5	98¢	$-7	-$2	10-13 04:24
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-6	-$6	96¢	$-6	+$0	10-18 20:49
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	-6	-$6	98¢	$-6	$0	10-19 18:11
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-13 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on april 2	7	$10.4K	5,208	5,186	+22	Yes	+$2	04-01 01:39
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	8	$9.4K	3,440	6,030	-2,590	Yes	-$8	03-31 08:32
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	3	$6.9K	3,474	3,470	+4	No	+$0	04-01 03:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 31	24	$6.7K	3,420	3,420	+0	Yes	+$57	03-31 13:41
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	2	$4.3K	2,160	2,160	+0	No	+$0	04-01 03:34
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-01 13:45
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-29 17:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$10	6	4	+2	No	+$0	03-27 15:46
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	04-15 11:47
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	1	$7	9	0	+9	No	+$2	02-27 08:17
will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	2	$6	5	2	+3	No	+$0	03-28 20:50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	10-18 20:49
solana above 40 on april 20	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	-$6	04-17 21:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	04-25 15:02
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	10-19 18:11
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-31 11:28
highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 12c	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-11 04:21
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	1	$5	0	7	-7	open	—	10-13 04:24
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-22 12:10
will ethereum dip to 1900 march 23 29	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-29 15:10
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-19 05:54
2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	02-25 14:36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	02-19 23:48
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-06 00:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-04 04:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-19 19:51
taylor swift pregnant by march 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-03 14:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$3	02-16 01:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-27 05:15
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-20 00:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:51:46	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbc2e31…
10-19 18:11:30	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x468024…
10-18 20:49:17	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x36014a…
10-13 04:24:03	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xda9e7c…
05-15 15:55:29	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f8a1a…
05-13 07:28:58	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3ea902…
05-11 03:17:24	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb4fd2f…
04-25 15:02:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x1190d0…
04-19 19:51:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xbf16b4…
04-17 21:50:32	solana above 40 on april 20	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdeb10c…
04-15 11:47:24	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6c50b6…
04-11 06:35:05	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf9880f…
04-10 23:52:39	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x725f37…
04-06 13:43:31	Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x84d4df…
04-01 03:34:25	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,160	100¢	$2,158	0xf73926…
04-01 03:29:45	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,160	100¢	$2,158	0x0c1aaa…
04-01 03:01:47	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,290	100¢	$1,289	0x913376…
04-01 02:59:45	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,180	100¢	$2,178	0xf45bc1…
04-01 02:52:19	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	3,474	100¢	$3,471	0x8d85fe…
04-01 01:39:09	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	1,700	100¢	$1,693	0x40b751…
04-01 00:44:25	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	1,708	100¢	$1,699	0x446716…
04-01 00:05:19	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0xd0fd8b…
03-31 23:49:49	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74a948…
03-31 23:39:47	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x15044e…
03-31 23:11:37	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	2,706	100¢	$2,695	0xf59df2…
03-31 23:07:07	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,486	0x0e5518…
03-31 13:41:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa455a4…
03-31 13:36:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	1,655	100¢	$1,648	0x3cfb52…
03-31 13:35:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x7f7750…
03-31 13:23:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xc23006…
03-31 13:23:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	214	99¢	$213	0xdd30ca…
03-31 13:22:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	531	99¢	$528	0x134ece…
03-31 13:22:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	603	99¢	$599	0x248cf2…
03-31 13:18:45	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x7442ab…
03-31 13:17:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfbf30f…
03-31 13:14:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x71faeb…
03-31 11:28:33	Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb98aff…
03-31 11:15:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	889	98¢	$871	0x98acdb…
03-31 11:04:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa01d3b…
03-31 10:49:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7d5130…
03-31 10:08:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x731dfb…
03-31 10:07:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc44fac…
03-31 10:05:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc4de4c…
03-31 10:03:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa7cf84…
03-31 09:58:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1e18b6…
03-31 09:55:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x579c8d…
03-31 09:49:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x87b339…
03-31 09:48:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x6ed362…
03-31 09:47:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	186	98¢	$182	0x6e567b…
03-31 09:45:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x7c9f77…
03-31 09:43:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,241	98¢	$1,216	0x1e8074…
03-31 08:32:15	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	SELL	3,440	100¢	$3,430	0x35eb2d…
03-31 03:54:57	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,429	100¢	$1,425	0xf21e23…
03-31 03:52:21	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x2426ca…
03-31 03:50:47	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xbf7c24…
03-31 03:38:51	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21c850…
03-31 02:31:13	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0701a5…
03-31 02:22:47	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	SELL	590	100¢	$588	0xe9f002…
03-31 02:21:31	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xa945dc…
03-29 15:10:16	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 23 29	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x544fc5…
03-28 20:50:46	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x30c041…
03-27 15:46:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xef21e6…
03-27 05:15:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc81a71…
03-25 09:26:41	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcac7f9…
03-24 10:39:49	ethereum above 2100 on march 24	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2be564…
03-24 04:08:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x32c6d4…
03-22 12:10:47	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc21127…
03-22 05:13:49	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x117f7d…
03-20 00:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x251020…
03-19 05:54:09	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x2108e4…
03-18 06:03:53	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x310910…
03-16 00:03:53	bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x1e6af8…
03-11 21:36:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 12	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x587939…
03-11 04:21:29	highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc754d5…
03-07 06:53:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9c4654…
03-06 15:19:11	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x387d8b…
03-06 00:17:07	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5cd80a…
03-05 19:45:23	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xabb397…
03-04 04:43:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5ffb73…
03-03 14:42:31	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x7bb06a…
03-02 16:23:45	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x57da3a…
03-01 13:45:03	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x0a43ec…
02-27 08:17:47	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x7075b9…
02-26 20:28:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xbc1196…
02-25 14:36:20	2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xab4a9d…
02-19 23:48:18	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x040d79…
02-19 00:29:46	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7a322a…
02-16 01:26:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x776fb3…