Internal-Cost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.2%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-20 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

51% 0% $-1

Other

27% 50% $-0

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	23	$507	268	268	+0	open	—	03-28 03:24
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	17	$442	245	212	+34	open	—	02-01 15:01
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$439	227	227	-0	No	$-0	03-26 11:46
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	12	$323	166	166	-0	No	$-0	02-21 01:09
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$308	161	161	+0	open	—	03-08 00:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$300	155	155	+0	open	—	03-04 02:56
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$289	154	154	+0	open	—	02-21 01:02
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$279	144	144	+0	open	—	03-19 18:12
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	6	$266	139	139	+0	open	—	03-10 17:10
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$259	134	134	+0	open	—	02-16 23:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$258	134	134	+0	open	—	01-22 18:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$247	128	128	+0	open	—	03-29 17:56
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$224	119	119	+0	open	—	03-12 21:55
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$221	115	115	+0	open	—	02-12 03:38
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$198	103	103	+0	open	—	02-19 15:45
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	02-16 23:53
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$191	103	100	+3	open	—	03-07 00:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$185	96	96	+0	open	—	02-21 01:13
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$176	92	92	+0	open	—	03-18 09:56
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$165	87	87	+0	Yes	$-1	03-31 09:34
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$152	78	78	+0	open	—	04-01 04:24
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	9	$141	74	74	+0	open	—	02-21 01:11
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	03-20 10:04
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	02-10 07:29
will the green bay packers win super bowl 2026	3	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	01-10 05:47
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	6	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	02-07 10:01
will alexander bublik win the 2026 australian open	2	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	01-21 13:19
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	2	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	01-15 11:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$103	55	55	+0	open	—	02-17 00:08
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$103	56	56	+0	open	—	02-10 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 05:26:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0xb697d0…
06-20 01:22:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$37	0xf29d69…
05-15 15:54:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x2c9a3e…
05-15 07:52:23	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xd2de90…
04-09 20:52:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xdf89ca…
04-09 13:51:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xff09ad…
04-01 04:24:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x2e977f…
03-31 23:16:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x72edc1…
03-31 09:34:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x628e1c…
03-31 05:28:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x573931…
03-30 22:02:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xca9da5…
03-30 17:56:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xa9d007…
03-29 23:02:34	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x36cdd1…
03-29 18:00:46	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x8ab770…
03-29 17:56:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x488ca1…
03-29 09:41:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0xd5b24c…
03-29 09:31:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x29c3f8…
03-29 04:27:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0d4e0c…
03-29 04:27:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8d7d0a…
03-29 04:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3dbc12…
03-29 04:16:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x859350…
03-28 20:14:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x9869c5…
03-28 03:24:35	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xfddf29…
03-27 23:18:33	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xcb87ee…
03-26 22:24:43	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xf3e776…
03-26 18:18:55	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa0c5a8…
03-26 11:46:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x0cf115…
03-26 07:24:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xb98a8f…
03-26 07:18:21	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x70b265…
03-26 01:01:19	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x751998…
03-25 10:16:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x690d65…
03-25 02:04:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0xa6812e…
03-23 01:12:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0x9348b7…
03-22 20:55:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$44	0x8117ac…
03-22 11:19:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x7317e5…
03-22 05:18:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xee6a9e…
03-20 22:13:15	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x737d8c…
03-20 16:08:07	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xa49063…
03-20 15:28:05	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xc7f5a8…
03-20 10:24:09	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x21496b…
03-20 10:04:07	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0x9a4d31…
03-20 03:00:41	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x7cacf0…
03-20 01:13:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x56d686…
03-19 20:07:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xb98da5…
03-19 18:12:21	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0xc00405…
03-19 09:55:47	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xe96916…
03-18 09:56:03	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x97eb91…
03-18 02:08:45	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb77e20…
03-17 18:41:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x76a863…
03-17 10:15:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xc9ea5d…
03-17 03:09:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0xfafb0c…
03-16 21:48:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x9d79a4…
03-16 21:17:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x83660d…
03-16 16:07:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x4b888e…
03-16 15:48:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x4f2258…
03-16 15:04:09	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0xafcd0f…
03-16 07:02:17	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x6caa3f…
03-15 20:25:23	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x8ea3df…
03-15 14:48:23	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x49ce07…
03-14 19:52:25	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x122cc1…
03-14 14:42:43	Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbe959c…
03-13 12:58:57	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x82a8fd…
03-13 03:39:51	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x1cca44…
03-12 21:55:49	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xc14c38…
03-12 14:38:45	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xe88e73…
03-12 05:19:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x8f9db4…
03-11 23:53:25	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0xcffe2e…
03-11 23:25:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x322b83…
03-11 17:11:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6fd1eb…
03-10 17:10:05	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0x61a87a…
03-10 08:59:35	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x6b96bf…
03-09 03:10:15	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x10ba54…
03-08 21:55:15	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x413cb0…
03-08 14:31:03	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x8731aa…
03-08 07:11:11	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x161ede…
03-08 00:11:01	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x04f8c5…
03-07 15:38:09	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xffad4c…
03-07 14:13:59	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x207338…
03-07 08:37:57	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x212b58…
03-07 00:51:49	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xc4d6d3…
03-06 18:47:13	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x4ff45a…
03-04 23:05:45	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x00f856…
03-04 16:03:05	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x2a2a13…
03-04 02:56:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xff09da…
03-03 18:52:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xe25613…
02-21 01:16:10	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0xb47627…
02-21 01:15:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xac2be4…
02-21 01:13:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xa3d4b7…
02-21 01:13:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x32611e…
02-21 01:13:04	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x37fe09…
02-21 01:12:40	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x9a4364…
02-21 01:12:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x399d3b…
02-21 01:11:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd1cf82…
02-21 01:11:06	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x7de576…
02-21 01:10:42	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xecfa80…
02-21 01:09:04	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0xceea20…
02-21 01:08:44	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x528ba8…
02-21 01:06:12	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xbead34…
02-21 01:05:44	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x69d3e6…
02-21 01:05:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xdc3e62…