Wretched-Plunger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

164

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$52

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-25 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$8

Other

38% 98% +$5

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+52	$52	100¢	$52	$0	10-25 05:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	09-13 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	2	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$0	06-22 09:12
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	10-09 10:42
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	2	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	08-29 03:47
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	10-25 05:47
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-25 16:45
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-30 18:05
ethereum above 2500 on april 16	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-16 10:22
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	08-10 17:36
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	10-16 06:45
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	09-30 04:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	05-22 13:00
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	04-23 12:19
will bitcoin reach 90k september 14 20 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-19 15:49
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-28 05:40
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	10-13 10:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	05-11 23:04
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	10-23 15:10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$0	04-28 15:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	03-30 18:05
bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-23 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	09-25 08:21
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-04 19:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-30 18:06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	09-01 08:11
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-30 18:06
bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	07-13 12:01
bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	07-11 01:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	2	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-24 02:31
will bitcoin dip to 56k august 17 23 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-19 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:15:02	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf6a253…
10-25 05:47:42	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xf9f644…
10-23 15:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x0f7396…
10-22 23:23:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x41cee4…
10-16 11:09:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc7c38c…
10-16 06:45:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf5fdaa…
10-13 10:04:56	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf67b0d…
10-12 08:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8f744b…
10-09 10:42:43	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x87a711…
10-07 17:09:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6e80fd…
10-06 04:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb2295b…
10-01 21:53:45	Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd734ea…
09-30 04:27:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x48d2bc…
09-27 13:54:33	bitcoin above 80k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x93f115…
09-25 08:21:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3bdeec…
09-22 11:24:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x677a96…
09-19 21:06:20	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5f1b37…
09-19 15:49:35	will bitcoin reach 90k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x939f04…
09-13 17:42:49	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x7ce221…
09-07 05:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x81f9e4…
09-02 01:27:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5cdf9a…
09-01 08:11:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7cfbee…
08-29 03:47:54	Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0b9e94…
08-26 02:08:39	Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x776f8c…
08-22 11:04:22	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x21bc6d…
08-19 12:46:39	will bitcoin dip to 56k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa4cc00…
08-16 01:02:12	bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x400321…
08-15 14:16:55	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x40eb54…
08-13 13:30:01	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x21d9b8…
08-10 17:36:52	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf20afe…
08-07 23:18:57	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x049b35…
08-06 19:32:47	ethereum above 1800 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6e9dea…
07-29 06:35:12	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1e055c…
07-28 21:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x714426…
07-28 05:59:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6ec104…
07-24 20:58:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x70f615…
07-23 09:30:07	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x3b907f…
07-20 13:56:24	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x500c90…
07-16 09:14:25	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf9898b…
07-13 13:50:28	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x59721d…
07-13 12:01:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5767d9…
07-12 04:13:10	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x82f42b…
07-11 17:01:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5d3cd6…
07-11 01:52:20	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x73f375…
07-10 14:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf28eec…
07-05 15:59:22	bitcoin above 58k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x44a95d…
07-05 06:48:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xd99fb0…
07-04 16:54:53	will ethereum reach 2000 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe107d2…
07-04 06:08:17	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5eedd6…
07-03 14:42:25	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x35cbaf…
07-03 01:40:20	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x464919…
07-02 09:44:43	ethereum above 2100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb7cd23…
07-02 04:59:43	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb4eb2b…
07-01 07:51:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4c209d…
06-30 23:26:10	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd50d0d…
06-30 21:47:08	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7898a6…
06-29 14:10:58	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4cecf0…
06-25 11:44:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfe903c…
06-24 13:57:22	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4975ea…
06-22 21:47:58	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7b8510…
06-22 09:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb020d8…
06-22 03:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x6159eb…
06-07 23:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0c2da7…
06-05 20:20:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 5	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x31befa…
06-02 21:15:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x880583…
06-02 10:57:18	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x28ecbf…
06-01 22:34:55	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x585da1…
06-01 16:36:52	Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb11d24…
06-01 09:49:28	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf66b66…
06-01 00:29:37	Will Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x87b41c…
05-31 08:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf09dde…
05-28 23:45:17	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4df971…
05-28 13:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x72fa2c…
05-28 13:26:47	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe7bec7…
05-28 05:40:56	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2d5b16…
05-28 03:52:01	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd5825a…
05-27 06:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x15eba6…
05-26 14:16:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x353a58…
05-26 11:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba8725…
05-26 01:36:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x630f41…
05-25 16:45:38	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7d5f76…
05-25 14:37:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc9d8e8…
05-25 07:42:26	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcacd8d…
05-24 15:40:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e6483…
05-24 11:04:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x9b5270…
05-24 02:31:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb3491e…
05-22 17:46:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4aafc9…
05-22 13:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xe7507b…
05-22 05:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x232651…
05-22 04:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xdf733c…
05-21 21:32:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1ac326…
05-20 23:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb1bf81…
05-20 16:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x09f871…
05-20 08:52:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x775bd2…
05-20 07:01:12	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6b2e41…
05-19 14:41:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdbe128…
05-19 04:37:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xf14c8f…
05-19 03:06:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ed2cb…
05-18 13:59:30	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3467d7…
05-17 22:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5177f0…