Wretched-Plunger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-05 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$1

Other

33% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+23	$23	100¢	$23	$-0	06-01 22:34
Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+19	$19	100¢	$19	$-0	06-01 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-30 18:05
ethereum above 2500 on april 16	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-16 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	05-22 13:00
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-23 12:19
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	05-28 05:40
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	05-11 23:04
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	04-28 15:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-30 18:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 18:06
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-30 18:06
highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-21 16:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-27 06:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	05-19 04:37
bitcoin above 72k on april 18	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-18 00:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-20 08:52
will aj dybantsa win the 2026 outstanding player of the tournament for the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-06 07:36
will bitcoin reach 66k on june 5	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-05 20:20
ethereum above 2500 on april 20	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-20 10:26
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-22 11:20
ethereum above 2200 on april 18	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-18 10:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-21 21:32
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-14 17:22
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	02-14 21:06
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-19 11:13
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-12 12:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-13 02:49
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-05 12:37
solana above 100 on april 17	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 14:12
ethereum above 2400 on april 23	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-23 14:33
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 20:20:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 5	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x31befa…
06-02 21:15:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x880583…
06-01 22:34:55	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x585da1…
06-01 16:36:52	Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb11d24…
05-28 05:40:56	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2d5b16…
05-28 03:52:01	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd5825a…
05-27 06:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x15eba6…
05-26 14:16:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x353a58…
05-26 11:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba8725…
05-25 14:37:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc9d8e8…
05-24 15:40:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e6483…
05-24 02:31:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb3491e…
05-22 13:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0xe7507b…
05-22 05:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x232651…
05-22 04:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xdf733c…
05-21 21:32:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1ac326…
05-20 23:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb1bf81…
05-20 16:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x09f871…
05-20 08:52:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x775bd2…
05-20 07:01:12	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6b2e41…
05-19 14:41:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdbe128…
05-19 04:37:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xf14c8f…
05-19 03:06:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ed2cb…
05-16 09:00:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc90996…
05-16 06:34:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x026b59…
05-15 16:48:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6f62d6…
05-11 23:04:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x1d2d0e…
05-11 17:08:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xfaea33…
05-10 14:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x564bdf…
05-09 19:27:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb0cd39…
05-09 05:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x668eae…
05-08 22:05:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5ca728…
05-08 08:13:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x240493…
05-06 09:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2e9d99…
05-05 22:05:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9fbf16…
05-05 12:37:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a660f…
05-05 04:16:00	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2272ac…
05-03 11:31:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x807aa5…
05-02 20:27:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x04ed9b…
05-01 06:55:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b0cde…
04-30 22:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x957bc2…
04-30 11:40:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x39bb59…
04-29 04:06:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbb03ff…
04-28 15:54:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0xa56740…
04-26 23:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46838f…
04-26 17:03:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8b02d5…
04-25 22:47:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd8ce37…
04-25 20:57:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf06d1…
04-24 01:59:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1b4e43…
04-23 19:24:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4feda7…
04-23 14:33:58	ethereum above 2400 on april 23	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd1f506…
04-23 12:19:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xed5933…
04-22 11:20:42	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5c942c…
04-21 16:08:08	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8ac2ea…
04-21 10:52:44	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x392f95…
04-20 10:26:22	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9cd498…
04-18 10:49:38	ethereum above 2200 on april 18	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x05a60c…
04-18 00:03:36	bitcoin above 72k on april 18	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5b2b99…
04-17 22:01:44	xrp above 1pt2 on april 19	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x96a2fe…
04-17 14:12:32	solana above 100 on april 17	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9f27a8…
04-17 03:32:50	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbecd84…
04-16 10:22:04	ethereum above 2500 on april 16	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xccedcb…
04-14 17:22:34	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x9d9ad0…
04-13 09:32:23	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf50edd…
04-13 02:49:59	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x36119d…
04-12 12:37:31	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb47fc7…
04-12 02:25:39	will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd1fc79…
04-10 21:40:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 12	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8aa5cf…
04-06 07:36:03	will aj dybantsa win the 2026 outstanding player of the tournament for the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x151b7a…
04-03 20:40:35	will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 3	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf295f2…
04-02 03:13:07	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 3pt9	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x098773…
03-30 18:06:49	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf157d2…
03-30 18:06:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x649a6b…
03-30 18:05:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf14876…
03-30 18:05:03	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xea7926…
03-29 17:30:40	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x36a8a6…
03-25 06:28:37	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x64ad6e…
03-19 11:13:57	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x065c77…
03-19 01:51:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaaea24…
03-05 15:46:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd957ff…
03-01 05:26:43	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x442153…
02-19 08:18:24	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2eab9f…
02-14 21:06:21	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfab880…
02-05 17:04:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x937613…
01-22 09:05:08	will solana reach 190 in january 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdb7db8…
01-13 15:52:37	will alexander bublik win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32e434…
01-11 16:23:12	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x303312…
01-07 17:18:05	will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0e55e3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	64	$146.9K	3,006	06-02 08:03
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	48	$644	400	06-05 21:48
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	39	$69.6K	1,507	05-26 14:33
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	39	$2.11K	700	06-01 21:12
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	37	$901.8K	4,864	06-01 07:47
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	37	$1.76K	37	06-06 02:08
(anonymous) 0x93c8…d2a3	36	$908	173	06-05 11:17
Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2	34	$950	70	05-22 23:22