Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$692

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

1,496

Trades

1,681

lifetime

Volume

$31.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-29 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 59% +$897

Other

7% 49% -$102

Politics

3% 18% -$105

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	14	$317	376	376	+0	Yes	-$45	08-31 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$156	107	107	+0	Down	+$56	10-29 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 22?	7	$112	205	0	+205	No	-$7	08-22 08:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:30 UTC	4	$101	167	48	+119	Up	-$38	08-14 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:00 UTC	1	$100	143	0	+143	Up	-$100	08-22 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:15 UTC	1	$100	195	0	+195	Up	-$100	08-22 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:10 UTC	1	$100	177	0	+177	Down	+$77	08-21 16:10
Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$2	08-31 18:52
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in september 2026 20260826	6	$82	100	100	+0	No	-$14	08-31 18:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:10 UTC	1	$80	163	0	+163	Down	+$83	09-01 04:10
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$80	134	0	+134	Up	-$80	09-01 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$80	173	0	+173	Down	-$80	09-01 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$80	138	0	+138	Down	+$58	09-01 08:09
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$80	159	0	+159	Up	-$80	09-01 07:00
will the dog stars score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$72	95	0	+95	Yes	-$28	08-27 02:48
will trump speak to andy burnham in september	6	$64	120	120	+0	Yes	-$21	08-31 18:53
will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in september 2026 20260826	3	$61	50	50	+0	No	+$5	08-31 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 22?	7	$60	140	0	+140	Yes	-$10	08-22 08:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:40 UTC	1	$60	110	0	+110	Down	+$50	08-22 00:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:00 UTC	1	$60	99	0	+99	Down	+$39	08-22 02:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:40 UTC	1	$60	101	0	+101	Down	-$60	08-21 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?	3	$58	100	0	+100	Yes	-$13	08-23 04:19
will syria join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	8	$57	100	100	+0	open	—	08-31 18:52
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	4	$56	40	40	+0	Yes	-$16	08-26 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 23?	5	$55	95	0	+95	Yes	+$10	08-23 03:29
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	5	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	08-26 09:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:35 UTC	1	$52	95	0	+95	Up	+$43	08-21 08:35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$50	90	0	+90	Up	+$40	09-01 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:15 UTC	1	$50	104	0	+104	Down	+$54	08-18 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Down	+$52	09-01 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xa14537…
10-29 07:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x91b777…
10-29 07:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xee5cd6…
10-26 19:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0xc08af4…
10-26 18:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x4f2987…
10-26 04:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0xf654cc…
10-26 04:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0xea5bc0…
10-25 21:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xb6a1b4…
10-25 17:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x591f70…
10-25 17:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0x4376a5…
10-25 16:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x900d5f…
10-25 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xf3a170…
10-24 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x0fd9bf…
10-24 19:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x8e2812…
10-24 14:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x51abe1…
10-23 21:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x432cd2…
10-23 20:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	62¢	$18	0x8f82a3…
10-23 20:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x4d16ff…
10-22 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa45373…
10-22 21:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x242c26…
10-22 21:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x2a2934…
10-22 05:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x1c73a5…
10-22 02:44:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0x8a26df…
10-21 22:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa2be3f…
10-21 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0x84735b…
10-21 10:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x8aabcb…
10-21 10:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x0eec4e…
10-21 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xf7bdb0…
10-21 09:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x027d54…
10-21 07:30:00	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x879e1e…
10-21 07:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x066078…
10-21 07:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x92038d…
10-21 02:14:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x20557a…
10-20 20:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xab7701…
10-20 19:00:00	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x77080b…
10-20 14:44:59	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbf04ea…
10-20 14:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x5704ba…
10-20 08:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5039fd…
10-20 08:59:59	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x05f4b0…
10-20 07:14:59	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xac54cc…
10-20 02:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xe926af…
10-19 12:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x712d11…
10-18 17:30:00	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	61¢	$30	0x2b0ae6…
10-18 12:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x05f515…
10-18 12:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xe6d93d…
10-18 12:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xb32bae…
10-18 10:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xed9306…
10-18 10:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xa52bc1…
10-18 05:45:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x5068a4…
10-18 05:44:59	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0xd8ed42…
10-17 10:00:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x430d09…
10-17 10:00:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0x2e5714…
10-17 08:00:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x0494e7…
10-17 07:59:59	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0xd5c3b1…
10-17 07:29:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x140795…
10-17 07:14:59	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0xc88ffd…
10-17 06:14:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe92f96…
10-16 22:44:59	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9f4ae8…
10-16 21:59:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa5fa98…
10-16 12:15:00	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x4b6d43…
10-16 12:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x15ad00…
10-16 06:15:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0xd53f63…
10-16 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x2c45c5…
10-16 06:15:00	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x2601e6…
10-16 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x0cd160…
10-16 03:45:00	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x48619a…
10-16 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x05dace…
10-16 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x0d8928…
10-16 03:30:00	BNB Up or Down - October 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0x08983a…
10-15 21:30:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0xabc578…
10-15 19:29:59	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xb985e9…
10-15 18:44:59	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x1b0903…
10-15 16:44:59	BNB Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x142ef9…
10-15 01:29:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xd5ddf3…
10-14 20:00:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xaaf3d2…
10-14 19:30:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x49117a…
10-14 15:00:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbea43b…
10-14 15:00:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0x956fde…
10-14 12:30:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x233551…
10-14 12:29:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x5cfe2d…
10-13 19:45:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xbfd27c…
10-13 07:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x8967c0…
10-13 05:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe9e0c4…
10-13 05:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x32133f…
10-13 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x81196c…
10-12 22:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$29	0x20669a…
10-12 20:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xffb36d…
10-12 18:14:59	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1179f3…
10-12 13:15:00	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xac4907…
10-12 13:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xe9d5f4…
10-12 13:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x8dd8de…
10-12 10:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xe3e431…
10-12 08:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	60¢	$30	0x70eb9e…
10-12 00:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xd5a530…
10-11 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf8c0b4…
10-11 20:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x88e720…
10-11 15:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xc8d541…
10-11 12:30:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4aeda1…
10-11 04:59:59	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x5215dc…
10-11 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x627329…